Cognitive Dissonance and Outright Lies at the Edge of Extinction

In recent weeks and months I have been amazed at the general public and most scientists ability to ignore the blatant evidence that we are in early stage, non-linear runaway warming. From individual activists, to the donation soaked and addicted corporate NGO’s, who are literally dependent on “Business as Usual” to maintain their cash flows, they ignore the elephant in the room, squandering vital time to prepare for the already unfolding collapse.
On an individual basis the decision to deny the severity of the situation is up to each persons conscience and/or courage to accept the predicament we find ourselves in but when it comes to research universities and their tenured scientists, governments and the large NGO’s it’s a ‘Dereliction of Duty’ for them not to be ‘completely frank’. That for me is abject dishonesty, especially toward the youth. I’ve previously singled out Dr Michael E Mann, the corporate media’s ‘Go To Mann’, for this dishonesty.
Cognitive
Below I will lay out just a few examples showing that we are in the runaway phase of this extinction event.
This fire season alone, “Australia’s wildfires have destroyed more than a fifth of the country’s forests, making the blazes “globally unprecedented” following a years-long drought linked to climate change, researchers said Monday.” Bushfires burned a fifth of Australia’s forest: Bushfires burned a fifth of Australia’s forest: study   Remember this is not an El Nino year, the next El Nino, if we have one, will be brutal and will put this event on steroids. The double feedback from these fires is that the forests were formerly carbon sinks so that has been lost and all the carbon that has ben released will accentuate the predicament.

In August last year Professor Guy McPherson and I re-interviewed Dr Andrew Glikson from the Australian National University regarding an article he wrote titled:Beyond Climate Tipping Points: Greenhouse Gas Levels Exceed the Stability Limit of the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets

The pace of global warming has been grossly underestimated. As the world keeps increasing its carbon emissions rising in 2018 to a record 33.1 billion ton COper year, the atmospheric greenhouse gas level has now exceeded 560 ppm (parts per million) CO2equivalent, namely when methane and nitric oxide are included. This level surpasses the stability threshold of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. The term “climate change“ is thus no longer appropriate, since what is happening in the atmosphere-ocean system, accelerating over the last 70 years or so, is an abrupt calamity on a geological dimension threatening nature and civilization. Ignoring what the science says, the powers-that-be are presiding over the sixth mass extinction of species, including humanity.”
Links to the article and our interview with the exceptionally honest Dr Glikson can be found embedded below; Tipping Points in the Earth Climate System. Dr Andrew Glikson returns to Nature Bats Last

We are on the cusp of witnessing a sea ice free arctic ocean. The consequences of the albedo feedback loop and other side effects of the loss of sea ice like loss of habitat for algae, krill, sea lions, sea birds and polar bears. “Losing the remaining Arctic sea ice and its ability to reflect incoming solar energy back to space would be equivalent to adding one trillion tons of CO2 to the atmosphere, on top of the 2.4 trillion tons emitted since the Industrial Age, according to current and former researchers from Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego.”

“At current rates, this roughly equates to 25 years of global CO2 emissions.For further reference see: ”Cascading Consequences of the Loss of Arctic Sea Ice

My cohost on Nature Bats Last recently commented on this aspect of the unraveling titled: “Edge of Extinction: Scientists don’t know why !!

“To believe that our species can avoid extinction, even as non-human vertebrates and non-human mammals disappear, is classic human hubris wrapped in a warm blanket of myth-based human supremacy. The evidence indicates humans will join the annihilation of “all life on earth,” as reported in the journal literature on 13 November 2018. Even tardigrades, the go-to survivor for those who deny the impacts of abrupt climate change on life, are unlikely to survive, according to a paper in the 9 January 2020 issue of Scientific Reports. If the organisms on which we depend do not survive, if even tardigrades do not survive, then humans will not survive.” Quoted from this article published by Counterpunch titled: Extinction Foretold, Extinction Ignored.

