This is Collapse – What do we do now?

Below is an absolutely brilliant video delving into the unfolding collapse, from some courageous professors and researchers from the Antipodes and Germany, who like me, are attempting to face our dystopian future and are trying to engineer as soft a landing as possible!
We’re not going to magically prevent the unfolding collapse of industrial civilisation and the extinction cascades it will trigger but we can prepare mentally and guide our youth accordingly. Plan for the world that’s coming, not some fantasy mumbo-jumbo.
The resounding message, is to make the most of whatever peaceful moments we have and if at all possible, form a tribe and pay forward!
There has never been a more important time in history to be a member of a tribe!

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Just Collapse is an activist platform dedicated to socio-ecological justice in unfolding, irreversible global collapse.

Just Collapse advocates for a Just Collapse and Planned Collapse to avert the worst outcomes that will follow an otherwise unplanned, reactive collapse.

Just Collapse recognises the impossibility of a globally planned collapse, or degrowth, and instead advocates for localised social and ecological justice.

See our Little Book of Insurgent Planning for more examples.”

I have conducted dozens of “Collapse” and extinction interviews on this blog. I’ll drop a few videos below and a few more via hyperlinks after, for anyone who wants too genuinely face our predicament!

The blog post and accompanying hyperlinked show notes, contemporaneous with the above video is embedded following.
“Post Doom” discussion featuring Michael Dowd and Kevin Hester. Navigating the Perfect Storm

Collapse: The Only Realistic Scenario

The excellent video analysis above brought my and Professor Guy McPherson’s attention to Arthur’s work.
We interviewed Arthur on Nature Bats Last: Collapse: The Only Realistic Scenario

I highly recommend Michael Dowd’s analysis of William Catton’s Overshoot

On the March 2020 episode of Nature Bats Last Kevin and Guy were joined by George Tsakraklides. Our discussion included the collapse of industrial civilization and George’s recently published book “Disposable Earth: How and why we gave the earth an expiration date”.
Our interview is embedded following: “Collapse Means Collapse”
Any blog post on collapse has to include the seminal work of Joseph Tainter: The Myth of Human Progress and the Collapse of Complex Societies. Chris Hedges & Joseph Tainter.

“Across Britain, a quiet transformation is happening. It’s not the stereotype of survivalist preppers hoarding beans in bunkers. It’s middle-class professionals – scientists, sustainability experts, teachers, doctors, policy analysts and management consultants who have seen the data and come to a stark conclusion: the systems we rely on for survival are far more fragile than they appear, are deeply flawed and contain within them dynamics that keep us locked in to a dangerous trajectory.”
The above quote from this great article from Rob Harrison-Plastow
Why Well-Off Brits Who Think Collapse Is Coming Still Stay Silent

Then the “Piece de resistance” from the late great Michael C Ruppert:

In honour of the Muslim world who are being bombed back into the dark ages by European barbarians As-salamu alaykum.

Readers can support this blog via Buy me a coffee or via PayPal kevin@iconicproperties.co.nz

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Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Arthur Keller, Climate Change Refugees, Climate Grief, Collapse, Kate Booth, Nature Bats Last, Near Term Human Extinction--NTHE, Professor Guy McPherson, Tristan Sykes, Uncategorized

Reducing Air Pollution Increases Methane: Catch 22

“In this Climate Chat episode, we interview Dr. Vincent Gauci on how reducing air pollution results in increased atmospheric methane concentrations. Vincent Gauci is professor of Geography and Environmental Sciences and a Birmingham Professorial Fellow at the University of Birmingham in the UK. Professor Gauci investigates how the biosphere interacts with the atmosphere and he explores questions relating to how these interactions respond to various drivers of global change.”

“Article in The Conversation by Dr. Gauci titled “Reducing air pollution could increase methane emissions from wetlands – here’s what needs to be done”:
Reducing air pollution could increase methane emissions from wetlands – here’s what needs to be done

2025 Paper: “The large role of declining atmospheric sulfate deposition and rising CO2 concentrations in stimulating future wetland CH4 emissions”:

Follow Vincent on X/Twitter: @gaucigauci and Blusesky: @gaucigauci.bsky.social

I have previously on this blog delved into the Aerosol Masking Effect, what Dr James E Hansen calls “Our Faustian Bargain”. The embedded link below includes further research from our respected colleague Leon Simons: The Aerosol Masking Effect, a Deep Dive into Our “Faustian Bargain”

“As I have reported many times in this space, the rapidly melting ice and snow on the Arctic Ocean is a cause for serious concern. This is the climate factor over which we have the least control, individually and collectively. Shortly after we experience the first ice-free Arctic Ocean since civilizations have appeared on Earth, we will lose habitat for humans and almost certainly all life on Earth”
The Lede above and the video from Professor Guy McPherson and additional data are embedded as follows: Science Snippets: Another Source of Greenhouse Gases from the Arctic
Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas. Each molecule of methane—CH4—is equivalent to 84 molecules of carbon dioxide, according to Climate Change Connection.
An article at Phys.Org published on 3 February 2025 is titled Satellite data analysis uncovers top 10 persistent methane sources. Here’s the lede: “A list of the top 10 global regions where natural or anthropogenic sources emit methane on a continuous, ‘persistent’ basis was recently published in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.”
Responding to Persistent Methane Sources

There is a concerted attempt by some of the corporate media and their go to scientists to downplay the existential threat of CH4.
The liar in chief on that score is Michael E Mann.
He has completely compromised his own scientific integrity by denying the severity of the methane feedback loop to the point that there are dozens of scientists and researchers like me who have been blocked by Mann who miraculously came up, in conjunction with other colleagues, the much vaunted “Hockey Stick Theory”, which he can no longer see.
Follow the money.

As we incinerate the cryosphere we are seeing nonlinear emissions of methane from submarine hydrates, both in the Arctic and the Antarctic.
Research Highlight: Loss of Arctic’s Reflective Sea Ice Will Advance Global Warming by 25 Years
Do Not Go Gentle into That Good Night

By Dylan Thomas

Do not go gentle into that good night,

Old age should burn and rave at close of day;

Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

Though wise men at their end know dark is right,

Because their words had forked no lightning they

Do not go gentle into that good night.

Good men, the last wave by, crying how bright

Their frail deeds might have danced in a green bay,

Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

Wild men who caught and sang the sun in flight,

And learn, too late, they grieved it on its way,

Do not go gentle into that good night.

Grave men, near death, who see with blinding sight

Good luck everyone, flora and fauna, all things being equal, as it should be.

Blind eyes could blaze like meteors and be gay,   

Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

And you, my father, there on the sad height,

Curse, bless, me now with your fierce tears, I pray.

Do not go gentle into that good night.

Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

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Posted in Aerosol Masking Effect, Arctic Sea Ice, Climate Science, Dr. Vincent Gauci, Methane, Nature Bats Last, Nonlinear Rate of Change, Professor Guy McPherson

Responding to Persistent Methane Sources

Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas. Each molecule of methane—CH4—is equivalent to 84 molecules of carbon dioxide, according to Climate Change Connection.
An article at Phys.Org published on 3 February 2025 is titled Satellite data analysis uncovers top 10 persistent methane sources. Here’s the lede: “A list of the top 10 global regions where natural or anthropogenic sources emit methane on a continuous, ‘persistent’ basis was recently published in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.”

“Four paragraphs into the article at Phys.Org, we are informed that the research focused not on oil and gas operations, coal mines, or poorly managed landfills. These so-called “super-emitters” release disproportionately large amounts of methane during short bursts. In contrast, this research focused on more-or-less constant methane sources. According to Claus Zehner, the European Space Agency’s Mission Manager for the satellite Sentinel-5P, “Sentinel-5P is currently the only satellite that provides the feasibility to detect methane sources on a global scale and on a daily basis.” Sentinel-5P was launched in 2017 and it carries the state-of-the-art Tropomi instrument. This instrument is used to map trace gases, including methane.”

“Beneath a section titled “Why is methane important?”, we are informed that methane is the second most important greenhouse gas after carbon dioxide. It is found naturally in the atmosphere, although its steady increase in atmospheric concentration is driving planetary warming. Whereas methane was found in Earth’s atmosphere at 680 to 790 parts per billion until 1850, it has increased to more than 1,900 parts per billion. Furthermore, there has been a significant increase in anthropogenic methane emissions during the last two decades.”

