“By 2027 the world could be facing a 214 trillion calorie deficit, says Sara Menker, founder and chief executive of Gro Intelligence, an agricultural data technology company.”
We Have Five Years To Save Ourselves From Climate Change, Harvard Scientist Says
“We have exquisite information about what that state is, because we have a paleo record going back millions of years, when the earth had no ice at either pole. There was almost no temperature difference between the equator and the pole,” said James Anderson, a Harvard University professor of atmospheric chemistry best known for establishing that chlorofluorocarbons were damaging the Ozone Layer.”
“The ocean was running almost 10ºC warmer all the way to the bottom than it is today,” Anderson said of this once-and-future climate, “and the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere would have meant that storm systems would be violent in the extreme, because water vapor, which is an exponential function of water temperature, is the gasoline that fuels the frequency and intensity of storm systems.”
“People have the misapprehension that we can recover from this state just by reducing carbon emissions, Anderson said in an appearance at the University of Chicago. Recovery is all but impossible, he argued, without a World War II-style transformation of industry—an acceleration of the effort to halt carbon pollution and remove it from the atmosphere, and a new effort to reflect sunlight away from the earth’s poles.”
“This has to be done, Anderson added, within the next five years.” Oops, Published Jan 15, 2018
“The chance that there will be any permanent ice left in the Arctic after 2022 is essentially zero,” Anderson said, with 75 to 80 percent of permanent ice having melted already in the last 35 years.
“Can we lose 75-80 percent of permanent ice and recover? The answer is no.”
Not mentioned in Guy’s latest work is that as CO2 levels in the atmosphere increase, the nutritional value of the crops decreases, in a double whammy. I doubt that Sara Manker’s analysis factors in the non-linearity we are witnessing in the climate system, nor the war in Ukraine, that will drastically lower its food production this year and for the foreseeable future.
Rising CO2 is reducing nutritional value of food, impacting ecosystems.
“Things are far worse than you are being told. Over the past few months, I have been carefully documenting facts that show that global food production is going to be way down in 2022. Unfortunately, most people out there don’t seem to understand that the food that isn’t being grown in 2022 won’t be on our store shelves in 2023. We are potentially facing an absolutely unprecedented worldwide food crisis next year, but the vast majority of the population doesn’t seem very alarmed about this.”
A List Of 33 Things We Know About The Coming Food Shortages
Abstract
“In the 1972 bestseller Limits to Growth (LtG), the authors concluded that, if global society kept pursuing economic growth, it would experience a decline in food production, industrial output, and ultimately population, within this century. The LtG authors used a system dynamics model to study interactions between global variables, varying model assumptions to generate different scenarios. Previous empirical-data comparisons since then by Turner showed closest alignment with a scenario that ended in collapse. This research constitutes a data update to LtG, by examining to what extent empirical data aligned with four LtG scenarios spanning a range of technological, resource, and societal assumptions. The research benefited from improved data availability since the previous updates and included a scenario and two variables that had not been part of previous comparisons. The two scenarios aligning most closely with observed data indicate a halt in welfare, food, and industrial production over the next decade or so, which puts into question the suitability of continuous economic growth as humanity’s goal in the twenty-first century.”
“Let’s fast-forward nearly four years to an article published August 8th, 2022 in Australia’s leading daily newspaper, The Sydney Morning Herald. Titled, ‘We’re in trouble’: Australia risks food insecurity, expert warns, the article from more than eight months ago includes this line, quoted from the Australian Security Leaders Climate Group: “Only about five days’ worth of perishable food exists in the supply chain at any given time.”
Science Snippets: On the Verge of Starvation
“With food scarcity driven by falling water tables, eroding soils, and rising temperatures, control of arable land and water resources is moving to center stage in the global struggle for food security. “In this era of tightening world food supplies, the ability to grow food is fast becoming a new form of geopolitical leverage. Food is the new oil,” Lester R. Brown writes.“
I’m going to miss eating, it was one of the few things I excelled at!