On next weeks episode of Nature Bats Last Professor McPherson and I will be interviewing  George Tsakraklides on his recent article titled “Collapse means Collapse.”the interview can be found at the NBL archive shortly after the live broadcast on The Progressive Radio Network.
‘People believe what they want to believe. It is a striking-yet all too familiar-fact about human beings that our belief-forming processes can be so distorted by fears, desires, and prejudices that an otherwise sensible person may sincerely uphold a false claim about the world despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary. When we describe someone as being “in denial,” we mean that he or she is personally threatened by some set of facts and consequently fails to assess the situation properly according to the evidence, instead arguing and interpreting evidence in light of a pre-established conclusion.’
— From the ‘cover notes’ of Adrian Bardon’s book, THE TRUTH ABOUT DENIAL

As I have written before: The New Climate Denial Position is to deny Abrupt Climate Change. 

 

Posted in Early Stage Runaway, George Tsakraklides, Nature Bats Last, Near Term Human Extinction--NTHE, Professor Guy McPherson

We’re just one ‘Black Swan Event’ away from Collapse and a Total Loss of Habitat.

If your paying any attention at all, you will know that we have already entered dangerous,  irreversible, non-linear climate change. There is a  10 to 30 year lag between when emissions are dumped into the atmosphere and when their full effects manifest. That means there is a huge amount of warming and consequences already baked in that have yet to be seen or felt, with emissions accelerating every year at a non-linear rate of increase, with the dreaded but much ignored “Feedback Loops” about to take centre stage.
Lets debate what that means for us and our loved ones, irrespective of which ever species of earthling your loved one’s are.
My role and that of my co-host on Nature Bats Last on The Progressive Radio Network is to connect the dots on the great unraveling we are witnessing.

As we all watch the Corona Virus spreading like wild fire around China and daily the planet, we are forced to confront the reality that our complex societies are extremely vulnerable to the whims of the next so called “Black Swan Event” that could tip industrial civilisation over completely or into the worst economic depression of modern times. This could literally happen over night. Imagine what stressors the global Insurance Industry is already under?

Let’s factor in the Aerosol Masking Effect;
Either a ‘Great Depression’ or partial-collapse of industrial civilisation will reduce the aerosol masking effect which will  trigger (not maybe or could), the crossing of yet another, irreversible climate tipping point.
Had the worlds international, commercial airliner fleet been grounded at the outset of this pandemic we could well have been tipped into the abyss due to the loss of the aerosol masking effect or ‘Global Dimming’.
Bare that in mind when the next threat looms or this virus mutates.

“As pointed out by the lead author of the paper in Science on 22 January 2019: “Global efforts to improve air quality by developing cleaner fuels and burning less coal could end up harming our planet by reducing the number of aerosols in the atmosphere, and by doing so, diminishing aerosols’ cooling ability to offset global warming.” The cooling effect is “nearly twice what scientists previously thought,” and this 2019 paper cites the conclusion by Levy et al. (2013) indicating as little as 35% reduction in industrial activity drives a 1 C global-average rise in temperature.”

According to an overview published by European Strategy and Policy Analysis System in April 2019: “An increase of 1.5 degrees is the maximum the planet can tolerate; should temperatures increase further … we will face even more droughts, floods, extreme heat and poverty … and at worst, the extinction of humankind altogether.” Using 1750 as a baseline we are already past 1.5C; How much warmer is it now?

All of the above quoted peer reviewed data can be found in this article recently published on Counter Punch titled “Extinction Foretold, Extinction Ignored”.

Now to address the economic consequences of this unfolding pandemic;
“Factories all over China have been shut down, global supply chains have been hit by an unprecedented shock, the Baltic Dry Index is absolutely collapsing, the tourism industry is being absolutely devastated, and companies all over the globe are warning that sales will be lower than anticipated this quarter.  This coronavirus outbreak is already taking a very serious toll on the global economy, and experts are warning that we could still be in the very early chapters of this crisis.  If this outbreak ultimately evolves into a horrifying worldwide pandemic that kills millions of people, what will the global economy look like a few months from now?”This Coronavirus Outbreak Is Really Starting To Take A Very Serious Toll On The Global Economy.

