The Insurance Industry, soon to be the first pillar of Capitalism to succumb to Abrupt Climate Change

“Climate change could punch a hole through the financial system by making 30-year home mortgages — the lifeblood of the American housing market — effectively unobtainable in entire regions across parts of the U.S.”
“Climate change could end mortgages as we know them”

“Natural disasters are being recorded more frequently than ever before. “Since 1970, the number of disasters worldwide has more than quadrupled to around 400 a year,” and “there are six times more hydrological events now than in 1980,” The 10 Most Costly Natural Disasters of the Century
“There is a logistical hurdle: when a catastrophe bond experiences a so-called loss event, the capital in the investment is suspended until the full cost of a disaster is pinned down. The phenomenon of “loss creep”, where initial estimates of a loss balloon months or even years after the event, has also spooked some investors. The cost of Typhoon Jebi in Japan last year rose from initial expectations of $6bn to $15bn.”
“Over two years, natural catastrophes caused a record $225bn of insured losses”.
Why climate change is the new 9/11 for insurance companies

“For the insurance industry, global warming has advanced from a future ecological challenge to a present financial shock. Together, total losses to the economy from natural catastrophes and “man-made disasters” reached $165 billion in 2018; that followed a 2017 that, at $350 billion, cost more than twice as much. As a result, according to the Swiss Re Institute, the company’s research arm, 2017 and 2018 were for insurers the most-expensive two-year period of such catastrophes on record, requiring them to fork over $219 billion globally in checks.”
Climate Change Is Hitting the Insurance Industry Hard

“Regulators are starting to worry about climate change.”
“Jenkins points out that the Bank of England’s Prudential Regulation Authority is leading the way on stress-testing insurers against the risk that the world misses its carbon reduction targets.”

“In such a scenario, insurers, especially in the U.S. where price increases are restricted by regulators, may find it increasingly unattractive to offer coverage,” he writes. “Greater lay-off of risk to reinsurers is one option. But more restrictive policies or wholesale withdrawal of cover are also possible. At some juncture underwriters will need to remove their blinkers and acknowledge that a world awash with worsening climate change risks is not necessarily just bad for the planet. It could be bad for the insurance industry too. A bit like 9/11.” Climate Change Tops List of World’s ‘Extreme Risks’

“Venice is on its knees,” said Brugnaro. “The damage will run into hundreds of millions of euros.” Flood, fire and plague: climate change blamed for disasters
“Last year, insurance payouts caused by climate-related events totaled $2.4 trillion worldwide.” Can Insurance Companies Weather The Storm? What Climate Change Means For The Industry

Clearly the cost of disasters is on the same Hockey Stick trajectory as our climate crisis yet “Business as Usual” carries on as if nothing has changed. All ponzi schemes eventually implode and this one will be no different except in scale. There is no previous analogue to remotely compare with the coming collapse.

I'm an anti-imperialist, environmental activist and blue ocean sailor, who is passionate about the earth and all it's inhabitants without favour. Brace for imminent impact as we bare witness to the non-linear unraveling of the biosphere and habitability disappearing for most if not all complex life on the only habitable planet we know of. To quote President Niinistö in North Russia: ‘If We Lose the Arctic, We Lose the World’. Folks we have lost the Arctic.

Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Collapse, Insurance
175 comments on “The Insurance Industry, soon to be the first pillar of Capitalism to succumb to Abrupt Climate Change
  1. Kevin Hester says:

    Led by the deadly and costly Hurricane Ida and massive flooding in Europe, the world racked up $329 billion in economic losses linked to severe weather last year, and only 38% of that bill was covered by insurance.

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/climate-change-fueled-3rd-costliest-losses-ever-in-2021-less-than-half-of-that-property-was-insured-11643140439?fbclid=IwAR2hVeYTUANOQf5hKE_VAFjxExnYazNIeh2H9NZ2tWskzW0iRojDhyPq7IU

    Like

    • sealintheselkirks says:

      You did read about the monster Super-cyclone that just slammed the Philippines, yes? Latest count was 1,500,000 homes destroyed. So, being a Catholic country without birth control we’re looking at what, 8 million homeless from one storm? Six kids or so, mom & dad, and they tend to live with relatives also. Maybe 10 million homeless then adding in the aunties and grandparents etc etc?

