Napoleon’s Frozen Hell: 685,000 Enter Russia, 40,000 Return

Followed by China’s “Century of Humiliation.”

I’ve been trying to make the point that no one can truly understand the contemporary political positions of Russia’s President Putin and China’s Xi and the scholars they have surrounded themselves with for many decades of revolutionary, anti-Imperialist resistance to NATO provocations, without considering what barbarian invaders, invariably from Western Europe and the British Empire have inflicted on these two proud cultures in the recent past, with many witnesses and survivors still alive today, it’s impossible to truly comprehend their perspective. More on the Japanese war crimes in China after the following video.
The magnificent documentary below focuses on the collapse of the French invasion of Russia, how Napolean Bonapartes’ ego sealed his empires fate, we’ll get to China after we’ve crossed the Russian Steppes, buckle up!

“In June 1812, Napoleon Bonaparte led 685,000 men—the largest army ever assembled in European history—across the Niemen River into Russia. Six months later, fewer than 40,000 returned alive. This is the story of the greatest military catastrophe before the World Wars, and why it wasn’t just winter that destroyed the Grand Army. Most people think “General Winter” defeated Napoleon. The truth is far more complex—and far more devastating. The Grande Armée was already dying in the summer heat, months before the first snow fell. Disease, starvation, and Russian scorched-earth strategy were tearing the army apart before winter ever arrived. This documentary reveals what really happened during the 1812 Russian campaign, from the crossing of the Niemen to the frozen hell of the retreat from Moscow.”

Central to the failure to crush Russia, was the underestimation of the durability of the Russian people and the overestimation by Napolean that he could maintain his supply chains.


Let’s move on to the Peoples Republic of China.
Experts believe that at least 25 million people died in the Pacific Theater during World War II, with some of the grisliest deaths befalling Chinese civilians who were systematically tortured by the Imperial Japanese Army.

“Many historical narratives of World War II focus on Europe. There, Nazis brought destruction across the continent, massacring millions of people. But Japanese war crimes were just as atrocious.”

“In the Pacific Theater, the Imperial Army of Japan terrorized people everywhere it went. The infamous Rape of Nanking resulted in the deaths of upwards of 300,000 Chinese civilians, as well as the rapes of between 20,000 to 80,000 girls and women. Secretive Japanese facilities like Unit 731 conducted gruesome medical experiments on prisoners and developed weapons using deadly diseases.”
“And Allied POWs were often subjected to horrific torture and executions, in defiance of international law.”
The Rape Of Nanking: One Of The Worst Japanese War Crimes.
Inside The Horrifying History Of Japanese War Crimes During World War II

The late great John Pilger predicted these days in his magnificent documentary:
The Coming War on China
“The Coming War on China, from award winning journalist John Pilger, reveals what the news doesn’t – that the world’s greatest military power, the United States, and the world’s second economic power, China, both nuclear-armed, may well be on the road to war. Nuclear war is not only imaginable but planned. The greatest build-up of NATO military forces since the Second World War is under way on the western borders of Russia. On the other side of the world, the rise of China is viewed in Washington as a threat to American dominance.”

I was born into an Irish Republican Socialist immigrants’ home in Aotearoa New Zealand.
Part of the reason my parents emigrated was British racism toward us Irish and a desire to give us kids a better life, after 800 years of racist colonial occupation. When I was a lad, I heard my parents, and their Irish comrades debate how Māori were treated in Aotearoa NZ, with similar racism that indigenous Irish faced from the Anglo occupiers in our homeland and within the not very, United Kingdom.
Ma’s dad was a quartermaster in the Irish Citizen Army; he fought alongside the Revolutionary Socialist James Connolly during the Irish War of Independence.

“While Connolly fought for workers’ rights, he also recognized that political independence was essential for any real social change. In the lead-up to the 1916 Easter Rising, he aligned with the Irish Republican Brotherhood and became commander of the Irish Citizen Army (ICA), a workers’ militia originally formed to protect strikers during the Dublin Lockout.”
My grandfathers O.C.

“On Easter Monday, April 24, 1916, Connolly and his forces seized key positions in Dublin, proclaiming the Irish Republic. Despite his socialist convictions, Connolly worked alongside nationalist leaders like Patrick Pearse, seeing the Rising as a step toward both freedom and social equality.”

