The First & Not Last Detonation of an Apartheid Nuclear Weapon.

No doubt there will be more to come, as the failing Apartheid state in occupied Palestine gets more desperate, pathological and murderous by the hour.
“The Vela incident was an unidentified double flash of light detected by an American Vela Hotel satellite on 22 September 1979 near the South African territory of Prince Edward Islands in the Indian Ocean, roughly midway between Africa and Antarctica. Today, most independent researchers believe that the flash was caused by a nuclear explosion an undeclared joint nuclear test carried out by South Africa and Israel.” Source: Vela incident
“The National Party began negotiations with the African National Congress to end apartheid rule. The prospect of a South African government led by the ANC possessing nuclear weapons may also have given the apartheid regime some pause; FW De Klerk denies this, but there are surely reasons to doubt that the security apparatus of the National Party shared his reasoning.”
De Klerk never, ever told the truth, so we can be sure it was just another lie from a pathological racist, reactionary bigot.
Why South Africa Built Nuclear Weapons and Then Gave Them Up.
There was no way that the Apartheid Appeasing Western Powers were going to allow African revolutionaries’ nuclear weapons.
As we all watch the apartheid state in occupied Palestine, carpet bomb millions of civilians into the dark ages, without any credible pushback from any of the Western Powers, the use of nukes has to be considered.
I was 19 when that explosion took place and was already involved in the anti-apartheid and anti-nuclear campaigns. It’s become a never-ending resistance, so be it.
Don’t play with, support, trade with or have diplomatic relations with apartheid. To do so is a betrayal of oppressed people globally.
“Ted Koppel’s interview with Nelson Mandela in 1990 on ABC News. Nelson Mandela visited the U.S. for the first time after being freed from 27 years of imprisonment in South Africa. Here is sectioned out footage of his views on Palestine, Israel, Yasser Arafat along with mentions of Fidel Castro and Gaddafi on Cuba and Libya.”

The Brits occupying the six counties of Ireland systematically and selectively assassinated members of the resistance leadership. They picked out the revolutionary communists and killed them, thereby determining the trajectory of the resistance with the remaining moderates. It was a cunning, successful strategy, transplanted to Africa where uncompromising communists like Chris Hani were murdered in the twilight of the regime’s existence and moderates like Mandela were allowed to live. If you want/need some inspiration, delve into the first link above and learn more about my hero Chris Hani, R.I.P. comrade.
Chris would have nationalized the mines and corporate farming, additionally he would never have tolerated the corruption of the ANC, with some of the traitors’ skimming off hundreds of millions, sometimes billions. “While Ramaphosa was exiled from politics for 16 years between 1996 and 2012, he was able to amass a fortune arguably unmatched by anyone making the transition from politics to commerce – wrote Pieter du Toit, this tome’s author. When in 2012 he returned to politics as the ANC’s deputy president and of the country in 2014, Ramaphosa profited an estimated $200 million from Shanduka’s acquisition by Phutuma Nhleko’s investment firm, Phembani. By 2015, he was regarded as the 42nd richest person in Africa with a fortune estimated at $450 million – a status, wrote Du Toit, not owing to him and others being shrewd businessmen, but rather to being favoured because of their links to the governing ANC.” ‘The ANC Billionaires’- book review

I didn’t risk jail time or my life for African traitors to become billionaires. I went to Africa to work on a development project in Mozambique in 1991, Ulli and I refused to go to South Africa as long as Apartheid ruled. That became an issue when I broke my neck and refused medevac’ing to SA. Adventures in Africa- Brushes with Death- A Love Story

I’ve previously written about the use of nukes to temporarily cool down a broiling atmosphere. The Inevitability of Nuclear War and Subsequent Nuclear Winter
Embedded in the hyper link above is a video with Carl Sagan discussing a nuclear winter.
My hypothesis focused on the Apartheid state nuking Iran, but equally possible now is that the most dedicated, resourceful, revolutionary movement on the planet, Ansar Allah in Yemen is now in the cross hairs.
“Until it fired missiles and drones against Israel in October 2023, the Yemeni Houthi movement, officially known as Ansar Allah, remained largely unknown in the Global North.”
“In the year since, in support of the Palestinians under siege and genocide in Gaza, Ansar Allah have fired multiple projectiles against Israel, one of which successfully evaded Israeli air defenses in July 2024 and reached Tel Aviv, killing one person. Later attacks wounded some and damaged infrastructure, including Ben Gurion airport on September 15. The majority of their attacks have been on maritime trade in the Gulf and the Red Sea, significantly impacting international trade through the Suez Canal as well as traffic in Israel’s ports: Eilat has almost ceased operations, and in July 2024, the port declared bankruptcy.” Yemen’s Ansar Allah: On the Houthi movement’s roots, governance and resistance
Many of us have felt impotent watching the Western Backed, armed and funded slaughter of our Palestinian comrades, unusually for me, I want to end on a positive note.
As we bore witness to the Apartheid regime collapsing, we saw thousands of racists cueing up at the airports, to escape retribution for their crimes, many of the blood-soaked vermin migrated to Aotearoa NZ.
That same unraveling of the occupying European regime in Palestine is happening again, with massive ques at the airports as the economy tanks and the settlers escape back to where they came from. That is of course when Ansar Allah isn’t closing Ben Gurion airport. “Ansarallah strikes deep inside occupied territory, making clear that complicity in genocide will have consequences.” Yemeni Ansarallah Hits Ben-Gurion again, Warns of Wider Operations
Patriots don’t run away, settlers do.


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New analysis reveals glacier retreat will lead to loss of biodiversity as vital habitats for specialist species disappear

“The retreat of the planet’s glaciers is one of the most visible and dramatic indicators of the far-reaching impact of climate change on world’s ecosystems.”

“Now a new paper published in Nature Reviews Biodiversity has shed further light on how glacial retreat drives unmitigated changes to ice, water, and land – and how their loss threatens the health of our planet.”

“The research review analysed more than 160 research papers focused on specific aspects of glacial retreat to reveal the big picture, global impact on biodiversity and ecosystem function, showing that thousands of species that have evolved to live in these unique ecosystems are threatened by the rapid melting of glaciers.”
All of the quotes above from this source: Glaciers are melting faster than ever. The impact could be devastating.
“Could be devastating”, lets inject some unwarranted doubt!
The intellectual grasping at straws really is both pathetic and unscientific!

The draft script and embedded hyperlinks to the above analysis can be found at First Graveyard of Glaciers Introduced

President Niinistö in Arkhangelsk: “If we lose the Arctic, we lose the whole world”

First Global Comparison of Glacier Mass Change: They’re All Melting, and Fast

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The Multi-Pronged Relentless Attacks on Our Oceans.

In short, ocean acidification is proceeding at a rate unparalleled during the last 300 million years, according to a peer-reviewed paper in the renowned journal, Science
An article at Phys.Org published 12 March 2025 is titled Eukaryotic phytoplankton decline due to ocean acidification could significantly impact global carbon cycle. Here’s the expansive lede: “Princeton University and Xiamen University researchers report that in tropical and subtropical oligotrophic waters, ocean acidification reduces primary production, the process of photosynthesis in phytoplankton, where they take in carbon dioxide …, sunlight, and nutrients to produce organic matter (food and energy).”

The two paragraphs above and the attendant video are from a blog post titled “Science Snippets: Priorities, Redux”
Take the time to drill down into all the embedded links to the original peer reviewed literature in Guy’s Substack post above.
Two years ago, Professor McPherson and I discussed the implications on the oceans of Japan dumping radioactive waste into the Pacific Ocean adjacent to the three crippled nuclear plants at Fukushima Daiichi. After huge in-depth analysis, TEPCO chose the cheapest option.
Fukushima Daiichi adds Insult to Injury for the Pacific’s Coral Reefs.

For anyone who would prefer to read than listen, everything Professor McPherson discussed above can be found at: As Overheated Ocean Continues to Warm, What Priorities Arise?
For this student of Jaques Cousteau watching the oceans getting raped and pillaged is bad enough without the threat multiplier of turning up the heat relentlessly for 300 years. 80% of the worlds coral reefs have been hammered by stress induced heating, acidification and fertilizer and other runoff. It takes about 15 years for a coral reef to recover from a bleaching event, clearly there will be no respite. I’ve added this analysis to my blog post on Jaques Cousteau, which I’ll drop below for further reference.
How Jaques Cousteau got me Addicted to the Oceans and why I’m Grieving.

“Four paragraphs near the end of the article in Phys.Org tell the story: “Over the past several years, scientists, the international press, environmental groups and many others have noted an increasing number of marine heat waves in all the world’s oceans, in which certain regions of the ocean experience higher-than-average temperatures over an abnormally long period of time.”

Antarctica
“In their commentary, the authors note that one group of researchers found that the number of such heat waves in 2023–2024 was 240% higher than any other year in recorded history. They also note that the more often such heat waves occur, the more difficult it is for affected areas to recover.”
The draft script and associated hyperlinks relevant to the above video can be critiqued at Science Snippets: Marine Heat Waves Rising Worldwide
“A catastrophic die-off of emperor penguin chicks has been observed in the Antarctic, with up to 10,000 young birds estimated to have been killed.”
Not a chick survived in 4 out of 5 colonies. Not a single Emperor penguin chick survived spring in parts of the Antarctica.

Arctic
“If we were to pick one aspect of climate change that will catastrophically impact everyone on Earth, what would it be? We are especially looking for an aspect that is approaching like a freight train, in the sense that we can see it coming and its progress seems inexorable.”

“The overheating in the Arctic Circle is a great choice. We can see the disaster coming, and when it arrives it will be catastrophic. In addition, this single aspect of climate change will have immense planetary effects through at least 5 different facets of the catastrophe.”
The two paragraphs above come from an extraordinary article written by Marshall Brain: How overheating in the Arctic Circle will cause the collapse of civilization

I’ve previously written about the Arctic: “Losing the remaining Arctic sea ice and its ability to reflect incoming solar energy back to space would be equivalent to adding one trillion tons of CO2 to the atmosphere, on top of the 2.4 trillion tons emitted since the Industrial Age, according to current and former researchers from Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego.”

“At current rates, this roughly equates to 25 years of global CO2 emissions.”
There is a brilliant 2minute explainer video on Albedo/Reflectivity embedded below
Cascading Consequences of the Loss of Arctic Sea Ice
What’s happening?
“Scientists point to the warming Arctic as the root cause of the potential crisis. Melting sea ice disrupts the growth of algae that feeds the seafloor ecosystem, which in turn supports the shrimp-like amphipods gray whales depend on. With less food available, whales are arriving at breeding grounds malnourished and leaving with even less energy to complete their 12,000-mile migration north.”

“All the signs are indicating there has been a pretty intensive change in the Arctic,” said Josh Stewart, an ecologist in Oregon State University’s Marine Mammal Institute in Newport.”

Researchers issue urgent warning after witnessing disturbing behavioral shift in ocean species: ‘It’s really just horrific.’

The correlation between the reduction of sulphates and increased sea surface temperatures is stark. Sea Surface temperatures off the coast of Florida hit 38C !!! Possibly a world record:
The paragraph above is an excerpt from my blog post on the Aerosol Masking Effect, what Dr James E Hansen refers to as “Our Faustian Bargain”, Professor McPherson calls it “The Best Kept Secret in Climate Science.” The Aerosol Masking Effect, a Deep Dive into Our “Faustian Bargain”

“The sea is only the embodiment of a supernatural and wonderful existence. It is nothing but love and emotion; it is the Living Infinite…” Jules Verne

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Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Aerosol Masking Effect, Arctic, Arctic Sea Ice, Professor Guy McPherson, Rapid Climate Change

Will the Threat to Invade and Annex Greenland Destroy NATO & the EU or ‘Only’ Greenland?

Far too many people are laughing at the pontifications of the delinquent man child, rapist and convicted felon occupying the White House that Slaves Built.
Trumps nuclear armed threats to other NATO members can’t just be laughed off, the stakes are far too high.
The response, or lack thereof from the European NATO members reflects what vassal states they have all become and how they have been infiltrated by the far right. The fascist armies of Europe were defeated but their surviving adherents went underground, waiting for a signal. I believe Elon Musk’s recent Nazi salutes are a call to arms to fascists worldwide to mobilize. It wasn’t long ago that a former member of the Waffen SS was feted in Canadas’ parliament! Not particularly subtle messaging!
I was living in West Germany when the wall came crashing down. I was in Berlin one week before the collapse of the German Democratic Republic. There were isolated demo’s being held around the country but zero hint that the fabric of the entire East German state was in danger of collapse! My partner at the time took a photo of me pissing on the wall and when it collapsed, I took credit for undermining the foundations of the Berlin Wall! Far to X-rated to embed here lol!
I’ve had two personal experiences of collapse, the GDR and when I worked on a development project in Mozambique in 1991, during the war waged against the country by the Apartheid state to the south.
I wrote about those adventures and brushes with death in my article titled “Adventures in Africa- Brushes with Death- A Love Story”
It continues to be my contention that Germany has been occupied by the USA since 1945.

The “Empire of Chaos”, what Pepe Escobar calls the USA/Nato/Israeli axis has threatened to invade Greenland, Canada and Panama, there are a number of reasons why NATO can’t continue to exist if either of the first two countries mentioned above are attacked and annexed. I would question if it can survive the threats, let alone a kinetic confrontation between members.
“The principle of collective defence is at the very heart of NATO’s founding treaty. It remains a unique and enduring principle that binds its members together, committing them to protect each other and setting a spirit of solidarity within the Alliance.”
“Collective defence means that an attack against one Ally is considered as an attack against all Allies.”

“The principle of collective defence is enshrined in Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty.”

“NATO invoked Article 5 for the first and only time in its history after the 9/11 terrorist attacks against the United States.”

“NATO has taken collective defence measures on several occasions, including in response to the situation in Syria and the Russian invasion of Ukraine.”

“NATO has standing forces on active duty that contribute to the Alliance’s collective defence efforts on a permanent basis.”
Collective defence and Article 5
Imagine the discussions taking place behind closed NATO doors about one of their members ‘going rogue’! I’d love to be a ‘fly on the wall’ watching those machinations!

All wars are resource wars, what does Greenland have that the hegemon wants?

“Greenland, the world’s largest island, is known for its vast and diverse natural resources. From mineral deposits to oil and gas reserves, renewable energy potential, fisheries, aquaculture, forestry, and agriculture, Greenland is rich in natural resources that have the potential to drive economic growth and development. The island’s unique geographical location and climate make it a hotspot for various natural resources, attracting the attention of investors and researchers from around the world.”
Key Natural Resources in Greenland

“With abundant freshwater from melting glaciers, Greenland has significant potential for developing hydropower to support energy-intensive industries and reduce reliance on imported fuels.”
Source of the quotes above: Natural Resources of Greenland: Where Natural Resources are Located in Greenland

Rare Earth Elements (REEs)

“Greenland has some of the world’s largest deposits of rare earth elements, critical for manufacturing electronics, renewable energy technologies, and defence systems.”

“The Kvanefjeld project in southern Greenland is one of the most significant REE mining prospects globally.”

