This Civilisation is Finished. Rupert Reid, Paul Ehrlich and Jem Bendell.

“A research paper concluding that climate-induced collapse is now inevitable, was recently rejected by anonymous reviewers of an academic journal.”

“It has been released directly by the Professor who wrote it, to promote discussion of the necessary deep adaptation to climate chaos.”

“I am releasing this paper immediately, directly, because I can’t wait any longer in exploring how to learn the implications of the social collapse we now face,” explained the author Dr Bendell, a full Professor of Sustainability Leadership.
One piece of feedback from the 2nd reviewer is worth quoting verbatim:”

“The authors stress repeatedly that “climate-induced societal collapse is now inevitable” as if that was a factual statement… I was left wondering about the social implications of presenting a scenario for the future as inevitable reality, and about the responsibility of research in communicating climate change scenarios and strategies for adaptation. As the authors pointed out, denial is a common emotional response to situations that are perceived as threatening and inescapable, leading to a sense of helplessness, inadequacy, and hopelessness and ultimately disengagement from the issue…” The full article is embedded below;
The Study on Collapse they thought you should not read;

In the presentation below Rupert Reid talks about the meltdown of the worlds nuclear power plants and their attendant spent fuel pool fires after industrial civilisation has collapsed;

“A shattering collapse of civilisation is a “near certainty” in the next few decades due to humanity’s continuing destruction of the natural world that sustains all life on Earth, according to biologist Prof Paul Ehrlich.” I believe that Paul Ehrlich is being over cautious with his timeline due to his being proven wrong  on some of his predictions in his and Anne Ehrlich’s seminal book “The Population Bomb”. Paul was a former guest on Nature Bats Last, the show is embedded here;
P
aul Ehrlich: ‘Collapse of civilisation is a near certainty within decades’

 

The 7.6 billion sapien question is how quickly can industrial civilisation collapse and the answer is almost over night.
Check out Joseph Tainter’s work on the Collapse of Complex Societies.

A little discussed aspect of the collapse of industrial civilisation is the loss of ‘Global Dimming’ or ‘The Aerosol Masking Effect’ as it is referred to in the referee journal literature. When Ind.Civ collapses we loose the masking effect of our pollution and within about 6 weeks of collapse we will see the particulates fall from the sky and the 1.2C to 1.4C of masked warming manifest in the climate system.
We covered this terminal reality previously on this blog here; Global Dimming Keeping the Planet Habitable

Professor Guy McPherson and I will continue chronicling the unraveling of the biosphere  and collapse on our radio show Nature Bats Last on PRN.FM

“How do we live with the fact that we are destroying our world? What do we make of the loss of glaciers, the melting Arctic, island nations swamped by the sea, widening deserts, and drying farmlands?”

“Because of social taboos, despair at the state of our world and fear for our future are rarely acknowledged. The suppression of despair, like that of any deep recurring response, contributes to the numbing of the psyche. Expressions of anguish or outrage are muted, deadened as if a nerve had been cut. This refusal to feel impoverishes our emotional and sensory life. Flowers are dimmer and less fragrant, our loves less ecstatic. We create diversions for ourselves as individuals and as nations, in the fights we pick, the aims we pursue, and the stuff we buy.” From the essay “The Greatest Danger” by Joanna Macey

 

Activist, sailor, passionate about the earth and all it's inhabitants without favour . Brace for imminent impact as we bare witness to the non-linear unraveling of the biosphere and habitability disappearing for most if not all complex life on the only habitable planet we know of. To quote President Niinistö in North Russia: ‘If We Lose the Arctic, We Lose the World’. Folks we have lost the Arctic.