I’d like to draw your attention to a series of You Tube presentations and analysis done on the Corona Virus by Chris Martenson of Peak Prosperity. Chris has dedicated a lot of time and analysis to the outbreak. Below is one of a series;

The central point of this blog post is that we are now a day to day, week to week, month to month proposition. This virus may or may not be the one that takes down industrial civilisation or the biosphere but we can be sure that there are flocks of ‘Black Swans’ lurking in our already murky future.
Professor McPherson and I have been branded ‘Alarmists’ by the corporate media and their sycophantic, well paid, corporate scientists whose tenure, status, personal renumeration and research grants all involve kowtowing to the dominant culture. It’s impossible to get funding for a 10 year research project if we don’t have 10 years.
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Fundamental to my analysis is following “The Precautionary Principle”.
“The precautionary principle enables decision-makers to adopt precautionary measures when scientific evidence about an environmental or human health hazard is uncertain and the stakes are high.” The precautionary principle: Definitions, applications and governance

I didn’t learn about the ‘Precautionary Principle’ at university. I learned it on 16 ocean passages on small yachts and back packing through 50  countries over 4 decades. I’ve lived in two war zones. The fact that I’m still alive reflects my adherence to the precautionary principle. Blue water ocean sailing teaches the sailor to have respect for what mother nature can throw at you. You hope for the best but plan for the worst.
All of the corporate / state proposals to dealt with our predicament are nothing more than platitudes.
There is No Plan and there is No Planet B.

The cold harsh reality is that the climate change ‘can’ has been continually kicked down the road and off the cliff. Let’s talk below about reality not fantasy. Time is short, let’s cut the crap and cut to the chase.

 

Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Feedback loops, Habitat, Professor Guy McPherson

Professor Paul Ehrlich returns to Nature Bats Last

The February episode of Nature Bats Last featuring Professor Paul Ehrlich is embedded here:

The Strona and Bradshaw paper we discussed is titled ; Co-extinctions annihilate planetary life during extreme environmental change

Further information on the risks face by the Insurance Industry is embedded here;The Insurance Industry, soon to be the first pillar of Capitalism to succumb to Abrupt Climate Change

The paper on the “Aerosol Masking Effect” I sent professor Ehrlich is titled Cleaning Up Air Pollution May Strengthen Global Warming. Professor McPherson’s work on the subject can be found here; The Aerosol Masking Effect: A Brief Overview

“The Department for Environment and Water estimates that 75 per cent of South Australia’s endangered glossy black-cockatoo population, found solely on Kangaroo Island, lived within the 210,000 hectares burned.”
“An estimated 370 are believed to live on the island and congregate in seven main flocks.” Kangaroo Island’s glossy black cockatoo population feared decimated by fires
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Paul attributed his croaky voice to his recent visit to Australia and the appalling air quality.
“Sydneysiders experienced 81 days of hazardous, very poor or poor air quality last year, more than the combined total for the previous 10 years”. If you can’t see non-linearity then you won’t understand how quickly the biosphere is unraveling.
‘New situation’: record 81 days of bad air quality in Sydney

One of the many things being exposed in our daily, worsening predicament is the pathology of the arsonists behind the incineration of the biosphere.
All of the fires in Australia have been lit by corporate arsonists who have put profits before a habitable planet.They didn’t light the fires with a match or a blowtorch they fired them up with the capitalist infinite growth paradigm.
It’s people like Rupert Murdoch who controlled the public narrative for decades and ensured that whatever window of opportunity we had many years ago to head off armageddon was slammed shut in our faces.
Murdoch could well go down, in our soon to end history, as being complicit in the greatest mass murderer of all time, surpassing the cumulative slaughters of all previous despots. Some of those despots killed millions of people. Murdoch and his ilk have signed the death warrant on seven and three quarter billion sapiens and millions of other species whilst at the same time blaming people who threw a burning cigarette from their car windows for the fires.The Murdoch press even lied about the fires being a result of arson not climate change.
“The Australian” the Murdoch-owned newspaper falsely stated 183 arsonists had been arrested since the start of the bushfire season. The figure went viral after being picked up by conservative news outlets and shared on Twitter by Donald Trump Jr., Sean Hannity, and other popular far-right figures. In actuality, only 24 people have been charged with deliberately lighting bushfires. Australia’s Bushfires Are the Worst Ever. So Is the Disinformation Campaign