Who Was James Connolly? The Irish Socialist and Revolutionary Leader

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Posted in Colonialism, Imperialism, Irish Republican Resistance, Rape of Nanking

The Perfect Storm is Unfolding in our Oceans

“The sea is only the embodiment of a supernatural and wonderful existence. It is nothing but love and emotion; it is the Living Infinite…” Jules Verne.
We opened the discussion below referencing an incredible article from Grist, I highly recommend reading it or listening via the embedded audio option. It details an incredible feedback loop!
“The planet would be a whole lot hotter if it weren’t for fecal pellets. Across the world’s oceans, tiny organisms known as phytoplankton harvest the sun’s energy, gobbling up carbon dioxide and releasing oxygen. They’re eaten by little animals called zooplankton, which poop out pellets that sink to the seafloor. What is essentially a giant toilet, then, flushes carbon at the surface into the depths, where it stays locked away from the atmosphere, thus keeping the amount of CO2 up there in check.”

“But as humans pump ever more carbon into the sky, relentlessly raising ocean temperatures, worrying signals are flashing that this commode could be changing in profound ways. Consider the northeastern Pacific, off the coast of Alaska, where two major heat waves took hold of the sea, one from 2013 to 2015 and the other from 2019 to 2020. A new study found the two events transformed the composition of phytoplankton and zooplankton, essentially clogging the toilet and preventing the downward transport of carbon into the depths.” 
The ocean is a carbon toilet. Marine heat waves are clogging it.

In short, ocean acidification is proceeding at a rate unparalleled during the last 300 million years, according to a peer-reviewed paper in the renowned journal, Science
An article at Phys.Org published 12 March 2025 is titled Eukaryotic phytoplankton decline due to ocean acidification could significantly impact global carbon cycle. Here’s the expansive lede: “Princeton University and Xiamen University researchers report that in tropical and subtropical oligotrophic waters, ocean acidification reduces primary production, the process of photosynthesis in phytoplankton, where they take in carbon dioxide …, sunlight, and nutrients to produce organic matter (food and energy).”
The above paragraph is from my article titled: “The Multi-Pronged Relentless Attacks on Our Oceans.”

I mentioned this article Coral collapse signals Earth’s first climate tipping point

“These global die-offs are a warning: More tipping points could be reached soon”
Guy and I discussed the reality that we have triggered at least six dozen feedback loops, all documented at his monster Climate Change Summary.

I mentioned that “Researchers have discovered dozens of new methane seeps littering the ocean floor in the Ross Sea coastal region of Antarctica, raising concerns of an unknown positive climate feedback loop that could accelerate global warming.” Methane leaks multiplying beneath Antarctic ocean spark fears of climate doom loop

I mentioned that we are hurtling towards Canfield Oceans, I wrote about that threat in Shades of a Canfield Ocean — Hydrogen Sulfide in Oregon’s Purple Waves?

I mentioned ‘Megastorms’ that throw thousand-tonne boulders over clifftops may be on their way back thanks to global warming

The designed to fail IPCC was discussed as was their factoring Carbon Capture and Storage at Scale into their RCP’s. That folly sealed our fate. It’s Time to Acknowledge the Spectacular Success of the IPCC.

We discussed the role that reduced shipping emissions have contributed to rising Sea Surface Temperatures. The Aerosol Masking Effect, a Deep Dive into Our “Faustian Bargain”

Debs mentioned increased seismic and volcanic activity, I’ve covered that in my article titled: “Isostatic rebound and our rocky future

Caulerpa is the invasive weed spreading around the Hauraki Gulf.
Fears invasive seaweed could spread through Hauraki Gulf

We critiqued Michael E Mann, more on his deceit follows, Scientific Mal-Practice from the Mann Himself

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Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Aerosol Masking Effect, Antarctica, Methane, Oceans, The Great Barrier Reef

Non-Linearity in the Climate System

“The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to truly understand the exponential function”, Albert Bartlett.

I see a lot of hand wringing over DJT describing our predicament as a ‘Hoax.’ The man child at the helm of the not very United States has correctly figured out that the only way to keep the numbers down, is not add them up!

Last century all the large NGOs used to warn of crossing “Tipping points,” This century it’s ‘verboten’ to mention the expression, as if not mentioning something makes it go away!
The cognitive dissonance is incredible!

“If you have been following my work for more than 15 minutes, you undoubtedly know that Earth is amid abrupt, irreversible climate change. As a result of anthropogenic climate change, Earth is experiencing the most rapid change in planetary history. This change is irreversible. This abrupt, irreversible change was published in two reports produced more than six years ago by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, an organization designed-to-fail when it was created during the Ronald Reagan administration. Michael Oppenheimer, a Professor at Princeton University, concluded that the IPCC was designed to fail.”
The quote and video above with additional analysis, can be found at Professor McPherson’s Substack: The Rate of Environmental Change
Proof of the IPCC being a corporate construct can be found at It’s Time to Acknowledge the Spectacular Success of the IPCC. Warning, satire alert.
I’ll drop a video below of the late great Albert Bartlett describing the exponential function, it’s critical to understand where our trajectory is taking us.

11 Animals We Have Lost in the Last 50 Years

“The extinction of animal species is one of the most tragic consequences of human interference with nature. It not only means the irreversible loss of unique creatures but also the collapse of ecosystems whose stability depends on these species. Estimates suggest that in recent decades, around 500 to 1,000 documented.”
I’ve just discovered the incredible website above, courtesy of Doreen Fräßdorf.

Above is a great graphic explanation of how feedback loops interact.
Six years ago, Guy and I interviewed Professor Andrew Glikson on Tipping Points in the Earth Climate System. Dr Andrew Glikson returns to Nature Bats Last

“The planet would be a whole lot hotter if it weren’t for fecal pellets. Across the world’s oceans, tiny organisms known as phytoplankton harvest the sun’s energy, gobbling up carbon dioxide and releasing oxygen. They’re eaten by little animals called zooplankton, which poop out pellets that sink to the seafloor. What is essentially a giant toilet, then, flushes carbon at the surface into the depths, where it stays locked away from the atmosphere, thus keeping the amount of CO2 up there in check.”

“But as humans pump ever more carbon into the sky, relentlessly raising ocean temperatures, worrying signals are flashing that this commode could be changing in profound ways.”
The ocean is a carbon toilet. Marine heat waves are clogging it.
Sam Carana from the Arctic News Blog has warned of the possibility of a double “Blue Ocean Event” at both poles, according to the Scripps Institute a BOE in the Arctic will be the equivalent of 25 years of current emissions.

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Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Nature Bats Last, Professor Guy McPherson

Two Relentless Years of Western Backed Genocide, with No End in Sight.

Two years ago today, the IDF allowed Hamas to attack their own occupying forces, with the attendant grief and loss for their own ‘expendable people’, so that they could ‘justify’ the long-planned carpet bombing and ethnic cleansing of Gaza, in a grotesque segway towards turning Gaza into a lucrative “Property Development” scam, for those same corporations who are manufacturing the munitions.
The same one’s that ransacked Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and now Syria, then the next cab off the rank looks to be Venezuela, before they move on to China.
The coming attack on Venezuela is intrinsically linked to Peak Oil.
The Egyptian government warned Netanyahu about the coming ‘armed self-defense’ by Hamas.
I frame it as an “Armed Self Defense” as I did our armed struggle in Ireland and that of the PAC and ANC in Apartheid South Africa and my Frelimo comrades in my beloved Mozambique. I reject the imperialist framing.
With all its faults, Hamas have a revolutionary duty to oppose the occupation.
Egypt intelligence official says Israel ignored repeated warnings of ‘something big’ and then Hamas stepped up big time, as was their right, under the much-ignored Geneva Conventions and their simple duty as revolutionary patriots.
The response from the Apartheid state couldn’t be more fascistic, until tomorrow, when it will get worse.

“The Hostages and Missing Families Forum that advocates for the captives went even further, proclaiming that “the Israeli government sentenced the living hostages to death and the fallen hostages to disappearance” by announcing a takeover of Gaza.” Courtesy of Max Blumental and the wonderful team at the Grayzone. Israel’s govt issues ‘death sentence’ to remaining captives.

The European Zionist Colonial Settler project, in occupied Palestine, couldn’t continue to exist without the tacit support of all of the Western Powers, who continue to supply the cowards in the IDF with munitions, logistics, financial and political cover, as the dismembered bodies of children and their families mount up in the tens of thousands of kids, hundreds of thousands of adult civilians and across all of West Asia, millions of patriots.
The Zionist project has been planning for these times for 77 years; they have infiltrated Western Governments worldwide. I remember thinking when they branded Jeremy Corbyn in Britain a ‘Racist, Anti-Semite,’ that they had stolen the election. The dude doesn’t have a racist cell in his body. Stealing elections is Zionism’s ‘Modus Operandi’.
Fortunately, they have overused the “Antisemite” trope to death.

In the not very United States of America, the Zionists have complete control of the twin cheeks of the same corporate asshole, that masquerades as a democratic process, when in reality, it’s the best democracy that corporate money can buy!
Israel has committed genocide in the Gaza Strip, UN Commission finds
“The Commission has been investigating the events on and since 7 October 2023 for the last two years, and concluded that Israeli authorities and Israeli security forces committed four of the five genocidal acts defined by the 1948 Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide, namely killing, causing serious bodily or mental harm, deliberately inflicting conditions of life calculated to bring about the destruction of the Palestinians in whole or in part, and imposing measures intended to prevent births.” Israel has committed genocide in the Gaza Strip, UN Commission finds.

Now let’s dive into the environmental carnage resulting from this colonial/imperialist fascism in West Asia.
The climate cost of Israel’s war on Gaza
We can’t even stop a live streamed genocide; we had no chance of addressing climate change!

“The carbon footprint of Israel’s war on Gaza exceeds the annual emissions of 20 small countries, according to new research. Here’s a look at the cost of Israel’s war on the climate.” Published On 31 January 2024. Equivalent to the emissions of Aotearoa NZ!
The assault has continued for a subsequent 8 months, so clearly, it’s much worse now.
The climate cost of Israel’s war on Gaza

Abby Martin has just released a new feature film titled. Earth’s Greatest Enemy – A New Film by Abby Martin [OFFICIAL TEASER] below.

Above is a previous discussion I have had on the environmental consequences of this incessant warmongering. All the statistics and sources I quoted, can be found at my blog post titled Warmongering and the Climate Crisis

The current Western supported Apartheid state in West Asia detonated a nuclear weapon in conjunction with South Africa in 1979. I can’t imagine Benjamin Netanyahu keeping them as ornaments much longer.

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Posted in Imperialism, Nuclear Threats, Peak Oil, Resistance, Warfare

Is AI Consuming Your Water and Power?

I’m intrigued about everything AI, how could I not be?
My professional qualifications in analyzing AI focus on the power consumption issue.
As a youth I did an electrical apprenticeship in Aotearoa New Zealand with the Government department with the dystopian title of the Ministry of Works, I was a civilian working on Whenuapai and Hobsonville RNZAF airbases. I lived in the barracks, ate in the canteens, board and lodgings were almost free, $7bucks for a kid who was earning $44/week! My income was 6 times my basic outgoings, compare that to our youths’ prospects today!
A decade later I then went on to get a high voltage switching and protection qualification from the London Electricity Board.
That led to me then becoming the Electrical Engineer at Sun Alliance Computer Centre in Lennox Woods in the south of England. All the billing for the UK, Europe and Africa was processed in our complex.
In 1987 it was the data center of its time. A so-called “Intelligent building”!
It also turned out to be a backup computer center for the British Military, I suspect many of these data centers will be entangled on the electrically important detail of having suitable redundances as backups during conflict.
It’s ‘common sense’ from a militaristic perspective.
At Lennox Woods I was responsible for maintaining the hardware of IBM mainframes, that were cooled with Anton Liebert chillers, that literally pumped coolant through the mainframes to cool them, all backed up with incredible “Uninterrupted Power Supplies.” more commonly known as UPS systems.
The coolant is then pumped through cooling fans/radiators on the roof for additional cooling before being returned back into the cooling cycle.
In data centres 80% of all the cooling water evaporates, it never occurred to me at the time that evaporation had consequences. Mea culpa.
Additionally, as ambient temperatures increase this ‘Free cooling’ via roof top cooling fans/towers will become redundant due to higher air temperatures.
None of our old engineering specs hold up anymore, already. Nuclear plants often have to shut down when cooling water is too hot to operate the plants.
So much for Nuclear being an option on a broiling planet.

According to Cloudtech
“Hyperscale facilities operated by companies like Google demonstrate the true scale of the challenge. Google’s data centres average 550,000 gallons (2.1 million litres) daily, totalling approximately 200 million gallons (760 million litres) annually per facility. Microsoft’s global operations consumed nearly 6.4 million cubic metres of water (approximately 1.69 billion gallons) in their most recent reporting year – a 34% increase from the previous year.”

From a LiveScience article “There are 32 different ways AI can go rogue, scientists say — from hallucinating answers to a complete misalignment with humanity”
There is a technical glitch in the following video from the 5 to the 8-minute mark, skip those few minutes.

“Lennox Wood has closed its doors for the final time after 40 years.”
“New research has created the first comprehensive effort to categorize all the ways AI can go wrong, with many of those behaviors resembling human psychiatric disorders.”
I commented on the coming tsunami of grief in our youth and one listener asked if I had written on that topic, I have indeed: The Coming Tsunami of Grief.
“The data centers that power artificial intelligence require huge amounts of electricity. Some experts estimate we’ll need as much as 25% more electricity by 2030, and 78% by 2050, to meet this demand alone.” AI’s Massive Energy Demands 


Data Centre’s are accelerating the Water Vapor Feedback Loop.
“Among many vital processes, the role of water vapor is crucial. This natural element acts as a potent greenhouse gas itself. It intensifies the warming process through a feedback loop that can amplify existing changes in temperature. Understanding how water vapor interacts with heat in our atmosphere is critical for accurate climate models.”
How The Water Vapor Feedback Loop Intensifies Climate Change
How AI Data centres are causing droughts in the USA.