      It wasn’t as strong as Hainan a few years ago but a much wider storm path. I mean, Hainan was a Category 6 at 200mph when it hit the beach but it doesn’t seem like anybody ‘in charge’ wants to reflect reality by increasing the threat level by upping the numerical value.

      Somehow I don’t think those poor people had much insurance for their rickety-built homes. Maybe businesses did, or the wealthy, but for most poor people insurance just doesn’t exist.

      Imagine the damage of 200mph Category 6 like Hainan hitting Houston TX or Miami FL? Or anywhere else along the US Gulf & Eastern seaboard? That wake up call is going to be a doozy for the insurance industry. And it will only get worse.

      But when we remember what Mexico Beach Florida looked like after Hurricane Michael hit with 160mph winds a few years ago? Mostly piles of broken wood and debris! I read that one storm cost $25 billion, and it’s ‘looking to the future’ as they build RIGHT BY THE BEACH EDGE again dead on against the same beach road. Bigger buildings, too, looks like more apartment blocks going up in the latest photos, and the ads are all about ‘getting back to normal’ and ‘city on the mend’ and ‘mexico beach on the move’ as if it could never happen again. Nobody really wants to understand climate collapse. Of course not! It’s all about real estate profits!

      I started laughing when I bumped into this; Mexico Beach voted ‘most favorite Southern beach town…in Garden and Gun magazine. So do old ladies garden with .40 caliber Glocks strapped to their hips? Probably. After all it IS Florida and them white folk are always on the lookout for Those People coming to rob them.

      For some reason I just don’t feel the urge to go live there. Noticed in the recent pictures that there is a lot of open space where houses used to be crammed together in the before pics….

      https://gardenandgun.com/extras/vote-now-for-your-favorite-southern-beach-towns/

      sealintheSelkirks

      Liked by 1 person

  2. sealintheselkirks says:

    How far will an insurance collapse go? Can it fall so hard that it will affect this side of what they do?

    Exposing the Massive Hypocrisy of International Insurance Companies

    https://www.counterpunch.org/2022/01/28/exposing-the-massive-hypocrisy-of-international-insurance-companies/

    sealintheSelkirks

    Liked by 1 person

  3. Kevin Hester says:

    “What If I Can’t Insure My Home At All?”
    Insurance companies are leaving homeowners at the mercy of climate catastrophes they helped create.

    https://www.dailyposter.com/what-if-i-cant-insure-my-home-at-all/

    Like

  4. Kevin Hester says:

    Pooling risk to insure against natural disaster
    We have to pivot to a new insurance model for climate change before we go under, warns University of Queensland expert.

    https://www.nature.com/articles/d42473-021-00566-w?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=SSCR_BRCON_ENGM_GL_CEAP_UnvQL_CF-NtrlD22&fbclid=IwAR1_R9c3SHmkZ-vUszBM1sF054oeHtnVpPClgCFLX9Re5mMzuiJA83AzPhc

    Like

  5. Kevin Hester says:

    Pooling risk to insure against natural disaster
    We have to pivot to a new insurance model for climate change before we go under, warns University of Queensland expert.

    https://www.nature.com/articles/d42473-021-00566-w?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=SSCR_BRCON_ENGM_GL_CEAP_UnvQL_CF-NtrlD22&fbclid=IwAR3YtO7FBjbdCfTQQHziZyDuQ3rZoLpsGm5TTOOhwbKTw4uUkTHQjezy3SE

    Like

  6. Kevin Hester says:

    “Megan Cusack, a barrister whose chambers were filled almost to the ceiling with water, said she did not have contents insurance.

    “You can’t get insurance for floods here, unless you want to spend A$20,000 [US14,500] a year.” She estimated the damage at A$100,000.