Minerals Greenland is rich in other valuable minerals, including: Gold, Diamonds, Uranium (controversial due to environmental concerns) Zinc, Iron ore, Platinum group metals, Oil and Gas.The Arctic waters around Greenland are believed to contain substantial oil and natural gas reserves.”

“Estimates suggest there could be billions of barrels of untapped oil, though the harsh climate and environmental risks make exploration challenging.”

Marine Resources

“Greenland’s fishing industry, particularly for shrimp and halibut, is a cornerstone of its economy and a renewable natural resource.”

Hydropower
“With abundant freshwater from melting glaciers, Greenland has significant potential for developing hydropower to support energy-intensive industries and reduce reliance on imported fuels.”
Source of the quotes above: Natural Resources of Greenland: Where Natural Resources are Located in Greenland

“Greenland, the world’s largest island, is covered in an ice sheet that averages more than a mile thick. Beneath this frozen landscape lies a vast reserve of untapped natural resources—potentially worth trillions of dollars. These resources, if extracted, could make every Greenlander incredibly wealthy and drastically shift the global economic landscape. But who actually controls Greenland’s future, and what will happen when climate change melts away the barriers that have kept these resources locked away for centuries?”
Greenland’s Hidden Wealth: The $5 Trillion Question

“U.S. President Donald Trump has once again reiterated his ambition to acquire Greenland, making bold statements in an interview with NBC. Trump maintained an aggressive stance, stating he would “never take military force off the table” to acquire the territory. However, he also suggested that a deal could be struck without resorting to force.”

How the hell are European NATO vassals going to put this fire out?
It’s almost too much to fathom but not for those of us who have been watching and crying as Gaza is bombed into the dark ages for the last 500+days, some would say for 77 years, Yemen for over a decade and those who witnessed Serbia being bombed into oblivion, often with depleted uranium munitions that continue to pollute the environment. My “Go to” expert in this field is Christopher C Black, he was representing Slobodan Milosevic at the Hague until the empire assassinated Milosevic in jail to prevent him speaking in his own defence!
In 1999, NATO forces not only used depleted uranium munitions, but also attacked a map of dangerous chemical facilities throughout Serbia.

Naturally all this warmongering has put our climate crisis on steroids.
Mining and militarism in the Arctic circle will be another accelerant to the unfolding climate catastrophe. There are a host of statistics embedded in my article: Warmongering and the Climate Crisis
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Posted in Christopher C Black, Greenland, Imperialism, Warfare

This is Collapse – What do we do now?

Below is an absolutely brilliant video delving into the unfolding collapse, from some courageous professors and researchers from the Antipodes and Germany, who like me, are attempting to face our dystopian future and are trying to engineer as soft a landing as possible!
We’re not going to magically prevent the unfolding collapse of industrial civilisation and the extinction cascades it will trigger but we can prepare mentally and guide our youth accordingly. Plan for the world that’s coming, not some fantasy mumbo-jumbo.
The resounding message, is to make the most of whatever peaceful moments we have and if at all possible, form a tribe and pay forward!
There has never been a more important time in history to be a member of a tribe!

, , , , , , , , , ,

Just Collapse is an activist platform dedicated to socio-ecological justice in unfolding, irreversible global collapse.

Just Collapse advocates for a Just Collapse and Planned Collapse to avert the worst outcomes that will follow an otherwise unplanned, reactive collapse.

Just Collapse recognises the impossibility of a globally planned collapse, or degrowth, and instead advocates for localised social and ecological justice.

See our Little Book of Insurgent Planning for more examples.”

I have conducted dozens of “Collapse” and extinction interviews on this blog. I’ll drop a few videos below and a few more via hyperlinks after, for anyone who wants too genuinely face our predicament!

The blog post and accompanying hyperlinked show notes, contemporaneous with the above video is embedded following.
“Post Doom” discussion featuring Michael Dowd and Kevin Hester. Navigating the Perfect Storm

Collapse: The Only Realistic Scenario

The excellent video analysis above brought my and Professor Guy McPherson’s attention to Arthur’s work.
We interviewed Arthur on Nature Bats Last: Collapse: The Only Realistic Scenario

I highly recommend Michael Dowd’s analysis of William Catton’s Overshoot

On the March 2020 episode of Nature Bats Last Kevin and Guy were joined by George Tsakraklides. Our discussion included the collapse of industrial civilization and George’s recently published book “Disposable Earth: How and why we gave the earth an expiration date”.
Our interview is embedded following: “Collapse Means Collapse”
Any blog post on collapse has to include the seminal work of Joseph Tainter: The Myth of Human Progress and the Collapse of Complex Societies. Chris Hedges & Joseph Tainter.

“Across Britain, a quiet transformation is happening. It’s not the stereotype of survivalist preppers hoarding beans in bunkers. It’s middle-class professionals – scientists, sustainability experts, teachers, doctors, policy analysts and management consultants who have seen the data and come to a stark conclusion: the systems we rely on for survival are far more fragile than they appear, are deeply flawed and contain within them dynamics that keep us locked in to a dangerous trajectory.”
The above quote from this great article from Rob Harrison-Plastow
Why Well-Off Brits Who Think Collapse Is Coming Still Stay Silent

Then the “Piece de resistance” from the late great Michael C Ruppert:

In honour of the Muslim world who are being bombed back into the dark ages by European barbarians As-salamu alaykum.

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Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Arthur Keller, Climate Change Refugees, Climate Grief, Collapse, Kate Booth, Nature Bats Last, Near Term Human Extinction--NTHE, Professor Guy McPherson, Tristan Sykes, Uncategorized

Reducing Air Pollution Increases Methane: Catch 22

“In this Climate Chat episode, we interview Dr. Vincent Gauci on how reducing air pollution results in increased atmospheric methane concentrations. Vincent Gauci is professor of Geography and Environmental Sciences and a Birmingham Professorial Fellow at the University of Birmingham in the UK. Professor Gauci investigates how the biosphere interacts with the atmosphere and he explores questions relating to how these interactions respond to various drivers of global change.”

“Article in The Conversation by Dr. Gauci titled “Reducing air pollution could increase methane emissions from wetlands – here’s what needs to be done”:
Reducing air pollution could increase methane emissions from wetlands – here’s what needs to be done

2025 Paper: “The large role of declining atmospheric sulfate deposition and rising CO2 concentrations in stimulating future wetland CH4 emissions”:

Follow Vincent on X/Twitter: @gaucigauci and Blusesky: @gaucigauci.bsky.social

I have previously on this blog delved into the Aerosol Masking Effect, what Dr James E Hansen calls “Our Faustian Bargain”. The embedded link below includes further research from our respected colleague Leon Simons: The Aerosol Masking Effect, a Deep Dive into Our “Faustian Bargain”

“As I have reported many times in this space, the rapidly melting ice and snow on the Arctic Ocean is a cause for serious concern. This is the climate factor over which we have the least control, individually and collectively. Shortly after we experience the first ice-free Arctic Ocean since civilizations have appeared on Earth, we will lose habitat for humans and almost certainly all life on Earth”
The Lede above and the video from Professor Guy McPherson and additional data are embedded as follows: Science Snippets: Another Source of Greenhouse Gases from the Arctic
Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas. Each molecule of methane—CH4—is equivalent to 84 molecules of carbon dioxide, according to Climate Change Connection.
An article at Phys.Org published on 3 February 2025 is titled Satellite data analysis uncovers top 10 persistent methane sources. Here’s the lede: “A list of the top 10 global regions where natural or anthropogenic sources emit methane on a continuous, ‘persistent’ basis was recently published in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.”
Responding to Persistent Methane Sources

There is a concerted attempt by some of the corporate media and their go to scientists to downplay the existential threat of CH4.
The liar in chief on that score is Michael E Mann.
He has completely compromised his own scientific integrity by denying the severity of the methane feedback loop to the point that there are dozens of scientists and researchers like me who have been blocked by Mann who miraculously came up, in conjunction with other colleagues, the much vaunted “Hockey Stick Theory”, which he can no longer see.
Follow the money.

As we incinerate the cryosphere we are seeing nonlinear emissions of methane from submarine hydrates, both in the Arctic and the Antarctic.
Research Highlight: Loss of Arctic’s Reflective Sea Ice Will Advance Global Warming by 25 Years
Do Not Go Gentle into That Good Night

By Dylan Thomas

Do not go gentle into that good night,

Old age should burn and rave at close of day;

Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

Though wise men at their end know dark is right,

Because their words had forked no lightning they

Do not go gentle into that good night.

Good men, the last wave by, crying how bright

Their frail deeds might have danced in a green bay,

Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

Wild men who caught and sang the sun in flight,

And learn, too late, they grieved it on its way,

Do not go gentle into that good night.

Grave men, near death, who see with blinding sight

Good luck everyone, flora and fauna, all things being equal, as it should be.

Blind eyes could blaze like meteors and be gay,   

Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

And you, my father, there on the sad height,

Curse, bless, me now with your fierce tears, I pray.

Do not go gentle into that good night.

Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

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Posted in Aerosol Masking Effect, Arctic Sea Ice, Climate Science, Dr. Vincent Gauci, Methane, Nature Bats Last, Nonlinear Rate of Change, Professor Guy McPherson

Responding to Persistent Methane Sources

Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas. Each molecule of methane—CH4—is equivalent to 84 molecules of carbon dioxide, according to Climate Change Connection.
An article at Phys.Org published on 3 February 2025 is titled Satellite data analysis uncovers top 10 persistent methane sources. Here’s the lede: “A list of the top 10 global regions where natural or anthropogenic sources emit methane on a continuous, ‘persistent’ basis was recently published in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.”

“Four paragraphs into the article at Phys.Org, we are informed that the research focused not on oil and gas operations, coal mines, or poorly managed landfills. These so-called “super-emitters” release disproportionately large amounts of methane during short bursts. In contrast, this research focused on more-or-less constant methane sources. According to Claus Zehner, the European Space Agency’s Mission Manager for the satellite Sentinel-5P, “Sentinel-5P is currently the only satellite that provides the feasibility to detect methane sources on a global scale and on a daily basis.” Sentinel-5P was launched in 2017 and it carries the state-of-the-art Tropomi instrument. This instrument is used to map trace gases, including methane.”

“Beneath a section titled “Why is methane important?”, we are informed that methane is the second most important greenhouse gas after carbon dioxide. It is found naturally in the atmosphere, although its steady increase in atmospheric concentration is driving planetary warming. Whereas methane was found in Earth’s atmosphere at 680 to 790 parts per billion until 1850, it has increased to more than 1,900 parts per billion. Furthermore, there has been a significant increase in anthropogenic methane emissions during the last two decades.”

Everything above was sourced from my friend and colleague Professor Guy McPherson’s blog piece hyper linked below.
Science Snippets: Responding to Persistent Methane Sources
Subscribers can interact with Guy or support his work materially on Substack.
Over a decade ago Dr Natalia Shakova et al warned about a 50 giga tonne release of methane could happen at any time. In one of his interviews Professor Pater Wadhams said he thought it could be 100’s of giga tonnes! We’re all surprised that we haven’t seen it happen at scale in the Arctic. A dump of that scale would decimate crops within months because methane doesn’t have the same lag time between release and the consequences reverberating through the atmosphere!
I’ve recently written about methane clathrate discharges in the Antarctic embedded following. Methane Clathrates Erupting in Antarctica

“An international team of marine biologists has documented the highest known count of deep-sea species living in methane seeps off Costa Rica’s Pacific coast.”
Nearly 500 Species of Deep-Sea Dwellers Documented at Costa Rican Methane Seeps

“A major leak of a greenhouse gas from the Nord Stream pipeline was far more significant than first realised, according to new research involving scientists from the University of Leeds.

An international team of 67 researchers, including four from Leeds’ School of Earth and Environment, has now revealed the true scope of the leak in 2022 – the largest single release of methane ever recorded.

Emissions from the pipeline which transports natural gas from Russia to Germany under the Baltic Sea were found to be nearly double some initial estimates, with approximately 465,000 metric tons of methane released into the atmosphere – the equivalent of eight million cars driven for a year.   The results of the research are published today (15 January 2025) in the journal Nature
True scope of Nord Stream pipeline leak revealed

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Posted in Feedback loops, Methane, Professor Guy McPherson

Methane Clathrates Erupting in Antarctica

“Frozen, solid methane is turning into methane gas. “These phenomena have already been recorded in the Arctic, but this is the first time they have been detected in Antarctica,” says León, from the Geological and Mining Institute of Spain. His team met two EL PAÍS journalists on Antarctica’s King George Island on February 8, the day they ended their expedition. Their results, still very preliminary, suggest that the gas is bubbling up from the subsoil along faults, often through mud volcanoes hundreds of meters above the seabed.”

“Geologists Ricardo León and Roger Urgeles warn of another threat. The instability of marine sediments can cause huge landslides on the continental slope, with the potential to generate tsunamis. “When methane hydrates turn into gas, they occupy a volume 160 times greater. If they do not dissipate quickly, they can cause huge landslides, such as the Storegga landslide in the Arctic,” stresses Urgeles, alluding to the largest known submarine landslide, which caused a tsunami that devastated the coasts of northern Europe some 8,150 years ago.”
Massive methane leaks detected in Antarctica, posing potential risks for global warming

Contemporaneous with this latest development in the Antarctic, my friend and colleague Professor Guy McPherson has delved into more instability in the region in a Substack article titled: Science Snippets: Scientists Terrified as Unstable Antarctic Ice Sheet Declines

“As I have reported many times in this space, Arctic ice is the planetary air conditioner, at least on this planet. However, recent research based on the South Pole has been attracting the attention of scientists, including me. I still believe ice floating on the Arctic Ocean is the most important factor over which we have no control that affects habitat for life on Earth, including human life. However, the collapsing Antarctic ice fields are a cause for considerable concern. Given the rapidity with which Earth is warming, and the many factors contributing to this unprecedented event, we need ice and snow everywhere we can get it if life is to persist on this planet.”
“When glaciers melt, the massive weight on the Earth’s crust reduces, and the crust bounces back in a process called isostatic rebound. This process can reactivate faults and lift pressure on magma chambers that feed volcanoes, thereby increasing seismic activity. As such, it indicates the relationship between melting ice and seismic activity, including volcanism.”
I have covered Isostatic Rebound on this blog previously
In the excellent video below Professor McPherson makes the connection between loss of land ice and the phenomenon of Isostatic rebound. It’s my contention that that Isostatic rebound is destablising the Methane Clathrates that have already been made unstable by higher sea surface temperatures.

Professor McPherson and I have previously delved into the issue of methane releases: Abrupt Climate Change, the Nuclear Threat, Methane in the ESAS: Robert Hunziker interviewed on Nature Bats Last

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Kevin Hester

Kevin Hester is currently living on Rakino Island, a small island in the Hauraki Gulf near Auckland, New Zealand, monitoring the unravelling of the biosphere and volunteering at the Rakino Island Nursery is currently developing a proposal to create a marine reserve near by. The Island has no grid tied electricity or reticulated water.  I catch my own water from the roof and generate my electricity from the ample solar radiation on the island.

My Submission to the Ministry of the Environment
Kevin Hester, Dropping Anchor in an Exponential World
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