Everything above was sourced from my friend and colleague Professor Guy McPherson’s blog piece hyper linked below.
Science Snippets: Responding to Persistent Methane Sources
Subscribers can interact with Guy or support his work materially on Substack.
Over a decade ago Dr Natalia Shakova et al warned about a 50 giga tonne release of methane could happen at any time. In one of his interviews Professor Pater Wadhams said he thought it could be 100’s of giga tonnes! We’re all surprised that we haven’t seen it happen at scale in the Arctic. A dump of that scale would decimate crops within months because methane doesn’t have the same lag time between release and the consequences reverberating through the atmosphere!
I’ve recently written about methane clathrate discharges in the Antarctic embedded following. Methane Clathrates Erupting in Antarctica

“An international team of marine biologists has documented the highest known count of deep-sea species living in methane seeps off Costa Rica’s Pacific coast.”
Nearly 500 Species of Deep-Sea Dwellers Documented at Costa Rican Methane Seeps

“A major leak of a greenhouse gas from the Nord Stream pipeline was far more significant than first realised, according to new research involving scientists from the University of Leeds.

An international team of 67 researchers, including four from Leeds’ School of Earth and Environment, has now revealed the true scope of the leak in 2022 – the largest single release of methane ever recorded.

Emissions from the pipeline which transports natural gas from Russia to Germany under the Baltic Sea were found to be nearly double some initial estimates, with approximately 465,000 metric tons of methane released into the atmosphere – the equivalent of eight million cars driven for a year.   The results of the research are published today (15 January 2025) in the journal Nature
True scope of Nord Stream pipeline leak revealed

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Posted in Feedback loops, Methane, Professor Guy McPherson

Methane Clathrates Erupting in Antarctica

“Frozen, solid methane is turning into methane gas. “These phenomena have already been recorded in the Arctic, but this is the first time they have been detected in Antarctica,” says León, from the Geological and Mining Institute of Spain. His team met two EL PAÍS journalists on Antarctica’s King George Island on February 8, the day they ended their expedition. Their results, still very preliminary, suggest that the gas is bubbling up from the subsoil along faults, often through mud volcanoes hundreds of meters above the seabed.”

“Geologists Ricardo León and Roger Urgeles warn of another threat. The instability of marine sediments can cause huge landslides on the continental slope, with the potential to generate tsunamis. “When methane hydrates turn into gas, they occupy a volume 160 times greater. If they do not dissipate quickly, they can cause huge landslides, such as the Storegga landslide in the Arctic,” stresses Urgeles, alluding to the largest known submarine landslide, which caused a tsunami that devastated the coasts of northern Europe some 8,150 years ago.”
Massive methane leaks detected in Antarctica, posing potential risks for global warming

Contemporaneous with this latest development in the Antarctic, my friend and colleague Professor Guy McPherson has delved into more instability in the region in a Substack article titled: Science Snippets: Scientists Terrified as Unstable Antarctic Ice Sheet Declines

“As I have reported many times in this space, Arctic ice is the planetary air conditioner, at least on this planet. However, recent research based on the South Pole has been attracting the attention of scientists, including me. I still believe ice floating on the Arctic Ocean is the most important factor over which we have no control that affects habitat for life on Earth, including human life. However, the collapsing Antarctic ice fields are a cause for considerable concern. Given the rapidity with which Earth is warming, and the many factors contributing to this unprecedented event, we need ice and snow everywhere we can get it if life is to persist on this planet.”
“When glaciers melt, the massive weight on the Earth’s crust reduces, and the crust bounces back in a process called isostatic rebound. This process can reactivate faults and lift pressure on magma chambers that feed volcanoes, thereby increasing seismic activity. As such, it indicates the relationship between melting ice and seismic activity, including volcanism.”
I have covered Isostatic Rebound on this blog previously
In the excellent video below Professor McPherson makes the connection between loss of land ice and the phenomenon of Isostatic rebound. It’s my contention that that Isostatic rebound is destablising the Methane Clathrates that have already been made unstable by higher sea surface temperatures.

Professor McPherson and I have previously delved into the issue of methane releases: Abrupt Climate Change, the Nuclear Threat, Methane in the ESAS: Robert Hunziker interviewed on Nature Bats Last

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Test Post for WordPress

This is a sample post created to test the basic formatting features of the WordPress CMS.

Subheading Level 2

You can use bold text, italic text, and combine both styles.

  1. Step one
  2. Step two
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This content is only for demonstration purposes. Feel free to edit or delete it.

Posted in Uncategorized

Test Post for WordPress

This is a sample post created to test the basic formatting features of the WordPress CMS.

