Climate-exodus is expected in the Middle East and North Africa. There is zero chance of emissions being restricted to 2 degrees C and with the “Business as Usual” scenario we are looking at 4C with no allowance for forcing from methane from the melting permafrost and the ocean clathrates which could and probably will lead on to 6 and 8C.
The absolute certainty that this region will become uninhabitable in the near term also guarantees the outbreak of habitat wars.
All wars are resource wars and on a planet of diminishing resources and habitat this guarantees our dystopian future.
Brace for imminent impact:
‘The number of climate refugees could increase dramatically in future. Researchers of the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry and the Cyprus Institute in Nicosia have calculated that the Middle East and North Africa could become so hot that human habitability is compromised. The goal of limiting global warming to less than two degrees Celsius, agreed at the recent UN climate summit in Paris, will not be sufficient to prevent this scenario. The temperature during summer in the already very hot Middle East and North Africa will increase more than two times faster compared to the average global warming. This means that during hot days temperatures south of the Mediterranean will reach around 46 degrees Celsius (approximately 114 degrees Fahrenheit) by mid-century‘. … article continues, here: