Exponential Runaway Warning

The ever reliable Dahr Jamail clearly shows how we are in runaway abrupt climate change.
Prepare for an Arctic summer like no other.  As he writes:

Temperatures in 2016 Approach Limit Set at Paris Climate Conference“:

On April 22 (Earth Day), US Secretary of State John Kerry, with his granddaughter in his lap, signed the international commitment that is supposed to slow the pace of anthropogenic climate disruption.

The commitment, which was the result of the 2015 Paris Climate Conference last fall, was signed by more than 150 countries at the UN. Its aim was to limit global temperature increases to between 1.5 and 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial baseline levels.

The problem is, three days before Kerry made his symbolic signature, NASA released data showing that the first three months of 2016 are already nearing the lower limit of the Paris talks’ threshold, 1.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial baseline temperatures.

Already Too Late?  By July 2015, the planet, already having been warmed by 1 degree Celsius over preindustrial temperature levels, was already halfway to the politically agreed upon goal of aiming to limit the global temperature increase to 2 degrees Celsius.”  Article continues at link above.

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Posted in Climate Science, Collapse, Rapid Climate Change

Professor Guy McPherson in NZ 2016

We were warned and we didn’t listen. First of all in 1847 by George Perkins Marsh and then, even by the UN in 1989 and more recently by Professor Guy McPherson, who will be returning to NZ in November 2016.

If anyone wants to be involved in the tour contact me.  Time is shorter that you think.

Here is a great example taken from hundreds of excellent examples.

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Posted in Announcements, Collapse, Events, Near Term Human Extinction--NTHE, News, Rapid Climate Change, Speaking, Videos, Warnings

Our Collapsing Marine Food Web

Recently there has been limited coverage in social media circles and to a lesser extent in the MSM about the collapse of the Great Barrier Reef which has been portrayed as another ” Bleaching Event”.

It is not simply a bleaching event, it is the collapse of the marine food web which will  lead to the the extinction of most if not all complex life on this planet.

Another example:  South Florida corals dying in “unprecedented” bleaching and disease.  This article starts:  ‘South Florida’s corals are turning white and contracting fatal diseases in what’s being called an unprecedented die-off across the region’s reefs.

Off Hollywood, scientists witnessed the collapse of a minivan-sized coral colony that had started growing more than three centuries ago, when the Spanish ruled the peninsula. As recently as September, live coral tissue covered 90 percent of the colony’s surface, making it among the oldest living things in the state. By December it was almost completely dead, said Brian Walker, a Nova Southeastern University research scientist, who found widespread mortality in corals in Miami-Dade and Broward counties.’  Continues at above link.

“It’s a difficult idea to convey to the average person who might not understand the ocean ecosystem, but Pepin likens it to walking into a grocery store and instead of seeing the shelves full, they’re only half-full.”
Building blocks of ocean food web in rapid decline as plankton productivity plunges.

 
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Brace for imminent impact.

Professor Guy McPherson and I will be discussing these developments in his November 2016 speaking tour in New Zealand and Australia.

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Posted in Announcements, Climate Science, News, Outrage, Rapid Climate Change, Warnings

The Pain You Feel Is Capitalism and the Living Planet Dying.

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We have exceeded all of our planetary boundaries and we have psychopaths at the helm of our sinking ship, armed to the teeth. They will fight to the bitter end. Nowhere on the planet do I see a political party planning for the collapse of society and our biosphere.  We go into collapse leader-less, with thousands of nuclear weapons on a hair trigger. The human movie can only end badly, very badly and very soon and we take the rest of the complex life-forms with us down the cul de sac of extinction.  More on ‘The Collapse of Industrial Civilisation‘, here.

Dahr Jamail  and Guy McPherson discuss this same subject here:  ‘Mass Extinction: It’s the End of the World as We Know It‘:  “Today’s current scientific and observable evidence strongly suggests we are in the midst of the same process – only this time it is anthropogenic, and happening exponentially faster than even the Permian mass extinction did.”  Continues at link.