Subheading Level 2

You can use bold text, italic text, and combine both styles.

  1. Step one
  2. Step two
  3. Step three

This content is only for demonstration purposes. Feel free to edit or delete it.

Posted in Uncategorized

Test Post for WordPress

This is a sample post created to test the basic formatting features of the WordPress CMS.

Subheading Level 2

You can use bold text, italic text, and combine both styles.

  1. Step one
  2. Step two
  3. Step three

This content is only for demonstration purposes. Feel free to edit or delete it.

Posted in Uncategorized

Test Post for WordPress

This is a sample post created to test the basic formatting features of the WordPress CMS.

Subheading Level 2

You can use bold text, italic text, and combine both styles.

  1. Step one
  2. Step two
  3. Step three

This content is only for demonstration purposes. Feel free to edit or delete it.

Posted in Uncategorized

The influence of climatic change on the Late Bronze Age Collapse and the Greek Dark Ages

Ignoring thousands of years of Anthropogenic emissions sealed our fate.
A microcosm of “our collapsing civilization”, which is now unfolding in a non-linear, exponential fashion, as the six-dozen feedback loops we have triggered and ignored, kick in and kick us and all other earthlings, towards oblivion, and extinction.
The corporate controlled and created IPCC use 1880 as their “Pre-Industrial Base line”. It’s morally and scientifically bankrupt, disingenuous and fascist when we know that the outcome of these obfuscations is so catastrophic, not just for us, but for all complex life on our “Pale Blue Dot“. Any individual signing their name on a document from the IPCC is colluding with the enemy!
Professor Guy McPherson and I know exactly how frustrated Carl Sagan felt as he tried to point out the precipitous collapse we were & still are racing toward. Emissions have much more than doubled since Carl Sagan addressed the US congress in 1985.

The purpose of this post is to show that Industrial civilizations existed thousands of years prior, and we haven’t accounted for those emissions. This is a deliberate strategy to deceive the public about how much emissions we have dumped into the atmosphere and the baked in consequences.
Even Dr James E Hansen, the “Grandfather “of climate change admits that 10C is baked in! The latest science indicates that 14C minimum is now unavoidable!
I’ve covered this aspect of collapse earlier: Baseline Temperature dishonesty at the Edge of Extinction
The incredible Sam Carana from Arctic News Blogspot calculated that “Using 1750 as a baseline we are at or around 2c. Going back in time to include the Iron Age and Bronze ages we are at least 2.29C, hence all the chaos unfolding now, not at some long off date we’ll never get to see.” That quote from my article “Current Climate Path Will Lead to Collapse of Life on Earth.” I’d just like to point out that the title of the above article comes from The Independent, a corporate outlet that let the cat out of the bag!
I’m pleasantly surprised that the title got past the editor!
“Between the 13th and 11th centuries BCE, most Greek Bronze Age Palatial centers were destroyed and/or abandoned.”
” A sharp increase in Northern Hemisphere temperatures preceded the collapse of Palatial centers, a sharp decrease occurred during their abandonment. Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures cooled rapidly during the Late Bronze Age, limiting freshwater flux into the atmosphere and thus reducing precipitation over land. These climatic changes could have affected Palatial centers that were dependent upon high levels of agricultural productivity. Declines in agricultural production would have made higher-density populations in Palatial centers unsustainable. The ‘Greek Dark Ages’ that followed occurred during prolonged arid conditions that lasted until the Roman Warm Period.”

“At the end of the Late Bronze Age (LBA) most Eastern Mediterranean urban centers were either destroyed or abandoned throughout the Near East and Aegean”.
In the excellent video below temperatures of over 1200C were generated to make steel over 1000 years ago, imagine how much fuel and by default emissions of CO2 that involved.”
The influence of climatic change on the Late Bronze Age Collapse and the Greek Dark Ages
Introduction

In the fascinating video above it is mentioned that this technology evolved from the cradle of humanity in West Asia. The current emperors of the Military Industrial Congressional Complex are bombing that region back into the stone ages. Those same monsters have just installed their proxy army Al Qaida into Syria, as always, it’s a land and resources grab, intrinsically linked to “Peak Oil”.