The Murdoch press falsely stated 183 arsonists had been arrested since the start of the bushfire season. The figure went viral after being picked up by conservative news outlets and shared on Twitter by Donald Trump Jr., Sean Hannity, and other popular far-right figures. In actuality, only 24 people have been charged with deliberately lighting bushfires.

“It’s lies and it’s bullshit. The obfuscation, the deliberate and willful misleading of the Australian public, the climate denialism, all of these features of the current government are putting Australian lives, the economy, and Australia’s future at risk,”
The cognitive dissonance surrounding our predicament is a case study in itself.
All my life the “World Population Clock” has been racing upward, it’s about to race off in reverse, infinitely faster than it climbed.

“Researchers say platypus numbers may have halved or more since Europeans arrived in Australia, predicting local extinctions may have occurred across 40 per cent of the species’ range due to dam building, land clearing and other disruptions, according to a study published in the scientific journal Biological Conservation. ” ‘Brink of extinction’: Steep drop in platypus numbers as drought bites

Leaked report lays bare environmental devastation of Victorian fires:“It says more than 40 per cent of the Victorian habitats of the sooty owl, diamond python, long-footed potoroo, long-nosed bandicoot and brush-tailed rock-wallaby have already been wiped out. An estimated 25 per cent of the sooty owl population has been killed.”

Least anyone think that Aotearoa NZ is being spared :
“Northland farmers are being told to leave out shallow dishes of water for thirsty kiwi as the region sizzles in a hot, dry summer.” Thirsty kiwi dying of dehydration while struggling through hot, dry summer in Northland. 

Professor Ehrlich posted this article on his Twitter feed on 24th of January 2020;
“The loss of biodiversity that has occurred over the course of our species’ time on Earth is staggering. This loss is now truly planetary in scale and caused by human actions, albeit the severity of which is unequally distributed across the globe”.
The state of global biodiversity — it’s worse than you probably think Lesser-known endangered species in Bhutan may be facing extinction.

Even after centuries of effort, some 86 percent of Earth‘s species have yet to be fully described, according to new study that predicts our planet is home to 8.7 million species. 86 Percent of Earth’s Species Still Unknown?
What ever happened to that old scientific rigour of the“Precautionary Principle”?

“A shattering collapse of civilisation is a “near certainty” in the next few decades due to humanity’s continuing destruction of the natural world that sustains all life on Earth, according to biologist Prof Paul Ehrlich. Paul Ehrlich: ‘Collapse of civilisation is a near certainty within decades’

“Though Australia is in the midst of a massive drought, when the rain inevitably returns—as it already has in some regions—this organic matter will rush into rivers and flow into coastal lakes, estuaries, and seagrass and seaweed beds.” Australia’s Marine Animals Are the Fires’ Unseen Victims

Fires burning in Australia have created “Firenados” that have registered temperatures of 2000 F or 1090 C !!! Check out the “Firenado” in this link  Stunning video shows ‘firenado’ burn across Australia

 

Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Extinction Cascades, Professor Guy McPherson, Professor Paul Ehrlich

A Tsunami of Climate Change Refugees heading to Aotearoa New Zealand

As Australia continues to burn millions of potential Climate Chance refugees cast their gaze across the Tasman Sea. The logical conclusion of people threatened with what could already be a never ending fire season is to seek refuge. One of the first places they will choose is Aotearoa New Zealand, for cultural, geographical and logistical reasons, not to mention it’s slightly lower latitudes and the mitigating, cooling effects of the island chain being surrounded by oceans that help reduce the apparent warming.
Dangerous’ weather conditions in southeast Australia prompt more evacuations.
“Fires in Australia have incinerated 15 million acres, claimed at least 25 human lives and killed upwards of a billion animals.”  One and a quarter billion infact.
Australia is quickly becoming uninhabitable with millions of acres burnt and effectively sterilised of any life.“Firenados” have been burning at incredible temperatures of 2000F or 1090 C.