Edit on 11/07/024
“The article in Reuters closes with a quote from a land analyst at the Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit: “In 2021, the government warned that climate change was the biggest medium to long term threat to our food security. This analysis suggests that it is the biggest risk now, not at some far off point in the future.”
subscribers can comment on Guy’ personal subtack below
Denial and Lies Reign As Climate Change Threatens Food Supply
Lester Brown, 2012
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“In Italy, this year’s olive harvest is down by an estimated 80 percent, according to producers.”
https://phys.org/news/2023-11-winter-isnt-climate-greek-olive.html?fbclid=IwAR25XLyCBxoA5reNpAfWqELmyThjVtgRYASpqKbEucjhxuml5hyaO2Cv_ks
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“Iraq’s signature anbar rice is disappearing amid water shortages
Severe water shortages in Iraq are affecting the cultivation of the country’s signature anbar rice. The lack of water is being caused by a combination of climate change and geopolitics. The World’s Sara Hassan speaks with a farmer who can no longer grow the crop in southern Najaf province.”
https://theworld.org/stories/2023-11-22/iraqs-signature-anbar-rice-disappearing-amid-water-shortages?fbclid=IwAR1emzlMlFL2jCloyRuy7-41CPSLtsSbAfarwzlua_DTYiGTqQrjv32qOZw
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Guy and I have been discussing the threat climate change poses to food production.
This new paper confirms our concerns.
It’s nothing that Guy didn’t already know but it is a new paper just released confirming our predicament is always worse than we knew yesterday.
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2411366-extreme-droughts-are-worse-for-plants-than-we-thought/?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_campaign=echobox&utm_medium=social&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR3SeynOxQJzv8Sa8zPiOTo7XhUDrEct4rcDtncSKKJu07wLkkeUHw4J2Xc#Echobox=1704837638
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In 1989 the UN published an article stating that we had a 10-year window of ‘opportunity’ to avoid dangerous climate change, we have more than doubled our emissions since then and the UN is still saying much the same thing.
The juggernaut of Industrial capitalism ensured that emissions would not just grow but accelerate.
Last century it was common for us, when discussing the future, to speak about the issue of “Tipping Points” or “Feedback Loops”, now that we have crossed at least 60 of them, the large NGO’s and the UN have dropped the subject.
https://guymcpherson.substack.com/p/science-snippets-how-late-are-we
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Yale never include non-linearity in their models; hence they always undershoot.
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/01/what-are-the-odds-that-extreme-weather-will-lead-to-a-global-food-shock/?fbclid=IwAR1_kEvac4yBjeScxZ1GnsuVV-s2LR640HNmdL-ZES0OrAMKFHlJ7NMstq4
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Another twist on the collapse of the global food supply.
Wild food counts for millions of people and other fauna.
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“The recent attacks of Yemen-based Houthi rebels on ships in the Red Sea have paralyzed shipping through the Suez Canal, forcing exporters in the Black Sea region and elsewhere to consider alternative—and more costly—shipping routes. In early January, A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S, the world’s second-largest container ship company, announced it would suspend shipments through the Red Sea. Trade volumes in the Suez Canal are down an estimated 40% since the attacks began.”
“Such choke point disruptions to global shipping, while rare, have recently cropped up in diverse locations.”
https://www.foodsecurityportal.org/node/2672
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Guy’s latest lecture and analysis delves into the building global food production crisis.
Not only are yields declining, but as the temperature rises, the nutritional value of the crops declines in a double whammy.
https://guymcpherson.com/science-snippets-a-warming-planet-causes-food-production-to-decline/?fbclid=IwAR2GkFEWJYawPfMBG7zsaW18esw_prAYMOWxSm_jEC53BUbMYcVuo_ocCNs
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So it begins:
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/feb/23/farms-flooding-rainfall-winter-nfu-conference?CMP=twt_a-environment_b-gdneco&fbclid=IwAR23a4HRODissu3I1qR15I6pfDG3bb9d4mhWFQG3TNyo0Lt06mEa8wVWt2s
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That the nutritional value of crops decreases with higher temperatures and higher CO2 levels has been mentioned in many of the books I’ve studied concerning climate change’s consequences on agriculture. Also, if crops ripen too quickly both nutrition and yield are effected, decreased.