    Robin Gilmore, who owns the Civic Hotel, where floodwaters reached the second floor, estimated his losses at A$2.5mn. Local resident Max, 74, who had to be rescued from his front porch in waist-deep water, said he would have to raid his pension to pay for the damage. Neither had insurance.”

    https://desdemonadespair.net/2022/03/australias-cataclysmic-floods-raise-specter-of-permanent-retreat-as-towns-become-uninsurable-sydney-to-be-hit-by-another-100mm-4-inches-of-rain-in-four-days-as-bureau-warns-of-flo.html?fbclid=IwAR26X-i1V4aPLTEa7jwDFOWl1Tg5XhICHhCxYw0shBwPyvTSUxRMBu7PjW4

    Like

    • sealintheselkirks says:

      Kevin, there will be a point where there isn’t anywhere to retreat to except high ground. And who owns the high ground and will they let people onto their property? Probably not.

      This popped up Friday:

      Thoughts From a Drought-Stricken, Flooded Australia

      https://www.counterpunch.org/2022/03/25/thoughts-from-a-drought-stricken-flooded-austrailia/
      __

      And it was 68F yesterday, 70F today. Oh my. At the end of March in the PacNorthWest.This sure doesn’t look good.

      While the US Southwest is getting hit again and the entire ‘weather event’ of last weeks 56 tornadoes is about to be repeated this week. Starting tomorrow as a matter of fact. I’m guessing their god is extremely pissed at those racist slave-state Trump voters? Is there a correlation between them and Oz because it seems they’re being taught some kind of lesson at the same time Down Under is…floods and tornadoes instead of Bomb Cyclones but really let us not be picky because the end results are very much the same aren’t they?

      Is this how the Rapture starts? Inquiring minds want to know!

      sealintheSelkirks

      Liked by 1 person

  7. sealintheselkirks says:

    Florida is freaking out with Hurricane season on the way. So this article wouldn’t separate from the others that are all under the same link (WPEC in Florida) so I’m pasting it. It’s short but damned telling on what Big Insure is expecting…or knows! The politicians can’t do anything but try pasting more band-aids on the disappearing insurance carriers…

    sealintheSelkirks

    Lawmakers press for special session on Florida’s property insurance crisis

    by JAY O’BRIEN, WPEC
    WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (WPEC) – Florida lawmakers are warning the clock is ticking for the state to address a growing property insurance crisis before the impending hurricane season.

    Lawmakers press for special session on Florida’s property insurance crisis (WPEC)
    Sen. Jeff Brandes, R-St. Petersburg, sent an email to fellow legislators Friday, polling them on whether or not they would return to Tallahassee and take up the property insurance issue.

    The legislature did not address property insurance during its 60-day regular legislative session that ended in early March.

    At least five insurance providers have pulled out of Florida, leaving thousands to find new coverage. The companies that remain, including the state-backed Citizens Property Insurance Corporation, are drastically raising their rates, pricing many out of their policies.
    Nancy Hultman, a Citizen’s customer in Boca Raton, recently told WPEC she’s been forced to move out of Florida because of the high cost of her policy.

    “It’s just ridiculous. you shouldn’t be in a forced situation by an insurance company,” she said.

    WPEC contacted every lawmaker representing Palm Beach County and some from the Treasure Coast, asking if they would support a special session to address property insurance.

    Of the lawmakers WPEC contacted, nine responded. Nearly every single Democrat who responded said they would support a special session held as soon as possible.
    Rep, Matt Willhite, D-Wellington, Ranking Member of the Insurance and Banking Subcommittee, said he would also be in favor of a special session if lawmakers had a clear legislative plan to address the property insurance issue. He said, so far, he has not seen such a plan from his colleagues.

    Two Republicans responded: Rep. John Snyder, R-Stuart, and Rep. Rick Roth, R-West Palm Beach. Both said they wanted to tackle property insurance, with Snyder saying he would support a special session if the governor called for one.

    Some lawmakers have also signaled they expect to tackle the property insurance issue after the November election, which would come just before the end of hurricane season.

    Liked by 1 person

  8. sealintheselkirks says:

    This is gonna hurt. From yesterday…

    sealintheSelkirks

    Like

  9. Kevin Hester says:

    “Insurance companies have started to change their policies to reflect the growing risk posed by these events.