Posted in Collapse, Jem Bendell, Professor Paul Ehrlich, Ruppert Reid
12 comments on “This Civilisation is Finished. Rupert Reid, Paul Ehrlich and Jem Bendell.
  1. Kevin Hester says:

    “DHS is warning that the electric grid is now the “prime target” of terrorists, and says Americans need to be prepared for a power outage of up to six months.”
    Imagine a USA without power for 6 months, 110 nuclear power plant meltdowns and all those lunatics with guns running out of their anti-depressants.
    Good luck everyone.
    https://offgridsurvival.com/dhspowergriddownwarning/?fbclid=IwAR3wsKjaJp5W9uvAUCmIV4oxY8Tn_pEoGWRFu6MozyxIzaZlRDsPZv-Yb-U

    Like

  2. I think civilization will collapse in about 5 years because of crop failure. There were large scale crop failures this year, 2018, through out the northern hemisphere. A doubling of food prices will cause social unrest and state repression.

    Liked by 1 person

  3. Kevin Hester says:

    Great interview with Joseph Tainter on the collapse of complex societies;

    Like

  4. aine says:

    Notice anything here? Almost all men. Perhaps female view is slightly different? I don’t know, just throwing it out there

    Liked by 1 person

  5. Kevin Hester says:

    Ruppert Reid on Collapse Chronicles;

    Liked by 1 person

  6. Kevin Hester says:

    Post-Civilisation – IFLAS Occasional Paper 3
    IFLAS is pleased that philosopher, Chair of Green House thinktank, and leading member of Extinction Rebellion, Dr Rupert Read has contributed our 3rd Occasional Paper.

    https://iflas.blogspot.com/2018/12/post-civilisation-iflas-occasional.html?fbclid=IwAR1Q_CZOVQuFBFlgThlzNvfK-1POazQ8RG8HggXoML1WaYtNIy13njXOX_M

    Like

  7. Kevin Hester says:

    A really brilliant analysis from The Saker with incisive comments from Orlov with one glaring ommission with regards to the unfolding collapse.
    No mention of the ecological armageddon already unfolding.
    It’s the perfect storm.
    https://robinwestenra.blogspot.com/2019/01/the-saker-on-five-stages-of-collapse.html?spref=fb&fbclid=IwAR1epuGfOjgDH0DQAL70IFj1GKWa0rHCn_fbESLwWJofWa7NuJw59qJSgZ4

    Like

  8. Kevin Hester says:

    The courageous Jem Bendell discusses his landmark paper on the concept of Deep Adaptation and states his belief in the inevitability of climate-induced societal collapse within the next 10 years which is exactly what my former guest on Nature Bats Last Professor Paul Ehrlich has hypothisised. “Within” means between now and 10 years, I believe we are a day to day, week to week, month to month proposition. I’ve covered the collapse of complex societies previously on my blog.
    Interestingly he mentions his former silence on his conclusions was due to his fear of losing his earning ability and his social status as a professor.
    No one likes being “Cassandra” believe me, I’ve had 6 yrs of it!
    Jem mentions that we only have 4 months of global grain production reserves, so we are already facing mass starvation very soon, including in the West and he comments on us feeding grain to stock !!!!!!!
    He believes that the collapse is already upon us, who does that remind you of?
    His honesty when discussing the emotional journey is refreshing and inspiring. “Getting busy with action can be a distraction of full acceptance of our predicament”. A laser guided observation that the Extinction Rebellion movement needs to consider. Interestingly he doesn’t mention the fact that 450 abandoned nuclear plants will melt down, I suspect he’s still ‘connecting the dots’ on the totality of collapse. It can only be worse than we know.
    Remain calm, nothing is under control.
    We are only one major climate and/or economic crisis away from total collapse.
    No one is coming to the rescue. One day soon those of you on reticulated water and electricity will experience an ‘outage’ that will never come back on!
    Good luck everyone, we’re gonna need it.

    Like

  9. dushkob says:

    Astonishing clarity, conviction and counsel.

    Liked by 1 person

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Kevin Hester

Kevin Hester is currently living on Rakino Island, a small island in the Hauraki Gulf near Auckland, New Zealand, monitoring the unravelling of the biosphere and volunteering at the Rakino Island Nursery is currently developing a proposal to create a marine reserve near by. The Island has no grid tied electricity or reticulated water.  I catch my own water from the roof and generate my electricity from the ample solar radiation on the island.

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