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It sure isn’t going to get better. Doses of Hopium aren’t really going to work, especially with what this article shows:
**NOTE: This article is extremely dishonest with the timeline because the author(s) completely discounting the hundred years of industrialization!! It specifically used 1850-1900 as ‘pre-industrial.’ A very un-funny joke.
2023 Broke Temperature Records. Will 2024 Be Even More Extreme?
Climate scientists have confirmed that last year’s heat was unprecedented, surpassing records by a wide margin—but it could be one of the coolest years to come
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/2023-broke-temperature-records-will-2024-be-even-more-extreme-180983572/
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Then there is this guy Zeke:
(cut from a Medium posting)
View at Medium.com
…Making Sense of the Trends
While the prospect of experiencing the hottest February on record looms large, it’s essential to grasp the broader context of climatic unpredictability. Berkeley Earth scientist Zeke Hausfather warns that the likelihood of surpassing the 2°C warming threshold temporarily is influenced by the peak impact of El Niño.
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Likely? Temporarily? Happened officially last Fall, dude, where you been? Just like the Smithsonian ‘mistakenly’ stating 1850 as the start, eh?
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Selkirk Range weather:
Continued small rain squalls mixed with sunshine days (chill winds, though) and 3-10C during the days. Blue sky and the sun feels too warm on the arm for this time of year. Nothing more than 5 or 6 cm of snow at any one time at my elevation, most melts off by afternoon, but the -10C nights are the only thing making that possible. Unlike California with another series of monster snowstorms and deluge rain, or Texas with the largest out-of-control wildfire in the state ever that is still burning, or the no snow in Wisconsin’s winter for much of anything related to snow sports, we’re mostly just in the damned doldrums as far as getting smacked. Until the switch gets flipped and the furnace starts up again by June where, instead of the last frost sometime that month, I’m expecting temps to be cracking towards 50’C by the end of that month.
Okay, that’s enough bad news from me, yes?
sealintheSelkirks
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Here’s another quick vid glimpse of current ‘trends’ in the US:
https://weather.com/news/climate/video/see-great-lakes-ice-cover-now-vs-10-years-ago
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Oops.
sealintheSelkirks
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Tens of thousands of people live from the food caught in the Hauraki Gulf, it’s been feeding me all my life.
This invasive weed will exterminate all Sealife in the Hauraki Gulf. A huge part of my life and lifestyle is dying.
Over the years Guy and I have identified numerous existential threats, new ones pop up daily.
https://www.1news.co.nz/2024/03/10/invasive-caulerpa-described-as-biggest-threat-to-nzs-marine-life/?fbclid=IwAR23QW8llj4WtKJn-1C0-_PVs34eNV9upSC0P-BlubPGKh-QK3sII2zJAQk
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And then there are bananas dying across four continents due to a fungal disease…caused by global warming. A food staple plant for tens of millions.
Yeah, starvation is coming, no doubt about that.
