More great tutorials from Paul Beckwith spelling out the methane risk with 3 presentations embedded in total.
Paul Beckwith, Climate System Scientist
Bubble, Bubble. GigaTons of Methane Trouble // Published on Jun 28, 2017
Vast amounts of methane exists within ocean floor sediments on the Eastern Siberian Arctic Shelf, in the form of methane hydrates & free methane gas.
Up to recently, gas release to the shallow water column (50 meters deep) and atmosphere has been slow, with the subsea permafrost acting as a million corks on a million champagne bottles to contain the methane.
Now, rapid thawing of the permafrost has released 10% of the corks, allowing rapid ongoing increases in methane release.
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Good Morning Earthlings. Wake Up and Smell the METHANE // Published on Jun 28, 2017
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Thawing Open Pandora’s Methane Box // Published on Jun 28, 2017
Arctic Sea Ice with the blues
https://paulbeckwith.net/2017/07/01/arctic-sea-ice-going-down-with-the-blues/
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https://www.youtube.com/attribution_link?a=8RjL_INaRog&u=%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DoNg0z-bYsmY%26feature%3Dshare
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Another important link on methane;
https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwebcache.googleusercontent.com%2Fsearch%3Fq%3Dcache%253Ahttp%253A%252F%252Fwww.planetextinction.com%252Fdocuments%252FMethane%252C%252520the%252520Gakkel%252520Ridge%252520and%252520human%252520survival.pdf&h=ATOeCqt-PMx2Zcf9iFpVOTGNb-ZVuh_FfZDHF0_u6RfX2J8Ue7Yc6M-L6jbjpkTXC-oBDbd5cPuYYxljZmURkFHSvwW9wAX-InbHVquSMf2SdVEqGL7Pi4-XE8tJULo1CXmHXGOB&s=1&enc=AZP6_m0TpwNiZHuAu-Bvif5Wby1d0IuYFV8r0nQzwpnloL2W07YIfrx0LRQEbLxpYGh_HZ6coEeRhJsRipLsK_eO
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Another important link on methane;
Click to access search
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Nick Breeze continuing his excellent work interviewing Dr’s Natalia Shakova and her colleague Igor Semiletov;
http://envisionation.co.uk/index.php/nick-breeze/203-subsea-permafrost-on-east-siberian-arctic-shelf-now-in-accelerated-decline
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No shortage of evidence:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-01535-y
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The feedback loop associated with the unstoppable release of methane is the one that will tip us over.
Sad that we knew so much about it and looked away.
http://www.ru.nl/english/news-agenda/news/vm/iwwr/2017/methane-bubbles-effect-cause-rise-temperature/
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A large area around the North Pole is forecast be up to 30°C or 54°F warmer than 1979-2000 on February 5, 2018.” Sam Carana
But it has been enhanced by more than a century of people externalizing the environmental costs of stupendous economic growth, loading the atmosphere now with 42 percent more carbon dioxide,
240 percent more methane,
20 percent more nitrous oxide,
42 percent more tropospheric ozone, etc.
We have far too much gaseous carbon compounds now in our atmosphere, people.
The carbon pollution is, by the way, making our oceans too acidic, an 3x more Mercury, threatening the base of the marine food chain.
“We have far too much gaseous carbon compounds now in our atmosphere, people.” Jason E. Box
‘Arctic sea ice could be gone by September 2018.’ Sam Carana
Kevin Hester “If you compare his conclusions with those of Shakova et-al from the University of Fairbanks Alaska you can see why professor Guy McPherson and I believe this September could be our last after a 50 giga tonne methane release and the attendant collapse of industrial civilisation. Huge respect to the field researchers rather than the modelers who all seem to be ‘owned’.”
Each 1C. Temp Rise, Atmospheric Moisture increases 7%
We have increased Global Temps 1.9C. and Climbing, since the 1700s
Sandy, Katrina, Irma, Maria, an Harvey had 19% to 49% more with Record Rain,
Record Winds, an Record Sea Surges.
Christopher C. Burt, ” the highest reliably recorded temperature on Earth is still at Death Valley, but is instead 54.0 °C (129.2 °F) recorded on 30 June 2013.
53.9 °C (129.0 °F) was recorded another four times: 20 July 1960, 18 July 1998, 20 July 2005, and 7 July 2007.
Aug 15, 2012 – “According to Weather Underground, the city of Needles, California, recently experienced what is believed to be the hottest rainfall on record.
On Monday, not long after hitting a daytime high of 118°F (the hottest it’s ever been there, by the way), a thunderstorm rolled through, dropping precipitation over the Mojave Desert town that reached a scorching 115°F.”