My colleague and dear friend Professor Guy McPherson adds’ his thoughts on the dishonesty here:
Science Update: Shifting the Baseline
If the above videos interested, click on the link above for Professor McPhersons video analysis that for some reason? WordPress won’t allow me to embed!!!
To get the most from this article drill down into the embedded links.
When reading corporate media, remember they have share prices to maintain, keeping you and your children in the dark is a cynical economic decision.
Feel free to add your own comments below and subscribe to the blog to join the crew on this final voyage. Brace for imminent impact.
You can support this blog by Buying me a coffee to be honest, it will be beer not coffee or via Paypal :
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Posted in Climate Science, Feedback loops, Nature Bats Last, Near Term Human Extinction--NTHE, Peak Oil, Professor Guy McPherson, Sam Carana

Microplastics Changing Earth’s Climate from the depths of the Oceans, across Fertile lands and Forests & High up into the Atmosphere


No where on the planet has been spared!

“Microplastics exert tremendous influence over the living planet. I can hardly read a headline at a corporate media outlet without learning more about the enormous influence of microplastics. They’re in our water. They’re in our food. They’re in our blood. They contaminate beaches throughout the world.”

“Here’s the lede, followed by another sentence that completes the first paragraph: “Microplastics in the atmosphere may be altering weather and climate by facilitating ice formation in clouds. Penn State research suggests these particles could impact precipitation and climate patterns, though their full effects remain unknown.”

“Of course, “their full effects remain unknown.” As Professor and Science Educator Carl Sagan pointed out long ago, “Science is a way of thinking much more than it is a body of knowledge.” We will never know all there is to know about Earth, much less the universe we inhabit. Science is a means of accumulating reliable knowledge through observation and testing. However, complete knowledge is beyond us, as indicated in the next paragraph of the article at SciTechDaily: “Scientists have discovered microplastics—tiny plastic particles less than 5 millimeters in size—in some of the planet’s most untouched places, from the depths of the Mariana Trench to the snow-capped peak of Mt. Everest, and even in clouds over mountains in China and Japan. Microplastics have also been found in human brain tissue, inside sea turtles, and even within plant roots. Now, new research led by Penn State scientists suggests that these airborne microplastics could be influencing weather patterns and impacting the climate.”

All of the above information has been drawn from Professor Guy McPhersons Substack post, link embedded below. Readers can subscribe for free and for a small scoop of ice-cream can join the discussion: Science Snippets: Microplastics Changing Earth’s Climate

For every 1C we heat the planet we get 7% more water vapour in the atmosphere. Add to that all these Aerosole’d plastic particles that act as cloud nuclei, and we have a multiplication of the original Water Vapour Feedback Loop!

In January 2021 Professor McPherson and I interviewed Oceanographer Jim Massa, below is a similar analysis from Jim concentrating on the plastic predominantly in the oceans.

“Seventy four metric tonnes of microplastics have been found in Auckland’s atmosphere, the equivalent of three million plastic bottles per year, researchers say.”

“The University of Auckland research, published in Environmental Science & Technology, found the microplastics were of such small sizes that there was concern they could be inhaled and accumulate in the human body.”

“Nanoplastics, the smallest particles, can potentially enter cells, cross the blood-brain barrier, and may build up in organs such as the testicles, liver and brain. Plastics have also been detected in the placenta.”

“Microplastics have also been detected in human lungs and in the lung tissue of cancer patients, indicating that the inhalation of atmospheric microplastics is an exposure risk to humans,” the paper noted.”

“The levels of microplastics in Auckland’s air were much higher than those recorded in London, Paris and Hamburg in recent years, with the study utilising a method which could detect particles as small as 0.01 of a millimetre, researchers said.”
If you ever wondered why everyone is getting sick, factor plastic into the toxins we ingest.
Airborne microplastics in Auckland equivalent to millions of plastic bottles per year





You can support this blog by Buying me a coffee to be honest, it will be beer not coffee or via Paypal :
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As-salamu alaykumPeace out.

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Posted in Feedback loops, George Carlin, Oceans, Plastic pollution
Kevin Hester

Kevin Hester is currently living on Rakino Island, a small island in the Hauraki Gulf near Auckland, New Zealand, monitoring the unravelling of the biosphere and volunteering at the Rakino Island Nursery is currently developing a proposal to create a marine reserve near by. The Island has no grid tied electricity or reticulated water.  I catch my own water from the roof and generate my electricity from the ample solar radiation on the island.

My Submission to the Ministry of the Environment
Kevin Hester, Dropping Anchor in an Exponential World
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