https://weather.com/news/climate/video/banana-prices-rising-with-global-climate-change
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sealintheSelkirks
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Another well-crafted essay on our unfolding predicament:
https://animistsramblings.substack.com/p/agriculture-diminishing-returns?fbclid=IwAR0qkF6lHpXnZp3fOhD3OPaJ8xynYWf2uTWkMCnImkamJSy27grC5hlPumk
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Prepping for NTHE
Erik Michaels · Favourites · 18 m ·
“Much of what is discussed here is in earlier videos I have posted here, but take a look at what he has to say about agriculture at the 54:30 mark. We’ve talked about this before too, but to have this stark of a reminder might be beneficial for folks on the fence about food and water security:
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[…] threatening Canfield Oceans? CheckSociopathic or psychopathic nuclear armed world leaders? CheckStarvation killing people over much of Africa and now Palestine. Check A global Ponzi scheme masquerading as a global economy? CheckAtlantic Meridional Overturning […]
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“Live Fast, Die Young”: USDA Shifts Plant Hardiness Zones – YouTube
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This year, rice production declined from 31.53 million tonnes to 30.9 million tonnes. Notably, rice prices increased in February relative to the previous year.
Opinion | Southeast Asia’s heatwaves threaten food security. How can nations adapt? | South China Morning Post (scmp.com)
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Farmers warn food aisles will soon be empty because of crushing conditions: ‘We are not in a good position’
Farmers warn food aisles will soon be empty because of crushing conditions: ‘We are not in a good position’ (yahoo.com)
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I’m a British farmer. Here’s the scary truth about what’s happening to our crops
Guy Singh-Watson
I’m a British farmer. Here’s the scary truth about what’s happening to our crops | Guy Singh-Watson | The Guardian
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“Population growth + energy scarcity + water shortages + floods + droughts. The combined implication of these issues = food scarcity.”
“The 21st century will be defined by access to food. Governments, corporations and mercenaries are vying for control over the world’s food supply. The land rush is happening now ahead of biosphere collapse and conflict. It’s not just about ensuring supply. It’s about control. Control the food and you control the people.”
Gov’ts and Corps Hoarding Global Food Resources (collapse2050.com)
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That wasn’t fun to listen to. At all. But then I have such a low opinion of the majority of our species anyway….
sealintheSelkirks
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We need to talk about your starving grandchildren. (youtube.com)
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No, there is no need to talk about starving grandchildren because…what would be the point? There will be uncounted numbers of them across the world…and the parents will do their best to keep them alive and die trying and the grandparents will already be dead of the heat. Then the kids will.
And industrialized farming combined with drought from climate collapsed will kill itself:
Depletion of major groundwater source threatens Great Plains farming
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-s3xCNngm0w
A overall drop of 28 feet, almost ten meters, of the Ogalala Aquifer that underlies the eight states that comprise the US grain belt since the 1950s? Starving grandchildren are not that far off for the US. But of course it’s already happening in many parts of the world…
sealintheSelkirks
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How World Leaders are Scrambling to Secure Food in the Shadows | Amanpour and Company (youtube.com)
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Flooding Across the Midwest May Have Wiped Out Up to 1 Million Acres of Crops, New Estimates Now Show
Flooding Across the Midwest May Have Wiped Out Up to 1 Million Acres of Crops, New Estimates Now Show | AgWeb
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The Hopium is still strong…and don’t you just love the first paragraph of this article?
13 Months of Record-Smashing Heat Called ‘Another Red Alert’ for Humanity
“This alarming record underlines the need to urgently phase out fossil fuels, and to hugely increase climate finance,” said one campaigner.
https://www.commondreams.org/news/hottest-june-on-record-2668701286
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Who thinks the oil companies are even trying to phase out? Anybody really believe that shit?
And the farthest east/earliest Cat 5 hurricane ever recorded blew in from the Atlantic, swept through the Caribbean, slammed Mexico, re-intensified as it hit August temperature water again so it could pummel the hell out of Texas, and is now still doing damage across parts of the US as it heads BACK towards the Atlantic Ocean somewhat farther north…
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In my neck of the woods it was 108’F/42C at 3pm today. Too hot for the dogs, cat, and wild birds except hummingbirds who are still hitting the feeders. And definitely too hot for me to even go outside except to water the garden. I did see one deer today on the property. Didn’t look happy. Records being broken in the US again, but at least this time the Heat Dome is centered south of me instead of directly over the PacNW like in 2021 when it hit 120’F. However, it isn’t the hottest part of the year yet…
sealintheSelkirks
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“Normally” we see the sea Ice minimum in the Arctic in mid-September
Imagine how chaotic it will be by then!