    “Tower last year became New Zealand’s first insurance company to introduce [flood risk rating], so they’ve essentially modelling risk right across the country – especially in terms of flooding,” says Morton.

    He adds that it’s likely that we will see more changes in insurance policies in the coming years as these companies look to prepare for the growing regularity of extreme weather events.”

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/the-front-page-atmospheric-rivers-a-wake-up-call-for-nzs-rising-flood-risk/TGBWLRRQCDZO2TR7NF37TBNYGQ/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=nzh_fb&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR17HJVoVh23ttfYo8RFm1bEFBDUMMR-KS9LvVdg9qGwlZ56p5lSgXdNcgs#Echobox=1657650775

    Like

  10. Kevin Hester says:

    Here’s the Kiwi corporate media blabbering along about sea level rise but there are some interesting observations about Insurance

    https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/world/2022/07/opinion-climate-change-is-white-colonisation-of-the-atmosphere-it-s-time-to-tackle-this-entrenched-racism.html?ref=ves-nextauto

    Like

    • sealintheselkirks says:

      Just a little more blabbering but this time from suburbia and real estate moguls… Not only will the insurance run out but so is the water…and there isn’t any ‘insuring’ that! What does one do when you are in this situation which is spreading all across the globe turning into infighting between people/communities/states/countries because when the water runs out so do you.

      The Water Wars Come to the Suburbs

      A community near Scottsdale, Arizona, is running out of water. Amid the finger-pointing, the real question is: how many developments will be next?

      https://www.newyorker.com/news/letter-from-the-southwest/the-water-wars-come-to-the-suburbs
      __

      This is a foretelling I think. When MSM magazines actually publish an article like this do they realize that they are showing a snapshot what it coming for everybody?

      I don’t think so. It’s all about connecting the worldwide dots and different sciences into one large bundle and that’s NOT what they are inclined to do. So they break it up and just throw pieces out because ‘if it bleeds it leads’ but not when it’s the entire fucking planet. That would not be good for business profits, and would scare their readers and piss off their backers. Have to keep that income coming in to the last second this civilization exists I guess.

      I don’t understand that kind of thinking. The Ancient Greeks has a word for total addiction to greed and wealth but I can’t remember it. Read about it once, though. They knew 4000 years ago how this sickness takes over people’s minds to the exclusion of everything else.

      It’s worse that being a heroin addict because it devastates far more lives. So these who want to keep making money building in the Northern Sonora Desert as the Colorado River water quite literally runs out…

      Somehow I’m betting the insurance companies carrying the policies of these dams/power plants are already reviewing what they are liable for…

      sealintheSelkirks

      Liked by 1 person

  11. Kevin Hester says:

    “Several other insurance companies have become insolvent recently. Gulfstream became insolvent Aug. 27, 2021, affecting 32,324 policies; Avatar Insurance became insolvent April 13, affecting 36,569 policies; Lighthouse became insolvent May 28, affecting 27,244 policies; FedNat Insurance was insolvent as of June 29, affecting 65,442 policies; and Southern Fidelity became insolvent as of June 15 with 78,000 policies affected, according to data from Citizens Property Insurance Corp.”

    https://www.miamitodaynews.com/2022/08/09/property-insurance-turmoil-meets-climate-change-threats/?fbclid=IwAR2CG_ZhMmuGYWVka8ycGFl1kfvFutvjO0Uoe4aU0kV84iWAag24ZugcVBE

    Like

  12. Kevin Hester says:

    “That leaves 1.3 million households at ground zero without federal flood coverage.”
    https://www.eenews.net/articles/ian-will-financially-ruin-homeowners-and-insurers/

    Like

  13. I wrote a reply (usual large reply!), added links of course, and then tapped ‘post comment’ and did the required sign-in and it has NOT posted in the last couple of days. And no I didn’t happen to save it before I tried to post it.