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Posted in Aerosol Masking Effect, Electrical Grid threats, Energy Industry, Nature Bats Last, Peak Oil, Professor Guy McPherson

War in the East, War in the West, War up North, War Down South – Every Where There’s War & Environmental Carnage.

I’ve been saying for decades that I’ve lived in Two War Zones, I was mistaken, I omitted the most important war I’m co-waging, with billions of others, the war on the ecosystem.
‘Industrial Civilisation’ is at war with the living biome. Guess who’s ‘winning’?
In 1982 I flew from Aotearoa NZ to the USA, enroute to Nicaragua to support the Sandinista revolution. I was a newly qualified electrician, a valuable trade in a war zone. My Irish father had an “A Class Explosives” qualification from the NZ government, I got to blow stuff up with him as a kid, it was thrilling in the real sense. We blew up one large tree stump in suburban Auckland and at a couple of farm quarries we turned hill sides into rubble, Mea culpa. I started reading some of his training manuals as a teenager, then they mysteriously disappeared!
At the Guatemala/El Salvador border the wonderful Guatemalan immigration guards refused to let me cross into C.I.A. drug funded, war ravaged El Salvador. They said it was far too dangerous for me to cross. They almost certainly saved my 22-year-old life.
My first experience of kinetic war was in occupied West Belfast during our armed self-defense against the British invaders in Ireland and the ongoing occupation of the Six Counties, that was in the early 1980’s. I was regularly assaulted by the Brits, once at a funeral. Yes, you read that right, I was at a young volunteers’ funeral, we were mourning a comrade that had been executed by these same soldiers and a Brit officer took exception to my German registered VW Golf because the Provo’s and the INLA were bumping off Brit soldiers in occupied Germany. It’s my contention that Germany has been occupied by the USA since 1945. At the time of German Reunification in 1990, there were still about 200,000 US soldiers in Germany. President Joe Biden blew up the Nord Stream pipeline, tripling Germany’s energy cost, financially bringing the country to its knees, yet still its vacuous leaders remain mute!
It proves what vassal states the Western Europeans are.
I wrote about my time in Belfast, that article is titled: Adventures of a Member of the Diaspora in Occupied West Belfast. Obviously, these are the edited highlights.
Back to war again in 1991 when I worked on an EU funded development project in Mozambique, while the original nuclear armed Apartheid state to the South was behind an insurgency attacking the popular revolutionary government, mostly by terrorising rural communities to drive them off their ancestral land and into the cities as refugees, exactly as they did in Syria over the last 15 years.
I sometimes heard automatic weapons fire and felt and heard mortar rounds exploding at the nearby airport. Because I know what the vibrations and shock wave of a mortar round or a bomb feels like the plight of Palestinians and every other victim of Imperialism literally hits home for me.
When I was working at the port in Beira, there were more refugees in the city that the original inhabitants. Our team that was working on the high voltage transmission lines during that time had a herd of goats to ‘herd’ around the construction site, to detonate landmines laid by the South African mercenaries over night! My work colleagues faced those risks for a pittance. I wrote about our time in Africa: Adventures in Africa- Brushes with Death- A Love Story

Then there is the other war I am involved in, as a protagonist, against the living planet.
I had failed to interpret properly, that I, we, all the other earthlings are living in a perpetual war zone.

The empire of chaos has deliberately tried to turn Iran’s legitimate nuclear program, monitored by the IAEA, into a ‘dirty bomb’, as if there is any other kind of bomb, another breach of the Geneva Conventions.
Let’s now head over to persecuted Iran.
“Other targets that were hit included an oil refinery in Tehran and the city’s main gas depot, the South Pars Gas Field in the Persian Gulf, and the Fajr Jam gas plant in Bushehr. Israel has also attacked the nuclear facility at Natanzmissile storage and launch sites in Tabriz and Kermanshah, and an industrial complex in the northern provinces. The United States joined the war on June 21, and struck three nuclear sites: Fordow, Natanz, and facilities near the ancient city of Isfahan.”
From the New Scientist article titled: The war lasted 12 days. The environmental impact on Iran may last decades

I highly recommend Glenn Diesen’s YouTube channel. He’s another superb anti-Imperialist professor.
The current Western supported Apartheid state in West Asia detonated a nuclear weapon in conjunction with South Africa in 1979.

After watching the pathology of the Netanyahu regime, it has now become more likely that they will use another one.

Iran has the ability to close the Straits of Hormuz to anyone they consider an adversary or connected to the wars on West Asia, that will send fuel futures through the roof and destabilise the global supply chains!

.