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A classic propaganda piece from the plagiarist David Wallace Wells.
He writes “But in a few decades, we may find ourselves having solved the industrial problems of warming, only to be confronted instead by a persistent set of challenges that seem pre-modern by comparison”
Yeah right, this is the dude who interviewed Professor Guy McPherson for 4 hrs. Then plagiarized Guy’s monster Climate Change Summary and wrote a best-selling article titled “An Uninhabitable Earth” that was spun into a best-selling book and still no recognition of Guy’s science that was clear to see in his writing.
He subtly promotes GMO’s and doesn’t seem to understand that as CO2 increases in the atmosphere the nutritional value of our crops decreases!
He’s a corporate whore and his conclusions can’t be trusted.
Opinion | Food as You Know It Is About to Change – The New York Times (nytimes.com)
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UNICEF manages to write an analysis documenting a 9% increase in one year of food insecurity and the words “Climate Change” don’t appear! The cognitive dissonance is astounding! https://www.unicefusa.org/media-hub/reports/2024-Global-Report-Food-Crises#:~:text=The%20latest%20data%20on%20protracted%20hunger%20worldwide&text=According%20to%20the%202024%20report,increase%20in%20Sudan%20%E2%80%94%20in%202023
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The crop levels are down a little bit, they are down 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60 or as much as 75%!
It’s not ‘just’ crop levels that are tanking. As the level of CO2 in the atmosphere increases, the nutritional value of the crops plumets!
Harvest in England the second worst on record because of wet weather | Farming | The Guardian
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Science Snippets: Climate Change Underlies Hunger for Many People
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But wait, there’s always more:
Food Shortages In 2025? 20% Of U.S. Food Imported; Impact Of Tariffs | Joel Salatin
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“Not surprisingly, abrupt, irreversible climate change is driving up food prices around the world. An excellent series of charts from Carbon Brief tells the tale in an article published 23 August 2024. The article is titled Five charts: How climate change is driving up food prices around the world. The subhead: “Global food prices have seen huge fluctuations in recent years, soaring to record highs in 2022 before dropping in 2023 and rising again slowly this year.” Here’s the lede: “Extreme weather events, geopolitical conflict, high input costs and increased demand all contributed to these spikes, experts told Carbon Brief in June. I will present and briefly describe each of the five charts.”
Prices Rise As Food Production is Threatened by Drought, Topsoil Loss, and Overheated Earth
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The more ‘international’ the food supply is, the more vulnerable to disease contamination it is.
All because people in the US don’t want to cook their food, ya know? Like they don’t want vaccines, or to get the SARS 2 Covid shots because Covid has been ‘beaten’ as President Biden said.
Can’t fix stupid.
Why food recalls are mounting this year
https://www.axios.com/2024/12/17/food-recalls-2024-increase
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Sure is a grim outlook that continues to be grimmer from all directions, doesn’t it?
sealintheSelkirks
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Collapse is a slow motion train smash, what a cluster fuck!
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I was torn between putting this in the Pestilence thread or this one because it fits in both:
In Win for Agribusiness, Trade Panel Backs US Challenge to Mexican GM Corn Ban
“Trade agreements should not allow multinational pesticide and biotech companies to imperil the health of people and the environment,” one campaigner said.
https://www.commondreams.org/news/trade-panel-mexico-gm-corn
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Let’s make the world sicker with your poisons, Big Ag.
sealintheSelkirks
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(says from the Guardian but couldn’t find the original article)
Vegetables Are Losing Their Nutrients. Can the Decline Be Reversed?