“Climate-heating emissions from Australia’s devastating bushfires are now nearly on a par with those caused by fires in the Amazon rainforest last year, scientists have calculated.”

“Australia’s bushfires, from September to Jan. 6, emitted 370 million tonnes of carbon dioxide, according to the European Union’s ECMWF Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS).” Carbon emissions from Australian blazes near Amazon fire levels

“The wildfires raging along Australia’s eastern coast have already pumped around 400 million metric tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, further fueling the climate change that’s already intensifying the nation’s fires.”
Very soon it will be impossible to obtain fire insurance in Australia. No insurance…. no mortgage. The aware will sell up early and ‘scarper’ as they say in Oz.
Every single one of the millions of trees that have immolated have released their stored carbon back into atmosphere in a vicious feedback loop. One of the reasons the trees have burnt is Australia is in the grip of the worst drought in 800 years
The sky rivers these forests formerly generated are gone and will not be returning. The worst drought in 800 years is about to get a lot worse. Mega droughts engulf countries written by Robert Hunziker a former guest on Nature Bats Last.

Until recently the majority of refugees moving to Aotearoa have been the wealthy, millionaires and billionaires who have constructed bug out bunkers. Very shortly that trickle will become a torrent and then a tsunami as the wealthy rats abandon their sinking, burning ship.
“Naturally” the poor and indigenous will be left to burn.
“Billionaire hedge-fund honcho Julian Robertson owns a lodge overlooking Lake Wakatipu in Queenstown, the South Island’s luxury resort destination. Fidelity National Financial Inc. Chairman Bill Foley has a homestead in the Wairarapa region, north of Wellington, and Titanic director James Cameron bought a mansion nearby at Lake Pounui.”
“The Investor Plus Visa, which requires a minimum investment of NZD$10 million ($6.7 million) over three years, attracted 17 U.S. applicants in fiscal 2017, after President Donald Trump’s election. Previously, it averaged six applicants a year.” The Super Rich of Silicon Valley Have a Doomsday Escape Plan

What measures have the government in Aotearoa taken to deal with these refugees? What has been done to guarantee our Pacific Island neighbours a habitable place to live?Nothing has been done because the regime in Wellington fits the definition of being “Abrupt Climate Change Deniers” and for final proof of the cognitive dissonance, ignorance and outright lies from James Shaw NZ Green Party of Aotearoa co-leader look at this level of ignorance he just posted on Twitter:
Shaw saying that he can ‘solve’ climate change exposes his intellectual bankruptcy and delusion. The cognitive dissonance surrounding the Seventh Great Extinction  is a case study in itself.
I’m editing this post on the 21/01/2020 due to this development from the UN:
“It is unlawful for governments to return people to countries where their lives might be threatened by the climate crisis, a landmark ruling by the United Nations human rights committee has found.

The judgment – which is the first of its kind – represents a legal “tipping point” and a moment that “opens the doorway” to future protection claims for people whose lives and well being have been threatened due to global heating, experts say.  Climate refugees can’t be returned home, says landmark UN human rights ruling

So what’s your position on these refugees? Leave your comments below.
Cognitive

Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Climate Change Refugees, Robert Hunziker, The Sixth Great Extinction