Now let’s remember that NATO dropped depleted uranium munitions on Serbia, the Serbian nation will live with the ecological consequences until this extinction event plays out.
“In Serbia, aggressive cancer among young and old has reached epidemic proportions in recent years. The suffering of the people cries out to heaven. The south of Serbia and Kosovo are particularly affected. According to the Serbian Ministry of Health, a child falls ill with cancer every day. The entire country is contaminated. Due to the damage to the genetic material (DNA), generations upon generations of deformed children will be born. Knowingly and willingly, genocide has been committed.”
“Here, with the tacit acquiescence of NATO allies – including Germany – the US army used weapons of mass destruction that it had already tested in the 2nd Gulf War in 1991 and in Bosnia-Herzegovina in 1994/95: highly toxic and radioactive uranium weapons. NATO itself has admitted that it has fired 30,000 shells with depleted uranium (DU), the Serbian military speaks of 50,000 shells. This is equivalent to 10 to 15 tonnes of uranium.” source: NATO’s Use of Depleted Uranium Weapons in Serbia in 1999: The War that Won’t End

The video above formed the basis of my previous blog post titled Warmongering and the Climate Crisis

This is the last article written by Christopher C Black before his recent untimely death, R.I.P. comrade:
The Kiev-Washington Agreement Encourages More War

As we watch the Apartheid state and their cohorts in all of the Western Powers carry out a 600+ day genocide, the use of a nuke becomes more likely.

$2.7 trillion more spent on death and destruction, negating our tiny attempts to reduce emissions.

Good luck everyone, we’ll all be collateral damage.

Neither flora nor fauna survive war uninjured.

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Posted in Christopher C Black, Colonialism, Imperialism, Irish Republican Resistance, Military, Professor Guy McPherson

NBL Live presentation: 485 Million years of climate info ignored.

Narrative control during the great unravelling was the topic of this discussion.
Professor McPherson discussed the role that the IPCC is playing in controlling the narrative around the poly-crises we are confronted with. A video analysis of the corporate construct and corroborating evidence is embedded at: It’s Time to Acknowledge the Spectacular Success of the IPCC.

As always, the issue of the Aerosol Masking Effect came up and I mentioned an article from China titled: China’s fight against smog has actually sped up global warming
I mentioned Johan Rockström, Director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research has recently stated that we’re only at 1.2C and said the tipping point for the Amazon rain forest is between 3 and 5C. Guy made a video about the Amazon becoming a net emitter of CO2 since at least 2020. Edge of Extinction: Amazon Tipping Point?
I’ve previously written about the corporate ‘Go Too’ scientist Michael Mann who was instrumental in developing the “Hockey Stick Theory” and now he can’t see it. That critique is embedded at Scientific Mal-Practice from the Mann Himself.
The six-dozen feedback loops we have triggered are documented at Climate Change Summary.
Debs brought up the collapse of insect species and numbers and I referenced Professor Paul Ehrlich’s paper and book titled; “The Annihilation of Nature”

Professor McPherson mentioned the Strona and Bradshaw paper about Extinction Cascades. That paper and our interview with Professor Bradshaw are embedded following; Professor Corey Bradshaw explains the unfolding “Extinction Cascades” on Nature Bats Last.

I mentioned the late great Michael Dowd and his audio recording of William Catton’s book “Overshoot.” Mike and I believe it is one of the most important books ever written. Catton Overshoot

Professor McPherson mentioned commercial greenhouses pump CO2 into their greenhouses to promote growth, and I responded about rising CO2 in the atmosphere reduces the nutritional value of crops and also increased CO2 in the atmosphere reduces our cognitive abilities.

Pauline pulled up some graphs of Wet Bulb events unfolding in the continental USA and we discussed having to update my blog post when the Wet Bulb Rubicon could be crossed over at 31C. Wet Bulb Temperature Soon to Become Leading Cause of Death
I mentioned the Iranian government sending non-essential workers home to avoid heat stress, the evidence is embedded at Iran’s surprise ‘unprecedented heat’ shutdown raises questions
The Iranian article mentions threats to the power system; Professor McPherson and I have delved into that topic also: Science Snippets: Much of North America Faces Electricity Shortages this Year- 2024
As our predicament accelerates the corporations who own us, will do anything possible to maintain Business as Usual. Question all framing around the poly crises as we circle the abyss.
Edward Bernays would be so proud of his legacy.








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Posted in Arctic, Arctic Sea Ice, Corey Bradshaw, Dr Natalia Shakova, Extinction Cascades, Feedback loops, Nature Bats Last, Professor Guy McPherson, Professor Paul Ehrlich

Thawing Permafrost Triggers Carbon Release in the Arctic

“Just” one of the six dozen self-reinforcing Feedback Loops we have triggered.
Feedback loops are multiplicative; they trigger a quintessential “Domino Effect”.
“The headline of an article at SciTechDaily indicates recent findings in the Arctic: Thawing Permafrost Sparks Massive Carbon Release in the Arctic. The article was published 21 January 2025.”
“Here’s the subhead: “Recent findings indicate that the Arctic’s traditional role as a planetary cooling agent is faltering, with hotspots and wildfires nearly nullifying its carbon storage capabilities.”