A process called biofortification puts nutrients directly into seeds and could reduce global hunger, but it’s not a magic bullet.
https://getpocket.com/explore/item/vegetables-are-losing-their-nutrients-can-the-decline-be-reversed
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So our collapsing climate is causing our food plants to not hold enough nutrients to feed us? Or bluntly, lose nutrients! And the answer is (of course) to modify the crops instead of modifying human behavior that is destroying the Holocene’s more stable climate.
“But there are other concerns that nutrients are being lost at a broader scale than biofortification can replace.”
Oh darn! Don’t you hate it when technology isn’t enough???
Our species seems to be incapable of changing its behavior?
sealintheSelkirks
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“Potatoes are a staple food crop for humans in many locations. They provide necessary starch, as do staple crops such as rice, wheat, beans, and corn. Potatoes have been relatively easy to grow, especially in cool environments. When I was growing up in northern Idaho, we grew potatoes in our garden, even though we learned by doing when it came to growing food. Idaho still has the Famous Potatoes slogan on its license plates.”
Cool Nights Needed to Grow Potatoes Slipping Away
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Altering the plants’ “circadian clock” at such a rate of change as we are forcing, will clearly disrupt the growing cycle. We can expect more disruption in food production as a result.
This is the stupidest experiment I have ever participated in!
Nature Bats Last Substack | Guy R McPherson | Substack
Confirmed below also:
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2023/07/230710113932.htm
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Less snow means…less water which means…less food supplies.
Uh-oh!
https://weather.com/news/climate/video/fewer-freezing-nights-impacting-agriculture-disease-water
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At 2:30am this morning pounding deluge rain was pummeling the roof above my head nearly drowning out the music going on the stereo. By 9am there wasn’t a speck of the 100mm of snow that has fallen the last few days left in the conifers across the property, and to walk across the sparse remnants left on the ground requires waterproof boots with those weird boot-chains on them because it was wet and slick.
Temps are expected to above 10C this coming week, the last week of February! More rain expected, too, when it should be dumping snow. Weather is FUCKED UP.
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In other news be glad you don’t have a Fascist moron practicing to be a blithering idiot in charge of your country with a South African sidekick who snorts ketamine all day and night in control of the country’s bank account firing everybody especially those who were investigating his numerous business practices and billions in US government contracts.
Can we cancel Musk’s naturalized citizenship due to his lying on the original visa applications and ship his sorry drug-addled brain back to South Africa please?
sealintheSelkirks
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Guy’s latest analysis concentrates on the lack of cold days and how it effects productivity.
There are other threat multipliers, bee colony collapse and the reduced nutritional value of crops as the level of CO2 increases in the atmosphere.
Over half of the USA’s bee colonies have died this winter, that will domino through the ecosystem due to them being a “Keystone species”.
Comments – Science Snippets: Climate Change Endangers Many Crops
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I guess the US wealthy Oligarchs are going to have no problems with starving since the government of New Zealand just caved and did this:
Want to move to Middle-earth? New Zealand just made it easier for rich Americans to stay
https://www.usatoday.com/story/travel/news/2025/04/10/new-zealand-golden-visa/83015173007/?utm
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What the hell is wrong with your government, Kev? Oh wait, what the hell is wrong with the entire world…
sealintheSelkirks
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My government is owned by your government! lol
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(7) The CEOs of Walmart, Target, Home Depot Warn That Store Shelves All Over America Could Soon Be Empty – YouTube
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Brace for impact.
Data Reveals Crops Most Threatened by Water Shortages | World Resources Institute
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Who needs farms when we have an unending supply of juicy burgers!
Cultivated Meat and ‘Technological Solutionism’
https://www.counterpunch.org/2025/05/19/cultivated-meat-and-technological-solutionism/
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Some science is grander than others, eh?
sealintheSelkirks
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Both of the species mentioned are going in the wrong direction.
Accelerating loss of honeybees guarantees less food, more humans mean we need more food.
Plus of course higher CO2 levels in the atmosphere reduces the nutritional value of whatever crops reach our retail outlets, where for many of us, most of our food comes from.
