Baseline Temperature dishonesty at the Edge of Extinction

As we get closer to the collapse of the biosphere, I have been noticing a huge distortion, if not outright lying, in the use of baseline figures for the planetary temperature increase that humans have caused with our crack like and sadly terminal addiction to carbon.
“The Industrial Revolution, which took place from the 18th to 19th centuries, was a period during which predominantly agrarian, rural societies in Europe and America became industrial and urban. Prior to the Industrial Revolution, which began in Britain in the late 1700s, manufacturing was often done in people’s homes, using hand tools or basic machines. Industrialization marked a shift to powered, special-purpose machinery, factories and mass production.”INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION History.com

“In 1698, Thomas Savery, an engineer and inventor, patented a machine that could effectively draw water from flooded mines using steam pressure.
Thomas Savery Steam Engine
Savery used principles set forth by Denis Papin, a French-born British physicist who invented the pressure cooker. Papin’s ideas surrounding a cylinder and piston steam engine had not previously been used to build a working engine, but by 1705, Savery had turned Papin’s ideas into a useful invention.” additional information here; Who Invented the Steam Engine?
So in 1698 Thomas Savery had a patent on a steam engine powered by coal and this warming influence on the global mean temperature is casually ignored by the much vaunted IPCC

“The IPCC is currently in its Sixth Assessment cycle. During this cycle, the Panel will produce three Special Reports, a Methodology Report on national greenhouse gas inventories and the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).The 43rd Session of the IPCC held in April 2016 agreed that the AR6 Synthesis Report would be finalized in 2022 in time for the first UNFCCC global stocktake when countries will review progress towards their goal of keeping global warming to well below 2 °C while pursuing efforts to limit it to 1.5 °C. The three Working Group contributions to AR6 will be finalized in 2021.”
So the IPCC plans to reassess the 1.5C and 2C Voluntary targets in 2021! Considering we are now in early stage runaway  for them to pretend that we will be below a 1.5C temperature increase in 2021 is a monumental dereliction of duty in my humble opinion, especially now that our oceans have reached carbon saturation and are now out-gassing carbon instead of being carbon sinks. It appears all the ‘heavy lifting’ that our oceans have been doing has drawn to a close. Yet another feedback loop/ tipping point crossed.

From the good but very conservative Christian and  Hilary Clinton supporting climate blogger!!!! Robertscribbler
“Temperature averages for 2016 are so far about 1.22 C above the 1951 to 1980 baseline or about 1.44 C above 1880s averages.”
Scribbler has us in 2016 at 1.44C above the 1880 average  and Thomas Savery et al has been burning coal since 1698! What happened to that 182 years of emissions?
Admittedly the emissions in the early days of burning coal and later oil were low but ignoring them is in breach of the “Precautionary Principal”
The purpose of this blog post is to get my readers to question every article that quotes warming levels that ignore emissions before some arbitrary  date.
Common people, everything is at stake, let’s keep these shylocks honest until the lights go out. Question Everything, brace for imminent impact.



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I'm an anti-imperialist, environmental activist and blue ocean sailor, who is passionate about the earth and all it's inhabitants without favour. Brace for imminent impact as we bare witness to the non-linear unraveling of the biosphere and habitability disappearing for most if not all complex life on the only habitable planet we know of. To quote President Niinistö in North Russia: ‘If We Lose the Arctic, We Lose the World’. Folks we have lost the Arctic.

Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Feedback loops, Near Term Human Extinction--NTHE, Uncategorized
61 comments on “Baseline Temperature dishonesty at the Edge of Extinction
  1. Kevin Hester says:

    This article kills two birds with one stone from my perspective.
    1) The corporate controlled and established IPCC uses 1880 as their baseline for anthropogenic warming blithely ignoring centuries of warming.
    2) No matter how robust supply chains appear at first glance they are very susceptible to relatively small perturbations. A typhoon in the Philippines once shut down the entire Japanese vehicle manufacturing industry due to the unavailability of a simple solenoid.
    https://www.sciencenews.org/article/supply-chains-3000-years-bronze-age-shipwreck?fbclid=IwAR2YhmgfLKxPj4uM3WTtfTaNj-iT40KazEEgXxoR7_TbjdYa3EliD8vXnE4

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    • Rob Cook says:

      Hi Kevin,

      your article leads me to question why use baselines at all?

      You don’t bake a cake by referring to an arbitrary baseline, measuring the temperature anomaly within the oven to that baseline and then say when it’s heated up to 160 deg C above the baseline, you put the cake in.

      The average global temperature from 1750 to 1790 was around 13.54 degrees C. Sam Carana has stated on numerous occasions the average global temperature anomaly from the 1750 baseline which causes humanity to die out rather more quickly, will be around 3 deg, i.e. around 16.54 degrees C. We’re at 15. 35 as of mid April 2024.

      The Northern hemisphere is at 16.12 deg C (never mentioned anywhere) and the Southern hemisphere is catching up quickly as per Average temperature anomaly, Global (ourworldindata.org).

      When the Earth reaches and then exceeds 16 and a half deg C, we will all die, albeit rather slowly, painfully and in most cases, still in denial because we’ve been using a baseline that best suits our narrative, instead of reading the temperature gauge in the oven.

      Liked by 1 person

  2. […] continually move the baseline to bullshit about how much anthropogenic warming we have triggered. Baseline Temperature dishonesty at the Edge of Extinction. Using 1750 as a baseline we are at or around 2c now. Going back in time to include the Iron Age […]

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  3. Kevin Hester says:

    This 3,000-Year-Old Sword Was So Well Preserved That It ‘Almost Still Shines’
    Archaeologists uncovered the pristine-looking ancient weapon in a burial site in Germany. It’s already providing more than a glimmer of what life was like during the Bronze Age.
    https://www.discovermagazine.com/the-sciences/this-3-000-year-old-sword-was-so-well-preserved-that-it-almost-still-shines?utm_campaign=organicsocial&utm_content=this_3%2C000-year-old_sword&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&fbclid=IwAR2q4FsHxT8RfyM9DzYB9vp_hJ9bB2fgtBWauJIfJTUzG8zCSxgi4xFm_8Q

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  4. […] less anthropogenic warming than we’ve in reality triggered. I covered this issue previously, Baseline Temperature dishonesty at the Edge of ExtinctionSam Carana at the Arctic News Blogspot is one of the few prepared to address the science and be […]

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Kevin Hester

Kevin Hester is currently living on Rakino Island, a small island in the Hauraki Gulf near Auckland, New Zealand, monitoring the unravelling of the biosphere and volunteering at the Rakino Island Nursery is currently developing a proposal to create a marine reserve near by. The Island has no grid tied electricity or reticulated water.  I catch my own water from the roof and generate my electricity from the ample solar radiation on the island.

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