“The first paragraph adds to the haunting outlook: “A detailed study spanning three decades reveals a shift towards a more carbon-emitting Arctic, due to longer growing seasons and increased microbial activity, especially during winters. The study maps these changes with unprecedented detail, offering a stark warning and a call to closely monitor these regions.”

“Beneath the subtitle “Disturbing Trends in Northern Carbon Emissions,” three paragraphs demonstrate the accuracy of the subtitle: “For thousands of years, the Arctic’s permafrost has acted as a vast carbon storage system, helping to regulate the planet’s climate. However, a new study published … January 21 … in Nature Climate Change reveals that rising temperatures and more frequent wildfires in the northern latitudes are significantly reducing this critical storage capacity.”

All of the above data and analysis is via my friend and colleague Professor Guy McPherson.
Guy’s full analysis can be found at: Science Snippets: Thawing Permafrost Triggers Carbon Release in the Arctic where readers can engage directly with Professor McPherson and support his world leading analysis.

Below are the last two articles I have written on the methane threat, for further reference:
“In this Climate Chat episode, we interview Dr. Vincent Gauci on how reducing air pollution results in increased atmospheric methane concentrations. Vincent Gauci is professor of Geography and Environmental Sciences and a Birmingham Professorial Fellow at the University of Birmingham in the UK. Professor Gauci investigates how the biosphere interacts with the atmosphere and he explores questions relating to how these interactions respond to various drivers of global change.
Reducing Air Pollution Increases Methane: Catch 22

Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas. Each molecule of methane—CH4—is equivalent to 84 molecules of carbon dioxide, according to Climate Change Connection.
An article at Phys.Org published on 3 February 2025 is titled Satellite data analysis uncovers top 10 persistent methane sources. Here’s the lede: “A list of the top 10 global regions where natural or anthropogenic sources emit methane on a continuous, ‘persistent’ basis was recently published in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.”
Responding to Persistent Methane Sources
“Frozen, solid methane is turning into methane gas. “These phenomena have already been recorded in the Arctic, but this is the first time they have been detected in Antarctica,” says León, from the Geological and Mining Institute of Spain. His team met two EL PAÍS journalists on Antarctica’s King George Island on February 8, the day they ended their expedition. Their results, still very preliminary, suggest that the gas is bubbling up from the subsoil along faults, often through mud volcanoes hundreds of meters above the seabed.”
Methane Clathrates Erupting in Antarctica

To quote President Niinistö in Arkhangelsk: If we lose the Arctic, we lose the whole world
Professor McPherson and I plan to collaborate in the next few weeks in a critique of reporting on the great unravelling from the corporate media and their go to scientists, carefully chosen to not “Rock the Boat”.
That debate will appear in due course on this website and at GuyMcPherson.com

Readers can support this blog by Buying me a coffee to be honest, it will be beer not coffee or via Paypal :
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Posted in Methane, Nature Bats Last, Nonlinear Rate of Change, Professor Guy McPherson

Navigating the Descent, into the Abyss!




I first became interested in the collapse of complex societies when back packing in Southeast Asia in 1980, then when visiting Mayan ruins in Central America in 1982.
I was in Berlin one week before the wall came down in 1989, there wasn’t a hint that the integrity of the East German state was teetering on the abyss of collapse. The collapse of the DDR caused a domino effect, triggering the Collapse of The Soviet Union: two years later.

Like junkies’, complex societies barrel along, until they can’t anymore.
There have been over 100 complex societies that all collapsed, central to those collapses were climate change, despotic rulers, debasement of currencies and complexity. All of the above characteristics are present today.
There has never been this level of complexity in a previous civilization comparable to our internet orchestrated living arrangements. We are one “Carrington Event” away from going dark!
Over the last decade plus, I have been navigating and chronicling the unfolding collapse of this civilization. Collapse isn’t an event, it’s a process, an unfolding process; I’ve had the honor of collaborating with some amazing individuals, many scientists, one literally a Rocket Scientist. I’m grateful for those interactions as we delve into the complexities of the “Great Unraveling”.
I’ll embed some recent analysis below from voices I trust.