Industrial civilisation is a heat machine that is killing the living planet and cowboy capitalism is at the helm of our sinking ship.

Karl Marx was vilified for his criticisms of capitalism’s infinite growth  paradigm where in reality Infinite growth on a finite planet was always unsustainable and now is knocking at the door.
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Also very good:  ‘The Pain You Feel Is Capitalism and the living planet dying‘:  “It can be very confusing to know that you won’t find a decent job, pay off student loans or put in a down payment on a house in the next few years — even though you may have graduated from a top-tier university or secured glowing references from all those unpaid internships that got you to where you are today.

Even if you are lucky enough to have all of this going for you, you’ll still be one among hundreds of applicants for every job you apply for. And you’ll still watch as the world becomes more unequal, with fewer paid opportunities to do what you feel called to do in your work or for your life path.

What’s more, you won’t find much help from your friends because most (if not all) of them are going through the same thing. This is a painful and difficult time that is impacting all of us at once.

There will be people who tell you it’s your fault. That you aren’t trying hard enough….”  .

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Posted in Catastrophe, Collapse, Outrage, Politics, Power, Rapid Climate Change, Warnings

We’ve cooked the Great Barrier Reef

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Australia’s lack of action on pollution reduction targets has made the country a laughing stock on the international stage, according to senator Larissa Waters“, and “Australia’s lack of follow-through on climate change will leave the Great Barrier Reef ‘completely cooked’ despite it signing the Paris climate deal, the Greens say.”

If Australia meets it’s carbon targets which is highly unlikely it will still cook the Great Barrier Reef.

The mostly likely scenario is that the emissions are being understated.  The oceanic incubators have been fried, a perfect mirror of the entire biosphere.

2C would be dangerous, 4C would call into question the survivable of everything we know. 6C, the IPCC worst case scenario would be unsurvivable and guarantee the meltdown of 450 nuclear power stations and there 1200 spent fuel pool fires.

Climate deal won’t stop Great Barrier Reef from getting ‘cooked’, say Greens [1].
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[1] ‘Australian Greens, (commonly known as The Greens) is an Australian green political party.’

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Posted in Catastrophe, Climate Science, Collapse, Feedback loops, Habitat, Near Term Human Extinction--NTHE, News, Outrage, Politics, Power, Rapid Climate Change, Resistance, Uncategorized, Warnings

Updated Compilation of Interviews

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Today Kevin updated his podcasts, call it fifteen, call it twenty.  Not the rub.  But what matters is, his best 19 formal, serious sit down interviews are shared and carefully compiled here under Interviews.

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Posted in Interviews, Podcasts

Worse Things In The Pipeline

 

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“The Earth sizzled in March with the most unusually warm month in recorded history as average land surface temperatures easily exceeded levels deemed by scientists to constitute dangerous climate change.”

2 degrees C was never going to be safe and dangerous climate change is upon us now.  “However, the first three months of 2016 were not only the warmest on record for surface temperatures by 0.28 degrees–set a year earlier–they also beat the same period in 1998 by 0.45 degrees during a similar strength El Nino, NOAA said.”

How can this be anything but Runaway Abrupt Climate Change. The answer will come in the next few months as the Northern summer kicks in. We will also get to see if the warm blob in the Eastern Pacific that Robin Westenra reported on remains to attack the GBR or dilutes into a semblance of normality, I have me doubts.  An excellent short podcast, here:

Worse things in store’: Steaming hot world sets more temperature records‘.

 

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Posted in Announcements, Catastrophe, Climate Science, Collapse, Feedback loops, Habitat, Near Term Human Extinction--NTHE, Outrage, Podcasts, Rapid Climate Change, Warnings

We Have Over-reached Our Planetary Boundaries

Population overshoot, peak everything, a crack like addiction to carbon has pushed us to and over the cliff of our planets boundaries.

All the low hanging fruit has been plucked and in many ways wasted on indulgent extravagance.  The piper is calling and the movie is coming to a climax, the clarion call has been ” FIRE” and rather than act the warning has been ignored.

