We’re actually heading for a 10C global mean temperature increase in the coming decade or two. Probably much sooner.

“John Doyle is a long time EU staffer stationed in Brussels. Stuart Scott was asked to make a ‘reality-check’ presentation to UN aid agencies with responsibility ( for) climate change in May 2019 in Geneva, Switzerland. Here is John’s ‘catastrophe-check’ to UN aid agencies. Diplomacy is the art and science of posturing, distortion and fabrication about underlying false and ideological mental positions about reality. We are operating under a global political network of self-delusional agencies and individuals who seem to believe that if they just keep repeating a false narrative about Reality it will become true and real.”

In the above presentation John Doyle mentioned the imminent threat of European cities facing “Wet Bulb Temperatures”, I have covered that issue previously here:
Additionally it was mentioned that we could lose the Arctic Sea Ice later this year! The consequences of that are described in the following embedded link; Cascading Consequences of the Loss of Arctic Sea Ice
“Losing the remaining Arctic sea ice and its ability to reflect incoming solar energy back to space would be equivalent to adding one trillion tons of CO2 to the atmosphere, on top of the 2.4 trillion tons emitted since the Industrial Age, according to current and former researchers from Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego.”
“At current rates, this roughly equates to 25 years of global CO2 emissions.”
Our former guest on Nature Bats Last on PRN.FM Robert Hunziker has recently published the following on Counterpunch: “Earth at 10°C above pre-industrial is unimaginable. It’s a deadly horrifying thought, but as shall be explained herein, it should not be dismissed out of hand.”
“The following story might be labeled as reckless, and it might be criticized as a fearmongering piece of journalism and probably will be. Nevertheless, “10C Above Baseline” explores a dystopian world envisioned by John Doyle, Sustainable Development Policy Coordinator of the European Commission in Brussels.” 10C Above Baseline

John Doyle mentioned the President of Finland saying “If We Lose The Arctic We Lose The World”, that quote can be substantiated here:President Niinistö in North Russia: ‘If We Lose the Arctic, We Lose the World’.

Corroborating John Doyle’s analysis is the following post from Sam Carana’s Arctic News Blog:
“How much could temperatures rise? As the image shows, a rise of more than 10°C (18°F) could take place, resulting in mass extinction of many species, including humans.”

“How fast could such a temperature rise eventuate? As above image also shows, such a rise could take place within a few years. The polynomial trend is based on NASA January 2012-February 2017 anomalies from 1951-1980, adjusted by +0.59°C to cater for the rise from 1750 to 1951-1980. The trend points at a 3°C rise in the course of 2018, which would be devastating. Moreover, the rise doesn’t stop there and the trend points at a 10°C rise as early as the year 2021.“Abrupt Warming – How Much And How Fast?

Don’t expect the psychopaths at the helm of our sinking, burning ship to stand idly bye as the planet incinerates. I expect to see a false flag attack on Russia or China by the empire of chaos creating a nuclear winter. If you think that’s an insane suggestion have a close look at the lunatics in power in Britain and Washington. The Inevitability of Nuclear War and Subsequent Nuclear Winter
Time is very short, seize the moment.

Grim Reaper

I'm an anti-imperialist, environmental activist and blue ocean sailor, who is passionate about the earth and all it's inhabitants without favour. Brace for imminent impact as we bare witness to the non-linear unraveling of the biosphere and habitability disappearing for most if not all complex life on the only habitable planet we know of. To quote President Niinistö in North Russia: ‘If We Lose the Arctic, We Lose the World’. Folks we have lost the Arctic.

Posted in Early Stage Runaway, John Doyle, Rapid Climate Change, Robert Hunziker
26 comments on “We’re actually heading for a 10C global mean temperature increase in the coming decade or two. Probably much sooner.
  1. Charles Leslie says:

    Just going to ignore that the temperature did not reach 3 in 2018?

    Liked by 1 person

  2. anthony says:

    We’re in a World of accelerating Climate Change caused by multiple tipping points. But a cumulative mega tipping point could now be happening from the aforementioned which would be curtains for Homo Saps The End.

    Liked by 2 people

  3. In a not-too-distant future, we will long for these days of being able to shelter safely in our homes.

    Liked by 2 people

  4. Unknown or Deleted User says:

    Thank you for telling us the truth. Too bad so many people don’t know how dire our situation is. CNN MSNBC CBS etc aren’t even giving viewers a slight inkling of the devastation shortly coming our way. Governor Cuomo so optimistic about building a new NYC airport that will soon be under water. The denial is extraordinary.

    Liked by 2 people

    • Sheila chambers says:

      They don’t dare tell the truth! Can you vision what would happen if people were told we as a species have less than 20 years to exist? Can you vision what would happen if people were told we have no “fix”, we are in a climate CATASTROPHE that can’t be stopped, that we & our children will die from heatstroke, diseases, border wars & cannibalism? Tell your children that each year it’s going to be hotter & hotter until we go mad & die?
      I don’t think so!
      We can’t stop the disaster we started, there is no “fix”, it’s going to get worse no matter what we do so go ahead & LIE! Keep hope & PROFITS going for as long as possible while the few super rich hide away in luxury bunkers that in reality can only buy them a little more time & if a little more is all they have, that for them is good enough.
      So rather than start a storm they can’t control or profit from, they LIE, tell us nice lies to keep us buying, docile & working.
      Go ahead & BUY that EV, put solar panels on your roof as long as your not a renter, splurge, live it up royally, SPEND, support the economy, it’s also doomed.

      Feed the birds, trap “outdoor” cats, if you have land, stop using pesticides & herbicides, plant native plants that are favorable to wildlife, undo some of the harm we have done before we go.

      Perhaps something will survive us, life is tough, something will carry on & evolve, let’s hope “nature” doesn’t evolve a creature that behaves like we did.

      Liked by 1 person

  5. Kevin Hester says:

    Black Bear News has covered this as well.

    Liked by 1 person

    • Sheila chambers says:

      You know we can’t just “shut it all down”, we are too dependent upon OIL, too many mouths demand to be fed & we add 80 million more mouths each year & that adds to the demand for more resources.
      If we had been “wise” we would have recognised that there are limits to our growth & we should have stabilized our population decades ago. Instead, our rulers endlessly push for more growth, growth until we race over the cliff.

      To stop using FF would lead to grid failures, economic collapse, massive unemployment & mass starvation not to even mention violent, mass protests as well.

      To keep control, they must keep BAU going for most as long as possible, as that fails, more force will be used against civilians.
      Even that will fail, then there will be no more laws ~

      Liked by 1 person

  6. […] We’re actually heading for a 10C global mean temperature increase in the coming decade or two.… […]

    Liked by 2 people

  7. Kevin brandon says:

    In your bio “bear witness” is spelled “bare witness” (which actually might be more apt)

    Liked by 2 people

  8. Thanks Kevin for this urgent message which is a sobering wake up call !! Not surprised and definitely very disappointed in what a mess the greedy have made the earth. Time to savor & love each day…XOX

    Liked by 2 people

  9. Nuclear winter is no solution. The dust would settle out after a few years, leaving a lot of dead vegetation that would add CO2 and methane to the atmosphere and skyrocket the temperatures even more. A few years of freezing cold followed by millennia of unlivable temperatures is a stupid solution, to say the least.

    Liked by 2 people

  10. Kevin Hester says:

    “The study indicates that if calculations by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) of global warming by 2-4°C in the century ahead become a reality, the result may be a doubling of the harmful effects of new mutations in tropical species.”

    “Since mutations are inherited and also arise in every new generation, a marked increase in their damaging effects would have major implications both for organisms’ adaptability and for the types of adaptations we can expect to see in them if global temperatures keep rising. Our results may therefore be important for understanding how future global warming may affect biodiversity,” Berger says.
    That’s somewhat problematic considering we’re heading for 10C !


  11. Kevin Hester says:

    “Freshwater release from the Arctic Ocean might also serve as an explanation for some abrupt climate change events during the last glacial period. During such events, temperatures in Greenland could rise by 8-10 degree centigrade within a few years, only returning to the original cold glacial temperatures over the course of hundreds or thousands of years.”


  12. Kevin Hester says:

    More confirmation from Michael Dowd and Robert Hunziker


  13. Kevin Hester says:

    Similar conclusions from Sam Carana

    A potentially catastrophic summation of our predicament. The conclusions are based on following the precautionary Principal.



  14. Kevin Hester says:

    Our former guest on Nature Bats Last Oceanographer Jim Massa sums up some recent papers on photosynthesis and comes to the same conclusions as myself, John Doyle, David Wasdell, Sam Carana and my co-host on NBL Professor Guy McPherson that a 10C temperature rise is baked in.
    We would all prefer to be proven wrong than right.


  15. Kevin Hester says:

    Many people think that myself, Guy McPherson and John Doyle are exaggerating that a 10C temperature increase could be baked in.
    This link shows that it has happened before.



