Climate-exodus is expected in the Middle East and North Africa. There is zero chance of emissions being restricted to 2 degrees C and with the “Business as Usual” scenario we are looking at 4C with no allowance for forcing from methane from the melting permafrost and the ocean clathrates which could and probably will lead on to 6 and 8C.
The absolute certainty that this region will become uninhabitable in the near term also guarantees the outbreak of habitat wars.
All wars are resource wars and on a planet of diminishing resources and habitat this guarantees our dystopian future.
Brace for imminent impact:
‘The number of climate refugees could increase dramatically in future. Researchers of the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry and the Cyprus Institute in Nicosia have calculated that the Middle East and North Africa could become so hot that human habitability is compromised. The goal of limiting global warming to less than two degrees Celsius, agreed at the recent UN climate summit in Paris, will not be sufficient to prevent this scenario. The temperature during summer in the already very hot Middle East and North Africa will increase more than two times faster compared to the average global warming. This means that during hot days temperatures south of the Mediterranean will reach around 46 degrees Celsius (approximately 114 degrees Fahrenheit) by mid-century‘. … article continues, here:
Climate-exodus expected in the Middle East and North Africa.
I'm an anti-imperialist, environmental activist and blue ocean sailor, who is passionate about the earth and all it's inhabitants without favour. Brace for imminent impact as we bare witness to the non-linear unraveling of the biosphere and habitability disappearing for most if not all complex life on the only habitable planet we know of. To quote President Niinistö in North Russia: ‘If We Lose the Arctic, We Lose the World’. Folks we have lost the Arctic.
Kevin Hester 
http://www.greenprophet.com/2016/05/nasa-calls-middle-east-drought-worst-in-900-years/
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Israel now;
http://thewatchers.adorraeli.com/2016/05/16/record-breaking-heat-wave-sparks-fires-across-israel/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
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Radio Ecoshock discussion about the heatwaves in Pakistan and India
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“UNTIL the 1970s, Basra’s climate was like southern Europe’s,” recalls Shukri Al-Hassan, an ecology professor in the Iraqi port city. Basra, he remembers, had so many canals that Iraqis dubbed it the Venice of the Middle East. Its Shatt al-Arab river watered copious marshlands, and in the 1970s irrigated some 10m palms, whose dates were considered the world’s finest. But war, salty water seeping in from the sea because of upriver dams, and oil exploration which has pushed farmers off their land have taken their toll. Most of the wetlands and orchards are now desert. Iraq now averages a sand- or dust-storm once every three days. And this month Basra’s temperature reached 53.9ºC, a record beaten only by Kuwait and California’s Death Valley (and the latter figure is disputed). “Analysis of data suggests that since the 1970s the frequency of heat extremes has increased, while cool summer days and nights have decreased,” says Gemma Shepherd, who works for the UN’s Early Warning and Assessment Environment Programme in Nairobi.”
http://www.economist.com/news/middle-east-and-africa/21703269-more-war-even-climate-change-making-region-uninhabitable-middle
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