Stephen Jenkinson returns to Nature Bats Last

The January episode of Nature Bats Last is embedded here
STEPHEN JENKINSON
is an activist, teacher, author, and farmer. He has a master’s degree in theology from Harvard University and a master’s degree in social work from the University of Toronto. He is a former programme director and medical-school assistant professor. He is the subject of the documentary National Film Board of Canada documentary film, Griefwalker.  He teaches internationally. With Nathalie Roy, Jenkinson founded The Orphan Wisdom School is 2010, which convenes in Tramore, Canada, and in various places in northern Europe. He is the author of How It All Could Be (now translated into four languages), Money and the Soul’s DesiresDie Wise: A Manifesto for Sanity and Soul, and, most recently, Come of Age: The Case of Elderhood in a Time of Trouble. With Gregory Hoskins and band, Stephen has offered Nights of Grief & Mystery to sold-out houses on three continents, most recently during the 26-city Nights of Grief & Mystery North American Tour 2018.
As mentioned in the show Stephen will be returning to Aotearoa NZ on a speaking tour and will be speaking in Auckland at a venue still to be determined. I will be assisting with the public talk and more details will be added here as they are determined.
During the show sometime host on Nature Bats Last Pauline Schneider spoke. Readers can follow Paulines epic cinematography here;  subscribe to Pauline’s channel for notifications of new work.
A link to Stephen’s books is embedded here

Stephen-Jenkinson-Come-of-Age-Cover-Square-v02

 

Posted in Hospice, Professor Guy McPherson, Stephen Jenkinson

Welcome to the 2020’s, the Final Decade of the Failed Human Experiment

The late great Albert Bartlett in his seminal presentation titled ; The Exponential Function said “One of the greatest shortcomings of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function”. Most people know the expression but don’t truly grasp it’s full implications. The “Feedback Loops” that the large NGO’s used to warn of,  have now arrived en-masse, the silence from them on this topic is deafening.
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We are now in the non-linear stage of the unraveling of the biosphere and we are witnessing cascading events that are and will domino across the entire biosphere at an ever accelerating rate. I will list below, with numerous corroborating evidence embedded, why I believe this is our last decade on this beleaguered planet. Personally I shall be very surprised if we are still here in 36 months after another three melt seasons in the Arctic and Antarctic. Having considerably less time than that is entirely plausible!

Previously I have written on this blog about the consequences of the loss of Arctic Sea Ice; “Losing the remaining Arctic sea ice and its ability to reflect incoming solar energy back to space would be equivalent to adding one trillion tons of CO2 to the atmosphere, on top of the 2.4 trillion tons emitted since the Industrial Age, according to current and former researchers from Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego.”
“At current rates, this roughly equates to 25 years of global CO2 emissions.” Cascading Consequences of the Loss of Arctic Sea Ice
It is entirely feasible that we will have entered that uncharted territory on or before the end of the 2020 melt season in the Arctic, assuming the melt season still has an end and the long predicted burst of methane from the East Siberian Arctic Shelf hasn’t already been ejaculated into the atmosphere!
President Niinistö in North Russia: ‘If We Lose the Arctic, We Lose the World’

All of the above information covers just 1 of 6 dozen feedback loops documented in this ‘Piece de Resistance’ Climate-Change Summary and Update
“New research shows that the loss of biodiversity can increase the risk of “extinction cascades,” where an initial species loss leads to a domino effect of further extinctions.The researchers, from the University of Exeter, showed there is a higher risk of extinction cascades when other species are not present to fill the “gap” created by the loss of a species. Even if the loss of one species does not directly cause knock-on extinctions, the study shows that this leads to simpler ecological communities that are at greater risk of “run-away extinction cascades” with the potential loss of many species.” The full peer reviewed paper is embedded here; Biodiversity loss raises risk of ‘extinction cascades’  

The official UN statistic in 2010, which will be terribly conservative, states that we lose 150 to 200 species every day. Naturally it has accelerated in the subsequent 10 years. It stands to reason that sooner or later we will hit the point where the loss of keystone species will trigger the final cascade of extinctions. “What we are seeing today is a total disaster,” said Ahmed Djoghlaf, the secretary-general of the UN Convention on Biological Diversity. “No country has met its targets to protect nature. We are losing biodiversity at an unprecedented rate. If current levels [of destruction] go on we will reach a tipping point very soon.” Protect nature for world economic security, warns UN biodiversity chief

