“John Doyle is a long time EU staffer stationed in Brussels. Stuart Scott was asked to make a ‘reality-check’ presentation to UN aid agencies with responsibility ( for) climate change in May 2019 in Geneva, Switzerland. Here is John’s ‘catastrophe-check’ to UN aid agencies. Diplomacy is the art and science of posturing, distortion and fabrication about underlying false and ideological mental positions about reality. We are operating under a global political network of self-delusional agencies and individuals who seem to believe that if they just keep repeating a false narrative about Reality it will become true and real.”
In the above presentation John Doyle mentioned the imminent threat of European cities facing “Wet Bulb Temperatures”, I have covered that issue previously here:
Additionally it was mentioned that we could lose the Arctic Sea Ice later this year! The consequences of that are described in the following embedded link; Cascading Consequences of the Loss of Arctic Sea Ice
“Losing the remaining Arctic sea ice and its ability to reflect incoming solar energy back to space would be equivalent to adding one trillion tons of CO2 to the atmosphere, on top of the 2.4 trillion tons emitted since the Industrial Age, according to current and former researchers from Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego.”
“At current rates, this roughly equates to 25 years of global CO2 emissions.”
Our former guest on Nature Bats Last on PRN.FM Robert Hunziker has recently published the following on Counterpunch: “Earth at 10°C above pre-industrial is unimaginable. It’s a deadly horrifying thought, but as shall be explained herein, it should not be dismissed out of hand.”
“The following story might be labeled as reckless, and it might be criticized as a fearmongering piece of journalism and probably will be. Nevertheless, “10C Above Baseline” explores a dystopian world envisioned by John Doyle, Sustainable Development Policy Coordinator of the European Commission in Brussels.” 10C Above Baseline
John Doyle mentioned the President of Finland saying “If We Lose The Arctic We Lose The World”, that quote can be substantiated here:President Niinistö in North Russia: ‘If We Lose the Arctic, We Lose the World’.
Corroborating John Doyle’s analysis is the following post from Sam Carana’s Arctic News Blog:
“How much could temperatures rise? As the image shows, a rise of more than 10°C (18°F) could take place, resulting in mass extinction of many species, including humans.”
“How fast could such a temperature rise eventuate? As above image also shows, such a rise could take place within a few years. The polynomial trend is based on NASA January 2012-February 2017 anomalies from 1951-1980, adjusted by +0.59°C to cater for the rise from 1750 to 1951-1980. The trend points at a 3°C rise in the course of 2018, which would be devastating. Moreover, the rise doesn’t stop there and the trend points at a 10°C rise as early as the year 2021.“Abrupt Warming – How Much And How Fast?
Don’t expect the psychopaths at the helm of our sinking, burning ship to stand idly bye as the planet incinerates. I expect to see a false flag attack on Russia or China by the empire of chaos creating a nuclear winter. If you think that’s an insane suggestion have a close look at the lunatics in power in Britain and Washington. The Inevitability of Nuclear War and Subsequent Nuclear Winter
Time is very short, seize the moment.
I'm an anti-imperialist, environmental activist and blue ocean sailor, who is passionate about the earth and all it's inhabitants without favour. Brace for imminent impact as we bare witness to the non-linear unraveling of the biosphere and habitability disappearing for most if not all complex life on the only habitable planet we know of. To quote President Niinistö in North Russia: ‘If We Lose the Arctic, We Lose the World’. Folks we have lost the Arctic.
Kevin Hester 
Just going to ignore that the temperature did not reach 3 in 2018?
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We’re in a World of accelerating Climate Change caused by multiple tipping points. But a cumulative mega tipping point could now be happening from the aforementioned which would be curtains for Homo Saps The End.
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Anything the EU says ………… ??!
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It’s seems we are going round the bend of an exponential temperature increase and all he’ll will break loose for Billions of people and other living thinks.
There will be population collapse of many species and many will go extinct.
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In a not-too-distant future, we will long for these days of being able to shelter safely in our homes.
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Thank you for telling us the truth. Too bad so many people don’t know how dire our situation is. CNN MSNBC CBS etc aren’t even giving viewers a slight inkling of the devastation shortly coming our way. Governor Cuomo so optimistic about building a new NYC airport that will soon be under water. The denial is extraordinary.
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They don’t dare tell the truth! Can you vision what would happen if people were told we as a species have less than 20 years to exist? Can you vision what would happen if people were told we have no “fix”, we are in a climate CATASTROPHE that can’t be stopped, that we & our children will die from heatstroke, diseases, border wars & cannibalism? Tell your children that each year it’s going to be hotter & hotter until we go mad & die?
I don’t think so!
We can’t stop the disaster we started, there is no “fix”, it’s going to get worse no matter what we do so go ahead & LIE! Keep hope & PROFITS going for as long as possible while the few super rich hide away in luxury bunkers that in reality can only buy them a little more time & if a little more is all they have, that for them is good enough.
So rather than start a storm they can’t control or profit from, they LIE, tell us nice lies to keep us buying, docile & working.
Go ahead & BUY that EV, put solar panels on your roof as long as your not a renter, splurge, live it up royally, SPEND, support the economy, it’s also doomed.
Feed the birds, trap “outdoor” cats, if you have land, stop using pesticides & herbicides, plant native plants that are favorable to wildlife, undo some of the harm we have done before we go.
Perhaps something will survive us, life is tough, something will carry on & evolve, let’s hope “nature” doesn’t evolve a creature that behaves like we did.
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Black Bear News has covered this as well.
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You know we can’t just “shut it all down”, we are too dependent upon OIL, too many mouths demand to be fed & we add 80 million more mouths each year & that adds to the demand for more resources.
If we had been “wise” we would have recognised that there are limits to our growth & we should have stabilized our population decades ago. Instead, our rulers endlessly push for more growth, growth until we race over the cliff.
To stop using FF would lead to grid failures, economic collapse, massive unemployment & mass starvation not to even mention violent, mass protests as well.
To keep control, they must keep BAU going for most as long as possible, as that fails, more force will be used against civilians.
Even that will fail, then there will be no more laws ~
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[…] We’re actually heading for a 10C global mean temperature increase in the coming decade or two.… […]
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In your bio “bear witness” is spelled “bare witness” (which actually might be more apt)
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Thanks Kevin for this urgent message which is a sobering wake up call !! Not surprised and definitely very disappointed in what a mess the greedy have made the earth. Time to savor & love each day…XOX
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Nuclear winter is no solution. The dust would settle out after a few years, leaving a lot of dead vegetation that would add CO2 and methane to the atmosphere and skyrocket the temperatures even more. A few years of freezing cold followed by millennia of unlivable temperatures is a stupid solution, to say the least.
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Brace for imminent impact;
https://www.livescience.com/oldest-climate-record-ever-cenozoic-era.html?fbclid=IwAR2cvP6JO5zmNOQICUTvtjlEDdjrQmAZgqeZj0Jo7LcGVhsMp3Hc8JeAHL0
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“The study indicates that if calculations by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) of global warming by 2-4°C in the century ahead become a reality, the result may be a doubling of the harmful effects of new mutations in tropical species.”
“Since mutations are inherited and also arise in every new generation, a marked increase in their damaging effects would have major implications both for organisms’ adaptability and for the types of adaptations we can expect to see in them if global temperatures keep rising. Our results may therefore be important for understanding how future global warming may affect biodiversity,” Berger says.
That’s somewhat problematic considering we’re heading for 10C !
https://phys.org/news/2021-02-warmer-climate-mutations.html?fbclid=IwAR2LA7D4xg-34IorlIFVTwGD-BU5dv4bj12G7x9VgyEIIL7w-v6ALNbGalQ
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“Freshwater release from the Arctic Ocean might also serve as an explanation for some abrupt climate change events during the last glacial period. During such events, temperatures in Greenland could rise by 8-10 degree centigrade within a few years, only returning to the original cold glacial temperatures over the course of hundreds or thousands of years.”
https://sciencebulletin.org/the-arctic-ocean-was-covered-by-a-shelf-ice-and-filled-with-freshwater/#:~:text=The%20Arctic%20Ocean%20was%20covered%20by%20up%20to,from%20the%20Alfred%20Wegener%20Institute%20and%20the%20MARUM.
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More confirmation from Michael Dowd and Robert Hunziker
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Similar conclusions from Sam Carana
A potentially catastrophic summation of our predicament. The conclusions are based on following the precautionary Principal.
https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2021/06/greenhouse-gas-levels-keep-rising-at-accelerating-rates.html?fbclid=IwAR35PGh757xzd8rjqPYLxB6R7_DsQY4FnbCw5XIq6uwZbhdgLKZAc6J5qOM
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Our former guest on Nature Bats Last Oceanographer Jim Massa sums up some recent papers on photosynthesis and comes to the same conclusions as myself, John Doyle, David Wasdell, Sam Carana and my co-host on NBL Professor Guy McPherson that a 10C temperature rise is baked in.
We would all prefer to be proven wrong than right.
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Many people think that myself, Guy McPherson and John Doyle are exaggerating that a 10C temperature increase could be baked in.
This link shows that it has happened before.
https://www.hakaimagazine.com/news/the-alarming-power-of-melting-arctic-ice/?fbclid=IwAR2Qk857Xqq0Wx6VkxbivId8knPeY9LI8KQiJLynmw5ufSCHOK3BPDjATrA
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10C in the next 10-20 years does seem like a massive exaggeration
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To quote Albert Bartlett “The greatest shortcoming of the human race is it’s inability to truly understand the exponential function”.
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I AGREE WITH KEVIN, GUY & JOHN…AS LONG AS THE ICEBERGS KEEP MELTING…THE LAKES KEEP DECREASING & THE TEMPERATURES KEEP RISING…WE STAND EVERY CHANCE OF CONTINUAL TEMPERATURE INCREASES TO BE “BAKED IN”….MOST SCARILY…UP TO 10C OVER THE NEXT 10 TO 20 YEARS.
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Brace for impact
https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2021/07/a-temperature-rise-of-more-than-18-degrees-celsius-by-2026.html?fbclid=IwAR39BPe8oaghqx9O6-WTHqZ4LtTLDxOZiO-wbPzd2bPjcGMLurhI1Dapezw
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“But climate change has occurred with frightening rapidity in the past and will almost certainly do so again. Perhaps the most famous example is the reverse hiccup in a warming trend that began 15,000 years ago and eventually ended the last ice age. Roughly 2,000 years after it started, the warming trend suddenly reversed, and temperatures fell back to near-glacial conditions; Earth stayed cold for over a thousand years, a period called the Younger Dryas (named for an alpine wildflower). Then warming resumed so abruptly that global temperatures shot up 10 °C in just 10 years.
Note the date of publication; September 2008 !!!!
https://newscenter.lbl.gov/2008/09/17/impacts-on-the-threshold-of-abrupt-climate-changes/?fbclid=IwAR1DcTnUBJp4dfd3X1f_kndYNL5GBidAg-AVZjpwCsBEFAXMD1V3kZhreZk
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