Fellow Irishman, my brother, from another mother, John Doyle:

John and I have previously collaborated together in the video below:
Relevant links to our debate are embedded in my blog post: Abrupt Non-Linear Climate Change from the Arctic to the Pacific

In the discussion above Professor McPherson mentions the “Designed to fail IPCC” our evidence on that accusation is embedded following: It’s Time to Acknowledge the Spectacular Success of the IPCC.
The interviewer’s confusion is emblematic of the success of the disinformation campaign.
There is an excellent analysis of the great unravelling of the Empire of Chaos below.
We will all be collateral damage when, not if, contagion spreads through the banking sector.
There was huge concern when Lehman Brothers bank collapsed that the contagion could spread. That possibility is higher today than then, due to “Quantitative easing”, formerly known as counterfeiting.
‘Fixing’ a debt crisis with more debt is the road to ruin.
I’ve added the video below into my blog post titled: “Financial system supply-chain cross contagion – a study in global systemic collapse”.
The author reiterates my contention that collapse is a process, not a single event.

Previous interviews on this website with Collapsniks below:
Collapse: The Only Realistic Scenario

“Collapse Means Collapse”
The Myth of Human Progress and the Collapse of Complex Societies. Chris Hedges & Joseph Tainter.
Readers can support this blog by Buying me a coffee to be honest, it will be beer not coffee or via Paypal :
I’m also now on Bluesky as below:
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As-salamu alaykum – Peace out.

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Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Arctic Sea Ice, Arthur Keller, Collapse, Extinction Cascades

Life at the End of Empire

A middle-class white guy comes to grips with Peak Oil, Climate
Change, Mass Extinction, Population Overshoot and the demise of the
American Lifestyle.

That sub-head could almost be about me or perhaps you? But it’s also the position of the author of the excellent video below:

The documentary above is 14 years old, everything is much worse now, but it has stood the test of time.
William Catton was interviewed in the video above, my former colleague and dear friend, the late great Michael Dowd, created an audio commentary on Catton’s master class, have a listen: “Overshoot”.
Mike considered it the best book he had ever read, high praise. I agree 100%.

In 2020 Professor Guy McPherson and I interviewed Professor Sid Smith on his presentation below titled “How to Enjoy the End of the World.” That episode of Nature Bats Last is embedded following: Dr Sid Smith Rocks the Boat on Nature Bats Last


“Philosopher Oswald Spengler’s (1932) short philosophical work on mankind’s development and, in theory, its end. In ‘Man and Technics: A Contribution to a Philosophy of Life’, Spengler focuses on technology, industrialism, and man’s propensity for order and chaos.”
This analysis was brought to my attention by a reader of Professor Guy McPhersons Substack post: Science Snippets: Why Humans Dominate


Is Capitalism by Definition an Extinction Event?

Michael Dowd and I recorded this interview in September 2019 in his “Post Doom’ series. It’s been uploaded to You Tube as part of a series with the link to the rest of the episodes embedded in the hyperlink below.
“Post Doom” discussion featuring Michael Dowd and Kevin Hester. Navigating the Perfect Storm


Do Not Go Gentle into That Good Night

By Dylan Thomas

“Do not go gentle into that good night,

Old age should burn and rave at close of day;

Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

Though wise men at their end know dark is right,

Because their words had forked no lightning they

Do not go gentle into that good night.

Good men, the last wave by, crying how bright

Their frail deeds might have danced in a green bay,

Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

Wild men who caught and sang the sun in flight,

And learn, too late, they grieved it on its way,

Do not go gentle into that good night.

Grave men, near death, who see with blinding sight

Blind eyes could blaze like meteors and be gay,   

Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

And you, my father, there on the sad height,

Curse, bless, me now with your fierce tears, I pray.

Do not go gentle into that good night.

Rage, rage against the dying of the light.”
——————————————————————————————————
“The sea is only the embodiment of a supernatural and wonderful existence. It is nothing but love and emotion; it is the Living Infinite…” Jules Verne

Readers can support this blog by Buying me a coffee to be honest, it will be beer not coffee or via Paypal :
I’m also now on Bluesky as below:
https://bsky.app/profile/climatekevnz.bsky.social

As-salamu alaykum – Peace out.

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Posted in Climate Science, Collapse, Energy Industry, Nature Bats Last, Peak Oil, Professor Guy McPherson, Sid Smith, Uncategorized
Kevin Hester

Kevin Hester is currently living on Rakino Island, a small island in the Hauraki Gulf near Auckland, New Zealand, monitoring the unravelling of the biosphere and volunteering at the Rakino Island Nursery is currently developing a proposal to create a marine reserve near by. The Island has no grid tied electricity or reticulated water.  I catch my own water from the roof and generate my electricity from the ample solar radiation on the island.

My Submission to the Ministry of the Environment
Kevin Hester, Dropping Anchor in an Exponential World
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