A 2015 heat wave that killed at least 3,500 in India and Pakistan saw wet-bulb temperatures around 122 degrees Fahrenheit (50 degrees Celsius).
A similar wet-bulb temperature was reached during the 1995 Chicago heat wave.” Steven Leahy
A temperature of 94 degrees Fahrenheit (34.4 degrees Celsius) and 80% humidity produces a wet-bulb or “feels like” temperature of 129 degrees Fahrenheit (53.9 degrees Celsius) on the NOAA National Weather Service Heat Index.
Methane which is Natural Gas + Carbon + Water Vapor = Global Warming
“While methane doesn’t linger as long in the atmosphere as carbon dioxide, it is initially far more devastating to the climate because of how effectively it absorbs heat.
In the first two decades after its release, methane is 84 times more potent than carbon dioxide.
Both types of emissions must be addressed if we want to effectively reduce the impact of climate change.” EDF
“The 100-year global warming potential of methane is 28. That is, over a 100-year period, it traps 28 times more heat per mass unit than carbon dioxide and 32 times the effect when accounting for aerosol interactions.
Global methane levels had risen from 722 parts per billion (ppb) in pre-industrial times to 1800 ppb by 2011, an increase by a factor of 2.5 and the highest value in at least 800,000 years.
Its concentration is higher in the Northern Hemisphere since most sources (both natural and human) are located on land and the Northern Hemisphere has more land mass.” Wikipedia
“Methane is created near the surface, and it is carried into the stratosphere by rising air in the tropics. Uncontrolled build-up of methane in Earth’s atmosphere is naturally checked—although human influence can upset this natural regulation—by methane’s reaction with hydroxyl radicals formed from singlet oxygen atoms and with water vapor.” Wikipedia
Methane is generated with in the upper 1/3 of the mantle, and Vents Mantle Methane during Isostatic Rebounding.
There is now a veil of Methane accumulating is the Stratosphere.
No one has the numbers for Pingos Venting, nor Perma Frost Melting, or Methane Hydrates, let alone Isostatic Reboundings Global Numbers, For All This Venting and Emitting, of Methane
, 409ppm of Carbon + 1856ppb of Methane = Approx 600ppm of Carbon,
“This means that injecting 1 kg of CH4 into the atmosphere today would have 72 times more atmospheric warming effect over the next 20 years than injecting 1 kg of CO2.” ACS Chemistry for life.
Isostatic Rebounding of Greenlands Tectonic Plate, affecting (Gakkels Rift), causing Earthquakes in the Arctic, as well as Venting Mantle Methane.
This is the main driver of past extinctions, Mantle Methane Venting along Fault lines, we had an episode in 2016 in California, from Mexico, all the way to the Arctic Ocean, reading from space said a Methane Venting Occurred.
There Is No Atmospheric Budget For More Methane, Carbon, and Nuclear Radiation!
The main priority now should be to Decommission and Relocate to above 3,000 Feet, 450 Nuclear Reactors at Sea Level Now.
1,200 Nuclear Fuel Rod Facilities at Sea Level Now.
How long before 5 feet of Greenlands 20
Feet of Sea Level Rise Fukushimatizes us ? 2020 ? 2022 ? ?
“Scientists say the ocean began rising more than a century ago, averaging an almost imperceptible 1.5 millimeters a year from 1900 to 1990, based on data from a network of federal tide gauges around the country.
In the 1990s, the rising sea doubled its previous rate, reaching about an inch a decade, said Sweet. And then, over the past 10 years, tide gauges in Fernandina Beach, Mayport and Key West recorded an increase of about 0.9 centimeters per year, a little more than a third of an inch per year.” James Cox
Sea Level Rise is accelerating, could just 5 feet of Greenlands 20 feet of Sea Level Rise, melt before 2022, or 2024
Fukushimatizing US and the World ?
Greenland Keeps the Northern Hemisphere in Ice and Snow Now.
From the 1700s to 2000 – 30 percent of the Arctic Melted
From 2000 to 2015 – 60 percent of the Arctic Melted
90% of the Arctic is Gone, and what is left is barely any Ice or snow older than 5 years old, and it use to date back Thousands of years, Waxing and Waning in Glaciation.
Each Day the acceleration of melt continues.