  16. Jeanne-Marie Aurnague says:


    Liked by 1 person

  17. Kevin Hester says:

    “But climate change has occurred with frightening rapidity in the past and will almost certainly do so again. Perhaps the most famous example is the reverse hiccup in a warming trend that began 15,000 years ago and eventually ended the last ice age. Roughly 2,000 years after it started, the warming trend suddenly reversed, and temperatures fell back to near-glacial conditions; Earth stayed cold for over a thousand years, a period called the Younger Dryas (named for an alpine wildflower). Then warming resumed so abruptly that global temperatures shot up 10 °C in just 10 years.

    Note the date of publication; September 2008 !!!!



Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Kevin Hester

Kevin Hester is currently living on Rakino Island, a small island in the Hauraki Gulf near Auckland, New Zealand, monitoring the unravelling of the biosphere and volunteering at the Rakino Island Nursery is currently developing a proposal to create a marine reserve near by. The Island has no grid tied electricity or reticulated water.  I catch my own water from the roof and generate my electricity from the ample solar radiation on the island.

My Submission to the Ministry of the Environment
Kevin Hester, Dropping Anchor in an Exponential World
Follow Kevin Hester on WordPress.com
Blog Stats
  • 378,568 hits
2C 4C 5C 6th Great extinction 16 Ocean Passages Abrupt Climate Change Acidification of Oceans Alaska North Slope Alberta AMEG Anecdotes of Neil Finn and My Life "Colliding" Anthropogenic Climate Disruption-ACD Anthropogenic Emissions Anti-Nuclear Appearances Arctic Methane Emergency Group Arctic News Blog Assassination Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation-AMOC Atmospheric CO2 Australian Greens Bill McKibben Bleaching Event Brush Fire Canada Catastrophe Cenozoic Era China Chris Hani Chris Mooney Climate-Exodus Climate Change Research Centre CO2 Warming Coral Reefs Coral Sea Cory Morningstar CounterPunch Cruise Industry Dahr Jamail Deep Green Resistance Donald Trump Dr. Guy McPherson Dr. James E Hansen Dr. Mike Joy Draught Dr Natalia Shakova East Timor Ecocide El Nino Endangered Dolphins Eric Draitser Extinction Radio Feedback loops First Blue-Ocean Event in Arctic Forestry Fort McMurray Fukushima Daiichi Gaia Gene Gibson Geneva Conventions George Perkins Marsh Going Dark Great Barrier Reef Green Movement Guests Gulf Steam Gulf Stream System Habitat Habitat Wars Harold H. Hensel Heatwave Mass Casualties Imperialism India Interviews Invitations IPCC IRA Ireland Irish Freedom Movement Isis Jack Williams Jason Box Jennifer Hynes Joanna Macy John McMurtry John Pilger John Schramski Karl Marx Katharine Hayhoe Katie Goodman Kevin's New Webpage Kevin Trenberth Larissa Waters Limits to Growth Livestream Malcolm Light Mangroves Mark Eakin Mass Marine Death Max Wilbert Mean Air Tempature Michael C. Ruppert Michael E Mann Mid-East Middle East Mike Sliwa Monarch Butterflies Most Abnormally Warm Month Recorded. Nafeez Ahmed Naomi Klein Nature Bats Last Nelson Mandela New Webpage New Zealand North Africa November Speaking Tour with Guy McPherson Novosibirsk Reservoir Nuclear Nuclear War Overdevelopment-Overpopulation-Overshoot P.M. Kohn Key-Eco Terrorist Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum--PETM Patsy O'Hara Paul Beckwith Paul Craig Roberts Paul Ehrlich Pauline Panagiotou Schneider Paul Street Perfect Storm permafrost Peter Sinclair Phytoplankton PM John Key Podcast Pollution PRN Professor Paul Beckwith Prof Guy McPhersons Abrupt Climate Change Tour NZ 2016 Psychopathic Records of Air Tempatures Relief Analysis Richar Vivers RobertScribbler Robin Westenra Runaway Abrupt Climate Change Runaway Global Warming Russia Sam Carana SeeMoreRocks Blog Siberia-Yamal-Taimyr Sinn Fein South African Communist Party South Florida Corals South Pacific Storms of Our Grandchildren-James E Hansen Subsea Methane Sustainability Syria Syrian Conflict Temperature Anomalies TEPCO The Collapse of Industrial Civilisation The Pain You Feel Thom Hartmann Tipping Points Tour NZ 2016 Transport Truthout Umkhonto we Sizwe United Nations Updates US Presidential Elections War Crimes Warmest February on Record Warmest Russian Winter Warnings Water Vapor Weather Channel wet-bulb temperature World War
%d bloggers like this: