“I have reported on the dire impacts of global peak oil at guymcpherson.com for many years. My reports from August 2007 onward indicate the potential for peak oil to terminate industrial civilization. Information I discovered a few years later indicates that stopping or even slowing industrial activity will cause our extinction. Our extinction could result from a reduction in aerosol masking or the meltdown of some of the world’s nuclear facilities. The latter phenomenon would cause stratospheric ozone to be stripped away, thereby causing extremely rapid planetary heating. Again, I have reported these findings previously in this space. Responses to my freely available work, rooted in evidence, have included denial, non-evidentiary argumentation, and a coordinated defamation campaign that effectively removed me from public service. But enough about me.”
“A reduction in aerosol masking has caused regional increases in temperature that have led to regional increases in precipitation, as indicated by peer-reviewed research I have shared in this space. Fortunately, these impacts have not yet gone global. Rather, they have remained regional in scope, beginning in the area around Wuhan, China, where the pandemic broke out. Regional increases in temperature and subsequent increases in precipitation followed the pandemic to India, Europe, and the northeastern United States.”
All of the analysis above is via Professor Guy McPherson’s Substack post Titled: Science Snippets: Global Peak Oil Remains an Existential Threat
Colleagues and I in the dynamic group Peak Oil have previously debated this subject. Join us for the latest developments as we circle the drain of Peak Oil triggered collapse.
Readers of this blog know that I concentrate on the climate and extinction crises and the contemporaneous issue of the re-rise of fascism and unfolding collapse. Collapse isn’t an event, it’s a process, a process that is clearly underway.
Aotearoa New Zealand has just closed it’s one and only oil refinery, yes, you read that right! I filled out an Official Information Act submission to find out what are NZ’s strategic reserves. The government department responsible refused to divulge what we have in reserve! We are led by Donkeys.
Not having a refinery means we’d suffer societal collapse in a matter of weeks of a blockade of our territorial waters being enforced, by whoever, “Friend or Foe”. Remember France was supposedly our ally when they blew up the Greenpeace Rainbow Warrior murdering Fernando Pereira in downtown Tamaki Makaurau.
The Insanity of Aotearoa New Zealand Closing it’s One and Only Oil Refinery
I'm an anti-imperialist, environmental activist and blue ocean sailor, who is passionate about the earth and all it's inhabitants without favour. Brace for imminent impact as we bare witness to the non-linear unraveling of the biosphere and habitability disappearing for most if not all complex life on the only habitable planet we know of. To quote President Niinistö in North Russia: ‘If We Lose the Arctic, We Lose the World’. Folks we have lost the Arctic.
Kevin Hester 
“Donkeys” is an extremely NICE way of describing current leaders.
They are leading us…over the cliff!
LikeLiked by 1 person
“As of Monday, outage volumes stood at about 240,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. However, the ultimate damage to production will likely exceed that number.”
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/17/wildfires-burn-millions-of-acres-in-canada-send-oil-prices-higher.html?fbclid=IwAR1U9eAsehlN0qxmRxmZuFSc68V0vju33EFBKm1Fr5SuHBLtHEs3KSaYKWQ
LikeLike
I still miss Mike Rupert.
I just discovered this masterpiece from 2005. Mike didn’t get it all right but he was on point.
R.I.P. Scout.
LikeLike
[…] Global Peak Oil Remains an Existential Threat […]
LikeLike
“One barrel of oil has the same amount of energy of up to 25,000 hours of hard human labor, which is 12.5 years of work. At $20 per hour, this is $500,000 of labor per barrel. The average American consumes over twenty-five barrels per year. So each of us has a huge subsidy of energy behind the scenes that we often take for granted. Less oil, and much more expensive oil, will have huge implications.”
https://www.collapse2050.com/looming-oil-crisis/?fbclid=IwAR0QIMJhiQhWUsaPmjplsA8QQ_F6d0ErEkdYyxbQCuJWpQsUStO6-jkbt8A
LikeLiked by 1 person
Gails latest masterpiece delves into the compounding consequences of “Peak Oil” and the reality that we are now seeing the Peak Oil – Oil Wars.
The empire of chaos has been stealing Syria’s oil since they tried to overthrow Bashar Al Assad 13 years ago.
As we watch the Apartheid State carpet bombing Gaza, and Damascus airport a few days ago, we see them trying to link Iran to the unrest in occupied Palestine, when the real issue is the occupation.
In a recent video Nate Hagens said that 50% of the world’s oil is located within a 1000miles of Israel. That’s why the settler state of Israel was formed in 1948. The USA’s unsinkable aircraft carrier in the Middle East
Iran has the ability to close the Straits of Hormuz, through which over 25% of the world’s oil and gas is shipped.
What’s the long-term forecast? More and more war.
LikeLike
3
Alice Friedemann8 m · When I first published this post in February of 2022, I said that peak world oil production might have arrived, but it takes 5 years in the rear-view mirror to call it. Now peak “crude oil including lease condensate oil” is officially here! Production was less in November 2023 than the peak of global oil production in November 2018. See for yourself at the U.S. Energy Information Administration site here. You can ignore all the other liquids, they do not make diesel fuel for heavy-duty trucks, locomotives, and ships that do the actual work of civilization. Mainly the other categories are good for plastics, which we have more than enough of. Or ethanol for gasoline, but you’d destroy a diesel engine if you added this to extend diesel fuel. I suspect these categories were added to keep people from panicking like they did in the oil crises of 1973 and 1979. Why would they panic? There is a very tight correlation between fossil production, GDP, and population.Unconventional shale oil was responsible for over 90% of the increased production above the 2008 plateau with a little help from Canadian tar sands.Seven of the eight U.S. shale basins are past peak, with only the Permian producing the majority of fracked oil. And it may peak in 2024 (Geiger 2022). Or not, some scientists think the USA shale oil production could be on a plateau until 2040. But at any rate, when shale oil and gas decline, will be a hell of a rollercoaster ride down, since shale oil declines 80% over 3 years. And already 81% of all the other oil production is declining at 8.5% a year, offset by 4.5% enhanced oil recovery.As the energy crisis in Europe deepens, there could be a sudden mad rush of capital to explore, drill, and produce more oil which would keep the plateau going a bit longer.But wars, natural disasters, the export land model (the few oil producing nations left keep the oil for their own population and factories), plus other factors and black swans could also throw a monkeywrench in the works and cause oil production to fall rapidly.
Peak Oil is Officially Here! World oil production peaked November of 2018 | Peak Everything, Overshoot, & Collapse (energyskeptic.com)
LikeLike
(91) Global Oil Depletion | Alister Hamilton – YouTube
LikeLike
“Oil consumption and GDP have a statistically perfect correlation—the correlation coefficient (r²) is 0.95. “
Peak Oil is Dead–Long Live Peak Oil | Art Berman
LikeLike
A Tale of Two WorldviewsMatter-energy systems vs socioeconomic-political monetary culture
A Tale of Two Worldviews. Matter-energy systems vs… | by Eric Lee | Apr, 2024 | Medium
LikeLike
Champagne anyone?
LNG the Champagne of Energy (youtube.com)
LikeLike
The Oil Crash Is Coming Sooner Than We Think
We’re running out of time to make choices
The Oil Crash Is Coming Sooner Than We Think (planetcritical.com)
LikeLike
At the 3m mark Scott Ritter said that Biden has reduced the strategic reserve down to only 17 days and then he discusses Iran closing the strait of Hormuz. This is the pointy end of Peak Oil!
US Marine Scott Ritter: “As an American I’m am SCARED over what’s about to happen” | Redacted News (youtube.com)
LikeLike
17 million barrels of oil passes through the Straits of Hormuz every day.
Iran could stop it tomorrow, if they get pissed off enough!
~1/2 of the world’s exportable oil travels through a ~2 mile wide channel in the Strait of Hormuz. (youtube.com)
LikeLike
Behaving like junkies
The Oil Crash Is Coming Sooner Than We Think – resilience
LikeLike
$200 a barrel of oil?
There is one glaring mistake. He said if Iran closes the straits of Hormuz, China would side with the USA.
Iran won’t close the straights to the independent states, they are way to savvy for that!
(2) The Trigger For ‘Full On War’, Energy Price Explosion | Robert Ryan – YouTube
LikeLike
“What happens after fossil fuels?
My comic Energy Slaves is a companion piece to my earlier comic Peak Oil, which reflects on the history and future of the petroleum industry.
The take-home message from Peak Oil is that no matter how much we may want to keep increasing our fossil fuel production, we are limited by geophysical factors. Unfortunately, we have already tapped the largest and easiest oil wells. We now face declining discoveries and, therefore, al”
Diminishing returns: understanding ‘net energy’ and ‘EROEI’ (stuartmcmillen.com)
LikeLike
This is a great explanation of peak oil
How To Boil A Frog presents Peak Oil pt. 3 – EROI (youtube.com)
LikeLike
Popular Barrel of Oil Equivalent Conversions
Start with one of the Barrel of Oil Equivalent conversions below:
Barrel of Oil Equivalent Conversion Chart and Calculator (citizenmaths.com)
LikeLike