“In fact, humans have caused the annihilation of 83% of all wild mammals and half of all plants, the authors of the report found.”
Humanity Has Killed 83% of All Wild Mammals and Half of All Plants
Complexity is our “Achilles Heal” as was pointed out by Arthur Keller in his presentation Collapse: The Only Realistic Scenario

This presentation on collapse is equally prescient;
Why Everything Will Collapse
On the October episode of Nature Bats Last on the Progressive Radio Network my co-host Professor Guy McPherson and I interviewed Robert Hunziker about the great unraveling we are all witnessing and are a part of.
In this subsequent article Robert discusses the inevitably of bio-sphere collapse! (How weird it is for me to write those words !!!!!! )
In next months episode we will re-interview Stephen Jenkinson sometimes known as “The Grief Walker” when we will continue our mission to have the conversations most shy away from.
I’ve embedded the interview with Robert Hunziker titled  Biosphere Collapse? and a previous interview with Stephen Jenkinson can be found at the Nature Bats Last archive at PRN.FM
“Nothing will remain on earth, or under the earth or in the waters which will not be persecuted, disturbed and spoiled, and those of one country removed into another. And their bodies will become the sepulture and means of transit of all they have killed.~” Leonardo da Vinci
From the essay titled Abrupt, Irreversible Climate Change

Anyone paying attention would have seen the fires burning since the beginning of the Australian spring.  Over 12 million acres of forests and wilderness have burned. All of the sequestered carbon has been released and the former carbon sinks no longer exists, nor will the overhead ‘Sky Rivers’ ever return, these are classic feedback loops. If you think the drought was bad before these fires you aint seen nothing yet. “Australia has been ravaged by fires since September. About 12.35 million acres have burned nationwide”. Thousands of koalas feared dead in wildfire-ravaged area north of Sydney

A quick search will tell you that a handful of Firefighters and a few other people have perished. The true mortality count is nearly half a billion earthling fatalities in Australia’s fires alone.
“Ecologists at the University of Sydney estimate around 480 million mammals, birds and reptiles have been killed, directly or indirectly, by the devastating blazes since they began in September”.Nearly 500 million animals killed in Australian bushfires, experts fear. Because we rarely count the non-human death toll we all underestimate the slaughter already underway.

This long drawn out collapse has been going on for a very long time, the collapse itself will be sudden and brutal. Make the most of every day, time is much shorter than most realise.
The temperature is rising, the grim reaper beckons;
Grim Reaper
To get the most from this article I urge the reader to invest time in checking out the embedded links because it is imperative in connecting the dots in such a complex system. That complexity is at the crux of my contention that time is infinitely shorter than most would realise.

 

Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Albert Bartlett, Arctic Sea Ice, Arthur Keller, Methane, Nature Bats Last, Professor Guy McPherson, Robert Hunziker, Stephen Jenkinson

Anti-Nuclear and Human Rights Activist Mimi German returns to Nature Bats Last

The December 2019 episode of Nature Bats Last featuring Mimi German is embedded here;
Mimi is a houseless advocate focused primarily on houseless neighbors in St. Johns, Oregon. She is known for her anarchistic shutdowns of the Portland City Council for 6 consecutive months over issues concerning houseless people in Portland. She is also the co-founder of Jason Barns Landing, a non-transitional houseless village situated on land JBL took over and occupied from Metro in Portland. Jason Barns Landing is named after a houseless friend who died on the streets of St.
Johns while canning for his survival. Click on the embedded link directly above to take you to the Jason Barns Facebook page.