Science Snippets: Human Population Underestimated as Honeybee Colonies Collapse
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Down the gurgler we go!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zW5pvanB5y8
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It’s like those billionaires…you know, the people are supposed to be so ‘intelligent’ because they became wealthy as fuck (most, of course, inherited it!). They can’t read the science writing on the wall about climate impacts of Global Warming nor the global impacts of Trump’s implementation of ‘Project 2025’ that they funded him into office to pass.
The wealthy seem to be unable to process
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Oh hell, I didn’t mean to submit this yet. I’m currently using an old ‘trackball’ mouse until the new optical mouse shows up. These things are hard to use and I keep making mistakes!! You should have seen the dust on the outside of the bag it was in!
As I was writing:
…unable to process that lowering even more of their taxes while installing a Fascistic but pliable idiot as a ‘leader’ might have unintended consequences to their lifestyle. But then they don’t care since they can afford the higher costs of food etc. Anybody that can fly to France for a meal probably won’t have much trouble paying the higher prices.
In the short history of the US, with the largest transfer of wealth from the bottom 90% to the top 10% (especially the top 1% or less) happening under the Trump Regime, this is going to become a very VERY bad situation for the vast majority of citizens.
Something like 60% of the country is living paycheck to paycheck at this point, throw in the destruction of the Dept. of Education being run into the ground by his fellow billionaire and former head of the World Wrestling Federation (boy is that a resume, eh?), dumping tens of millions off the inadequately subsidized health care Medicaid while coming for Medicare and Social Security funds, cutting all science funding and research funding and food inspection funding and NOAA and and… Oh my is the list getting long!
Does this sound like a pre-planned destruction of a country? Or is it just a bunch of stupid idiots who think their wealth & power bestowed intelligence?
Mostly I think it gave them a very inflated sense of worth…which translates to forms of sociopathy leading to completely psychopaths ruling a country.
Big sigh. As fast as shit is breaking down, and the increasing heat, droughts, floods, desertification, storms, and fires, Canada is not immune to what’s happening just slightly south of an invisible line drawn on a map. The shifting weather is not going to pay attention to political boundaries I don’t think.
sealintheSelkirks
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Tristan Sykes ·
Favourites ·
Are you noticing any impact to your own food bill? Unsustainable food production threatens geopolitical relations as agricultural systems fail under climate change pressures. Growing what you can, and building stores of dry goods, at home and in your communities, may offer some measure of socio-ecological justice in a collapsing world.
Climate extremes, food price spikes, and their wider societal risks – IOPscience
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Via Alice Friedemann
Nichols (2015) below shows that climate change is already affecting harvests of the world’s top 10 crops that comprise 83% of our calories: barley, cassava, maize, oil palm, rapeseed, rice, sorghum, soybean, sugarcane and wheat. So though the article below says we’re approaching peak food, to some extent we’re already there (Deepak 2019).
What does “Peak Food” mean?
“Peak food refers to the point at which the global agricultural system reaches maximum production capacity, after which output begins to decline. This decline is caused by a variety of factors, including soil degradation, loss of biodiversity, climate change, and water scarcity.
One of the main drivers of peak food is the loss of fertile land. As urbanization and industrialization increase, fertile land is being converted to non-agricultural uses at an alarming rate. This is further compounded by the degradation of soil due to overuse of chemical fertilizers and pesticides, as well as the loss of biodiversity due to monoculture farming practices.
Climate change is also a major contributor to peak food, as rising temperatures and extreme weather events are making it increasingly difficult to grow crops in many regions around the world. In addition, water scarcity is becoming a major issue as droughts and over-extraction of groundwater are making it difficult to irrigate crops (FI 2015).”
And now the weeds are winning as they develop resistance to herbicides, and can wipe out half or even all of a field (Main 2024). Likewise with pesticides.
Peak food production happened, how will we feed 2-3 billion more? | Peak Everything, Overshoot, & Collapse
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