    My mistake as this isn’t the first time something I’ve written has disappeared going to your website and I don’t think it’s you doing it. Something is not working with this WordPress algorithm or it is deleting because it doesn’t ‘like’ something? Just who owns this by the way? What kind of censoring might be going on? Some corporate neoliberal right wing asshole take the site over? Probably…and why was Sheila in Oregon getting blocked so much by WordPress? Hmmmm. I’m going to save this one to post elsewhere just in case…

    sealintheSelkirks

    Liked by 1 person

  14. Kevin Hester says:

    “Numerous insurance companies in Florida have closed their doors in recent years in a slow-moving collapse for the industry, forcing rates to spike and property owners to turn to the state-owned insurer of last resort”.

    “Florida’s property insurance market was the most volatile in the U.S. before Hurricane Ian formed and will most likely become even more unstable in the wake of the storm,” said Mark Friedlander, a director at Insurance Information Institute in Florida.”

    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/hurricane-ian-reignites-panic-floridas-strapped-insurance-market-rcna49687?fbclid=IwAR189pvflAqyBwox44IT1t2osji809G_3xfqJr0Dp8HpRUQr-kfhTM_eL8w

    Like

    • Ya think? Nobody is going to be able to afford the rate hikes of the few still in business. And not for very long since there isn’t anywhere safe in Florida anymore. Bank mortgage loans are absolutely tied to the insurance industry, Siamese twins so to speak, and it’s all about to literally go ‘under water.’ Ahahahahahahaha! I made a pun!

      FUCK ME, though, because I inherited two pieces of property in Highland County, Florida from my aunt. Double lots in two different places in a housing development in Avon Lakes in the middle of lower Florida. Where Ian just went over as a matter of fact. Wonder how the houses and double wides fared, ya know, the neighbors who built there? I’ve been trying to sell them for years and still am paying property taxes on the useless things (cheap as they are undeveloped).

      They may have blown away or been flooded by Ian since neither are actually High Lands as Florida is pretty much just a fucking disease-ridden swampy place full of assholes that I wouldn’t every want to live around. Hence this article for your head-shaking enjoyment!

      5 year-old & 14 year-old shot. A story of responsible gun owning fathers in Florida.

      https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/10/12/2128537/-5-year-old-14-year-old-shot-A-story-of-responsible-gun-owning-fathers-in-Florida
      ___
      I really wish somebody would buy these fucking lots. I’ll certainly NEVER even go see them.

      sealintheSelkirks

      Liked by 1 person

  15. Kevin Hester says:

    “World rocked by 29 billion-dollar weather disasters in 2022
    Florida’s Hurricane Ian, a $20 billion drought and heat wave in Europe, and deadly floods in Pakistan are among the catastrophes so far this year.”
    https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2022/10/world-rocked-by-29-billion-dollar-weather-disasters-in-2022/

    Like

  16. Kevin Hester says:

    “Insured losses from global natural disaster events were estimated at $39 billion during the first half of 2022, 18% higher than the 21st century average of $33 billion, driven by persistent severe convective storm (SCS) events, according to Aon in its latest catastrophe report.”
    https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/international/2022/07/27/677491.htm?fbclid=IwAR2T5uN_aH0pcRPbyByZEWB_v0oLEvoRk0US97F-O_yXMjJqFVP5V1fbmIs

    Like

  17. Kevin Hester says:

    “At least 29 billion-dollar weather disasters have rocked the planet so far in 2022, said insurance broker Aon in its quarterly disaster report issued October 18. Heat waves in Europe killed more than 16,000 people and nearly 1,700 died as a result of flooding in Pakistan.”

    https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2022/10/world-rocked-by-29-billion-dollar-weather-disasters-in-2022/?fbclid=IwAR0soyZkF2nhNu7WG_0uYhVpipWov3Uoq_jd4IUHNiPxyLIef_U1qCmfEwQ

    Like

    • “We thought we had a bit of time but I think things are unraveling fairly quickly now.”

      “We’re now seeing that the system is not able to cope with climate change.”

      … maybe things are much worse than we would have predicted in certain places.”

      And you know what? It’s going to get a LOT worse and there is no way anybody can be ‘ready’ for it because nobody has really wanted to listen to those ‘alarmist’ scientists that have been hollering for 40 years… That “bit of time” was always a joke.