More discussion, in excellent piece by by Nafeez Ahmed:  ‘Parliamentary group warns that global fossil fuels could peak in less than 10 years, where it says:  ‘A report commissioned on behalf of a cross-party group of British MPs authored by a former UK government advisor, the first of its kind, says that industrial civilisation is currently on track to experience “an eventual collapse of production and living standards” in the next few decades if business-as-usual continues.

The report published by the new All-Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) on Limits to Growth, which launched in the House of Commons on Tuesday evening, reviews the scientific merits of a controversial 1972 model by a team of MIT scientists, which forecasted a possible collapse of civilisation due to resource depletion‘.

 

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Posted in Climate Science, Collapse, Near Term Human Extinction--NTHE, News, Rapid Climate Change, Warnings

Exceeding Our Planetary Boundaries

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“As for global warming, a non-consensus school of scientific thought, consisting of a small minority of scientists, believes the ecosystem is at risk of collapse within current lifetime. These scientists do not pull punches. Rather, they tell it like it is, as they see it.”

I believe this is a discreet hat tip to Professor Guy McPherson who will be coming to NZ on a speaking tour in November, contact me if your interested in being part of the team.

According to Arctic News, ‘March Tempature‘ April 16th: By 2026, temperatures will be 3.9°C on the low side or 10.4°C on the high side warmer “on land” since the start of the industrial revolution.  Which adds up to a disaster on the low end.  On the high end, a gigantic worse disaster, or total ecosystem collapse hits hard, as tribes of fearful humans huddle around the North and South Poles, scaling coconut trees to obtain sustenance. Another Hat Tip to Sam Carana at the Arctic Arctic-news blog.
For more discussion, see ‘Global Warming and the Planetary Boundary‘.

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Collapse Of The Oceanic Reef Systems

There has been a lot of  reporting lately on the latest bleaching event on the Great Barrier Reef with some, as usual, excellent reporting from Chris Mooney and his team from the Washington Post, however much of the analysis relies on the dubious timelines being followed from the IPCC modeling which in a time of abrupt climate change are continually undershooting on the speed of the unraveling.

The study found that in the past 27 years, there have been 372 events that subjected corals to stress due to unusually warm ocean temperatures. It further found that in 75 percent of these cases, while temperatures rose above the hottest temperatures normally found during the hottest month of the year, they at first “remained below the bleaching threshold,” which is defined as 2 degrees C higher than those hottest temperatures.”

These corals have been stressed to varying degrees almost continually over the last quarter of a century. As a result of that stress they are less resilient when the next inevitable attack occurs.

This latest setback has been  amplified by the recent record breaking El Nino that many pundits, with the mandatory dose of hopium project will abate to at least a neutral state if not morphing into La Nina and the Reefs will ‘bounce back’. The La Nina brings warm water to the Western Pacific which will continue to stress the G.B.R. should it occur and irrespective the long term trend is to ongoing warming.
These reefs act as the oceans incubators and function as the nursery of the marine food web. It is patently clear that like the Polar Icecaps acting as the planetary thermostat and the Reefs as the incubator are both irretrievably broken and factoring in the 10 to 20 year lag between cause and effect we are in dire trouble.

The Great Barrier Reef, the largest coral structure on Earth, is suffering from what may be its worst bleaching event ever recorded. But according to new research, future bleaching events could be even worse and may “disable” a natural protection mechanism of the reef’s corals — leaving them more defenseless against warmer seas“.

The full article, continues here:  ‘This year’s severe bleaching of the Great Barrier Reef is only the beginning’.

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Posted in Habitat, Rapid Climate Change
Kevin Hester

Kevin Hester is currently living on Rakino Island, a small island in the Hauraki Gulf near Auckland, New Zealand, monitoring the unravelling of the biosphere and volunteering at the Rakino Island Nursery is currently developing a proposal to create a marine reserve near by. The Island has no grid tied electricity or reticulated water.  I catch my own water from the roof and generate my electricity from the ample solar radiation on the island.

My Submission to the Ministry of the Environment
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