With Record Winds, Record Droughts, Record Floods, Record Waves, Record Fires,
Record Highs, Record Lows, Record Rain, Record Snow,
Until Greenland is Half Melted, Then just Record RAIN, Record Heat, Record Floods, Record Mud Slides, Record Fires, Year after Fukushimas Year
20 Feet of Sea Level Rise in Greenland
200 feet of Sea Level Rise in Antarctica
450 Nuclear Reactors at Sea Level
Already One Fukushima
An ideal Carbon Atmosphere, would be at 300 parts per million
1700s to 1800s ppm Carbon 260ppm – 280ppm
1980s ppm carbon 350
2015s ppm of Carbon 405
2017 ppm of Carbon 409.35 and Rising
“I will show you the rise in CO2 levels every 5 years from 1958 to Dec. 2017. I will also show the CO2 difference beside it from the previous reading. Each reading is taken in the March of the respective year.
Year…………………….CO2 Levels……………Growth
1958……………………315.71…………………..<4.0
1963……………………319.86…………………..4.15
1968……………………323.89…………………..4.03
1973……………………330.30…………………..6.41
1978……………………336.66…………………..6.36
1983……………………343.33…………………..6.67
1988……………………352.41…………………..9.08
1993……………………358.47…………………..6.06
1998……………………367.24…………………..8.77
2003……………………376.46…………………..9.22
2008……………………386.03…………………..9.57
2013……………………397.43…………………..11.40
2017……………………409.01…………………..12.42
"The last entry is early since it is not yet March 2018.
This shows the ever increasing growth of CO2 levels in our atmosphere.
Some 2017 figures have shown 410ppm over the year, giving an increase of nearly 1ppm per month."
Can society even exist in it's current form at 600ppm CO2 concentration ?
I know the planet has been at that level before, but it took tens of thousands of years to get there and back again, not 250 years.
Add in the CH4 levels, and you have an equivalence of ~580ppm already." Mark Bevis
What we have now, is a Broken Up Jet Stream,
That has been Pierced, and Lobed,
Because of Mantle Methane, Methane Hydrates, and Emitting over 40 Billion Toxic Tons of Carbon each year Globally.
All this Hot Gas has Pierced the Jet Stream in to Lobes,
The Hot Gas Fueled with the Insane Arctic, Greenland, and Antarctic Ice Melts.
Has Roared its Global Warming Frontal Lobes with Record Setting Temperatures and Record Setting Snow, and Record Setting Rain.
These Methane, and Carbon Molecules Have Roared Their Increased Water Vapor and Global Warming Gases, That will Set Record Heat, Record Snow, Until Greenland is 1/2 melted.
Then Just Record Rain and Record Heat,
Year After Fossil Fuel, Nuclear Radiated Year. (Fukushima) ( 450 Nuclear Reactors at Sea Level ) Year.
Published on Oct 11, 2014
Campaign to allow Californian residents to sell electricity obtained by renewable energy for a fair pro-business market price. Will you read, sign, and share this petition?
https://petitions.moveon.org/sign/let-california-home-owners
We Need a National Feed in Tariff, with Record Droughts, Record Fires, Record Floods that are Locked in to Our New Weather.
It is time to get the Country Ready to Respond, Each Home can be a Beacon, Shining the Light of Hope, Even just for a Few Years, Months, Weeks, or Days.
Protecting our Communities from, Global Warming, Record Fires, Record Winds, Record Rain, Record Heat, Poison Water, Grid Failures, Natural Disasters, Toxic Natural Gas and Oil Fracking.
A California Commercial FiT in Los Angeles, Palo Alto, an Sacramento Ca. are operating NOW, paying the Business Person 17 cents cents per kilowatt hour. Sign and Share this petition for a California Residential Feed in Tariff.
http://signon.org/sign/let-california-home-owners
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Wow, who would have thought except those of us who get their evidence from more reliable sources that the IPCC who continue to ignore the threat posed by methane emissions at their peril and that of the entire bio-sphere.
It’s always more and faster than previously thought.
https://phys.org/news/2018-03-permafrost-methane.html
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Even the Washington Post is forced to come to the faster than previously thought meme!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2018/03/19/the-arctics-carbon-bomb-might-be-even-more-potent-than-we-thought/?utm_term=.ce9690cde35c
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According to the IPCC there is nothing to worry about. Draw your own conclusions as long as you follow the precautionary principle.