      Can they say they fucked up? No, they can’t.How do they mitigate an existential threat when nothing is really changing in the lifestyles of the species?

      Like me up here if/when a wildfire runs through this area no matter how much work I do pushing the forest back away from the buildings and keeping brush down etc etc there was nothing I could accomplish that my former insurance company was unwilling to take the risk of NO PROFITS! Can’t have that as that’s not why they are in business!

      They knew it and I know it. And bluntly, there is nothing any of us can do about it, not the flooding or the fires or the storms roaring across the planet. This just happened in Oregon:

      Oregon tried to inform residents about wildfire risk. The backlash was explosive.
      Homeowners fear the state will devalue their properties by publicizing their fire risk.

      https://grist.org/housing/oregon-wildfire-risk-map-home-values/
      __

      Pretty crazy behavior, eh? Scream bloody murder when somebody tells you reality and get them to withdraw what they showed you because…you didn’t like it.

      Wow.

      Selkirk Range weather:

      I’m looking out the window at snow-covered conifers under a gray overcast sky. Temps have moderated to just below freezing at night and just above freezing during the day compared to the clear sky bone-cold of ten days ago. The additional 5 or so inches that fell a few days ago was, again like the last storm, very heavy and very wet for this area and more branches broke off my apple tree from the weight. My poor tree that has been here 50 years has no freaking idea what the weather is going to do because it is STILL covered in leaves with maybe a hundred apples still attached that the deer haven’t managed to reach (they showed up immediately as if they new a heavy wet snow would bend the tree limbs to nearly on the ground. Those branches were stripped of apples and leaves overnight. Opportunists!

      sealintheSelkirks

      Liked by 1 person

  18. Kevin Hester says:

    “The world’s insurance bill from natural disasters this year: $115 billion
    That’s 42 percent higher than the 10-year average.”

    https://grist.org/economics/world-insurance-bill-2022-natural-disasters-115-billion/

    Like

  19. This popped up today:

    Psst, the insurance companies are going to cancel you.

    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/12/2/2139593/-Psst-the-insurance-companies-are-going-to-cancel-you
    __

    I started laughing (ironic humor) at the short list of ‘exemptions’ that insurance companies are using to still take money from people and not pay out when shit happens. So much for the 100 year storms, eh?

    The cartoon of the bomb shelter is pretty cute, too.

    At least this reality is starting to trickle out more and more in this country, and people are starting to wake up to the new reality, eh? Lots of stupid around…
    __
    Selkirk Range weather:
    Buried in snowfall, far more in the last ten days that I had total either of the last two La Nina winters. I’m still digging out at this point. Had to fire up the snow thrower four time already to clear the road to the gate and paths to the shop and woodshed from the house.

    Last two winters I had to do that once each winter.

    As soon as the cloud cover moves the temps drop to bone-chill levels especially at night where it has been in the -10 to -17C range. Doesn’t crack above freezing in the daytime, either. Haven’t had paths through the snow like this in years. It actually is more like winter used to be in this area, at least so far.

    With this being the 3rd in a row La Nina it’s actually acting like one with more snow here but who knows what the hell is coming next. Weather predictions are shit at this point.

    I broke both v-belts on the snowthrower yesterday. Without this machine I’d be on my snowshoes and the vehicle would be parked in front of my gate probably buried by the county snowplow…if I could have moved it in the first place. Too much digging for my age but tea is steeping so I’d best go dig off the old 4runner so I can head to town in the hopes of finding the right v-belts to get this machine going again, then back to sewing snowgear orders!

    sealintheSelkirks

    Liked by 1 person

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Kevin Hester

Kevin Hester is currently living on Rakino Island, a small island in the Hauraki Gulf near Auckland, New Zealand, monitoring the unravelling of the biosphere and volunteering at the Rakino Island Nursery is currently developing a proposal to create a marine reserve near by. The Island has no grid tied electricity or reticulated water.  I catch my own water from the roof and generate my electricity from the ample solar radiation on the island.

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