Tragically for the biosphere and the continuation of complex life on this planet the “Precautionary Principle’ has been cast to the winds as we plunge headlong, full speed ahead into the climate / extinction crisis, not only by failing to meet the pathetically weak aspirations of the non binding Cop21 Climate Agreement in Paris, we fail to allow for the unknown or so called “Black Swan” events that will almost certainly continue to manifest as we navigate blindly through these unchartered, peril filled waters.
This blue water, ocean sailor can’t believe the risks that are being taken by failing to follow the “Precautionary Principle” and not preparing for possible worst case scenarios that could literally unfold any day now. The failure of the scientific community to convey the urgency of the crisis is a dereliction of duty.
Image courtesy of William Bibb a former guest on Nature Bats Last
We have increased the atmospheric loading of H2O relative to the CO2 forced warming we have dumped into the atmosphere and more significantly, into the oceans, every second of every minute of every hour of every day, week, month and year for the last 300yrs and there is no respite insight. This feedback loop and it’s consequences are largely ignored.
As well as losing heat and water vapour into the atmosphere, as we wipe out the marine food web with acidification and the lunacy of vacuming up the Krill, we lose the carbon sequestering species and the oceans become carbon emitters rather than sinks. That feedback is non-linear just like the sea ice albedo feedback loop.
In this brief clip some of the luminaries of the climate world speak of known and unknown “Black Swan” possibilities with close to no sense of urgency;
With regards to the Arctic Sea Ice and it’s resultant feedback loop, normally sober commentators describe us as having “Fallen off a Cliff”.
““We’ve fallen off a cliff,” said Rick Thoman, a climatologist at the National Weather Service in Alaska, in a tweet.
When I asked former guest on my radio show, Nature Bats Last on the Progressive Radio Network Professor Andrew Glickson, “How long before we see “Canfield Oceans” he replied “We’re seeing them now”.
Professor Glickson emailed me a copy of his recent article; The Methane Time Bomb and the Future of the Biosphere:
The Arctic Sea Ice situation is extremely dire and the concern many of us have is the potential release of the 50 gigatonne burst of methane predicted by Dr Natalia Shakova mentioned in the above hyperlinked article “The Methane Time Bomb”.
“President Niinisto in North Russia: ‘If We Lose the Arctic, We Lose the World’
When, not if, we get a large, anomalous discharge of methane during this summer melt season or another substantial surprise, like the stalling or worse still the collapse of the AMOC we will sooner or later reach a tipping point when the public at large will realise that we have crossed the rubicon and are heading into the abyss. Very, very quickly we could and imho will see a collapse of confidence in our civilisation.
Another former guest on Nature Bats Last Professor Paul Ehrlich recently predicted in a Guardian article: “A shattering collapse of civilisation is a “near certainty” in the next few decades due to humanity’s continuing destruction of the natural world that sustains all life on Earth.
We are one “Black Swan” event away from seeing the collapse of industrial civilisation and the end to complex life on this planet. Don’t for a nano-second believe we have a decade or two, the tipping point could arrive tomorrow or could have unfolded by the time the reader finds this humble contribution to the debate.
Talking about the worst case scenarios we are facing is considered alarmist yet ignoring them is mal-practice.
As I chronicle the unraveling of the biosphere, I am finding more and more credible experts coming to the same conclusions: From a lecture titled “Stop Fascism: Chris Hedges in Portland Oregon”.
“But even as we stand on the cusp of extinction we lack the ability to free ourselves from the myth of human progress” ( at the 38 minute mark).” “There is a familiar check list for extinction, we are ticking every one of them .”
Normally Chris Hedges skirts around our imminent extinction but not today. In this great presentation he calls out the cowboy capitalism that has ground the living planet into dust. Hedges also ridicules Donald J. Trump as the “Idiot in chief”.
I’ve added this presentation to the comments section of my blog post on Chris Hedges titled ;
The Myth of Human Progress and the Collapse of Complex Societies.
Additional reading on this subject below;
‘We’re doomed’: Mayer Hillman on the climate reality no one else will dare mention”
On the 25th of May 2018, I am editing this post to include a link from“The Collapse Chronicles” to include the following excellent interview: “John Casti: “I’m Not Optimistic that the World 30 years from now is one I want to wake up into”. His timelines I believe are very ‘optimistic’ but the pathways and analysis is spot on. I will email him and request an interview myself for my radio show Nature Bats Last on PRN.FM
May the force be with you, you sure are going to need it. Soon the living will envy the dead.