http://siberiantimes.com/other/others/news/crater-formed-by-exploding-pingo-in-arctic-erupts-a-second-time-from-methane-emissions/
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The latest analysis from Dr Andrew Glikson about “The Methane Time Bomb and the Future of the Biosphere” which looks utterly dire.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/the-methane-time-bomb-and-the-future-of-the-biosphere/5638298
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“Dr Nisbet’s hypothesis about the tropical wetlands is the most alarming, for it could signal an Arctic-like feedback loop there, whereby global warming could be causing them to release more methane by making them hotter and wetter.” My best guess is a combination of tropical wetlands outgassing the methane and less hydroxyl radicals in the atmosphere adding up to the perfect storm!
https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2018/04/28/scientists-struggle-to-explain-a-worrying-rise-in-atmospheric-methane
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[…] Burning methane on frozen lakes is a sign of the times! More information on the methane risk below courtesy of Paul Beckwith; Bubble Bubble, Methane Trouble […]
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But wait, there’s more.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/trevornace/2018/08/30/nasa-discovers-bubbling-lakes-in-the-remote-arctic-a-sign-of-global-warming/#464cf72761f5
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But wait, there’s always more;
https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/8/12/434/htm?fbclid=IwAR18yVCLO8TB8NaYu65zg0kANI7vvRtT2KFhYLRBBSl460wNR4KK16b0_Es
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There is no other logical conclusion except methane.
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The East Siberian Sea is boiling with methane today and we’re the frogs in the pot carrying on with business as usual.
This is the methane that the liar Michael Mann refuses to accept is being released.
https://www.ecowatch.com/siberia-sea-boiling-methane-2640900862.html?rebelltitem=3#rebelltitem3
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Coming ready or not.
View at Medium.com
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The latest from Robert Hunziker;
https://www.counterpunch.org/2020/01/17/the-rumbling-methane-enigma/
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I’d rather have been proven wrong than right!
https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.php?feature=7598&fbclid=IwAR2GXcgWfNmk2llLbLvv_tggakr72mOd3aEskFX2_3e7unh38Va3uIj6ACE
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Dr Andrew Glikson from the ANU, a former guest on Nature Bats Last on PRN.FM, one of the few scientists prepared to confront the rapidity of changes unfolding and the role that methane is and will play in this extinction event.
Thom Hartmann mentioned the issue of methane clathrates. My co-host on NBL schooled him in that issue some years ago when he was interviewed by Thom.
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https://www.commondreams.org/news/2019/10/09/truly-terrifying-scientists-studying-underwater-permafrost-thaw-find-area-arctic?fbclid=IwAR2Ds6dNSztISz9Mu9Bc2HJ0CfquNxYRMmU9JOV_o2yU_oZu7_E7Zgqmjxo
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We were called ‘alarmists’ for speaking out about the possibility of methane hydrates being destablised, now that they are what will the naysayers say?
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2020/oct/27/sleeping-giant-arctic-methane-deposits-starting-to-release-scientists-find?CMP=fb_gu&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR1gOQrMqEr4fut9XrwL15NodXOuP4BwELstk7gBa3wAQ-6ELhAcIgyfkPY#Echobox=1603813883
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Bubbling methane craters and super seeps – is this the worrying new face of the undersea Arctic?
By Valeria Sukhova, Olga Gertcyk19 November 2020
Video and pictures from latest research mission show gas release in the Laptev and the East Siberian seas.
https://siberiantimes.com/other/others/news/bubbling-methane-craters-and-super-seeps-is-this-the-worrying-new-face-of-the-undersea-arctic/?fbclid=IwAR0nmZ0F3-nCAwCv6tRCnsapE-3bh54jZu22Pn_UcwP-gP1AcPHAAiTXPl8
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The latest from Peter Wadhams et al
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For all those sceptics who doubt the “Methane Bomb hypothesis” explain this to me!
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20201130-climate-change-the-mystery-of-siberias-explosive-craters?fbclid=IwAR0d0g1dItqYAvualyQeKyzVsLkvGJjM4WHdc5r3hlGX9WHzV7MIwNm4ggw
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More evidence;
https://www.maritime-executive.com/article/russian-researchers-find-widespread-methane-seeps-across-laptev-sea?fbclid=IwAR0xUu3KHL3ipx5XSBfoG-celniXayCrplLlLQKJOjp6_uU333OJFWtFj8k
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“The moon could be affecting how much methane is released from the Arctic Ocean seafloor, a new study finds.”
“The tides, which are controlled by the moon, affect how much methane is released from seafloor sediments: Low tides mean less pressure and more methane released, while high tides create more pressure, and therefore less methane emission.”
https://www.livescience.com/moon-trigger-methane-release-arctic.html?fbclid=IwAR0N8NqqXlzPaz767PTOQ60fwRScojmjTuusbXj50uUIT__ucZcOY5SBix8
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