“The Greatest Shortcoming of the Human Race is our Inability to Truly Understand the Exponential Function” The late great Albert Bartlett

The video above is a brief overview of Al’s hypothesis, a longer, more detailed version is embedded following: Exponential Growth Arithmetic, Population and Energy, Dr. Albert A. Bartlett

The late, great Michael Dowd and I believe that William Catton’s masterpiece Overshoot is one of the most important books ever written.
Mike recorded an audio overview of Catton’s book: William R. Catton, Jr Overshoot – 1

Let’s talk ‘Nonlinearity’.
Greenland ice melt has surged sixfold and scientists are alarmed

Date: May 4, 2026, Source: University of Barcelona Summary: “Greenland’s ice sheet is now melting in ways never seen before, with extreme events becoming more frequent, widespread, and intense. Since 1990, meltwater production has skyrocketed, and most record-breaking events have occurred in recent years. Scientists say warming temperatures are supercharging these episodes beyond natural climate patterns.”
Greenland ice melt has surged sixfold and scientists are alarmed

“Losing the remaining Arctic sea ice and its ability to reflect incoming solar energy back to space would be equivalent to adding one trillion tons of CO2 to the atmosphere, on top of the 2.4 trillion tons emitted since the Industrial Age, according to current and former researchers from Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego.”
“At current rates, this roughly equates to 25 years of global CO2 emissions.”
Cascading Consequences of the Loss of Arctic Sea Ice

Dive into Erik Michaels blog titled: What Can Be Done About Overshoot?

Via Environmental Coffeehouse
“William Catton was prescient enough to see what was coming from a long way off, and responsible enough to spend his life warning us. Peace on his soul, and heaven help our own.” ~ Alan Weisman

“William Catton was a pioneering world leader in dealing with environmental issues. He was one of the few sociologists who recognized the existential nature of the crisis now facing civilization. ” Paul Erlich

Abstract

“Many subsystems of the Earth system, which are currently closely following a stable state, are at risk of undergoing abrupt transitions to a drastically different, and often less desired, state due to anthropogenic climate change. These so-called tipping events often present severe consequences for ecosystems and human livelihood that are difficult to reverse. Forcing a nonlinear system beyond a critical threshold that signifies the onset of self-amplifying feedbacks constitutes a possible mechanism for tipping”.
Uncertainty quantification for overshoots of tipping thresholds

“Antarctica is being ravaged by a triple-whammy of climate chaos that has melted sea ice to record lows, a new study has revealed. For decades, the frozen wilderness at the bottom of the world defied global warming trends, with ice levels actually growing—until 2015 when it suddenly reversed.”
A brand-new paper just published: Antarctica sea ice collapse driven by triple whammy of climate chaos, scientists find.

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Asalamu Alaikum, Amandla Ngawhetu, Tiocfaidh ár lá.

About Kevin Hester

I'm an anti-imperialist, environmental activist and blue ocean sailor, who is passionate about the earth and all it's inhabitants without favour. Brace for imminent impact as we bare witness to the non-linear unraveling of the biosphere and habitability disappearing for most if not all complex life on the only habitable planet we know of. To quote President Niinistö in North Russia: ‘If We Lose the Arctic, We Lose the World’. Folks we have lost the Arctic.