 

Mimi is also a poet, using her words as witness and as observer for a beauty unseen by most and to allow the darkness of this time to be witnessed in writing to the page. Finally, Mimi is currently helping care for her mother, who is contemplating hospice on the East Coast.
“Studies of Chernobyl and Fukushima also reveal crippling psychological fear of invisible contamination. This fear consumed Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and people in Fukushima painfully associated their own experiences with those of people in the atomic-bombed cities. The situation in Fukushima is still far from physically or psychologically stable. This fear also plagues Chernobyl, where there have been large forced movements of populations, and where whole areas poisoned by radiation remain uninhabitable.”
The False promise of Nuclear Energy in a time of climate change;
“A huge cluster of jellyfish forced the Oskarshamn plant, the site of one of the world’s largest nuclear reactors, to shut down by clogging the pipes conducting cool water to the turbines.” Jellyfish clog pipes of Swedish nuclear reactor forcing plant shutdown.

 

“The revelations come on the heels of a report last week from the U.S. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine on the aftermath of the 11 March 2011 earthquake and tsunami in northern Japan. The report details how a spent fuel fire at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant that was crippled by the twin disasters could have released far more radioactivity into the environment.”

Nuclear Free

The January episode of Nature Bats Last will feature another interview with Stephen Jenkinson author of many books including the best seller “Die Wise”. Stephen’s website  is Orphan Wisdom;
Feel free to leave your comments below and to subscribe to the blog as we chronicle the great unraveling.

Posted in Mimi German, Nature Bats Last, Nuclear Threats, Stephen Jenkinson

The Insurance Industry, soon to be the first pillar of Capitalism to succumb to Abrupt Climate Change

“Climate change could punch a hole through the financial system by making 30-year home mortgages — the lifeblood of the American housing market — effectively unobtainable in entire regions across parts of the U.S.”
“Climate change could end mortgages as we know them”

“Natural disasters are being recorded more frequently than ever before. “Since 1970, the number of disasters worldwide has more than quadrupled to around 400 a year,” and “there are six times more hydrological events now than in 1980,” The 10 Most Costly Natural Disasters of the Century
“There is a logistical hurdle: when a catastrophe bond experiences a so-called loss event, the capital in the investment is suspended until the full cost of a disaster is pinned down. The phenomenon of “loss creep”, where initial estimates of a loss balloon months or even years after the event, has also spooked some investors. The cost of Typhoon Jebi in Japan last year rose from initial expectations of $6bn to $15bn.”
“Over two years, natural catastrophes caused a record $225bn of insured losses”.
Why climate change is the new 9/11 for insurance companies

“For the insurance industry, global warming has advanced from a future ecological challenge to a present financial shock. Together, total losses to the economy from natural catastrophes and “man-made disasters” reached $165 billion in 2018; that followed a 2017 that, at $350 billion, cost more than twice as much. As a result, according to the Swiss Re Institute, the company’s research arm, 2017 and 2018 were for insurers the most-expensive two-year period of such catastrophes on record, requiring them to fork over $219 billion globally in checks.”
Climate Change Is Hitting the Insurance Industry Hard

“Regulators are starting to worry about climate change.”
“Jenkins points out that the Bank of England’s Prudential Regulation Authority is leading the way on stress-testing insurers against the risk that the world misses its carbon reduction targets.”

“In such a scenario, insurers, especially in the U.S. where price increases are restricted by regulators, may find it increasingly unattractive to offer coverage,” he writes. “Greater lay-off of risk to reinsurers is one option. But more restrictive policies or wholesale withdrawal of cover are also possible. At some juncture underwriters will need to remove their blinkers and acknowledge that a world awash with worsening climate change risks is not necessarily just bad for the planet. It could be bad for the insurance industry too. A bit like 9/11.” Climate Change Tops List of World’s ‘Extreme Risks’

“Venice is on its knees,” said Brugnaro. “The damage will run into hundreds of millions of euros.” Flood, fire and plague: climate change blamed for disasters
“Last year, insurance payouts caused by climate-related events totaled $2.4 trillion worldwide.” Can Insurance Companies Weather The Storm? What Climate Change Means For The Industry

Clearly the cost of disasters is on the same Hockey Stick trajectory as our climate crisis yet “Business as Usual” carries on as if nothing has changed. All ponzi schemes eventually implode and this one will be no different except in scale. There is no previous analogue to remotely compare with the coming collapse.

Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Collapse, Insurance

The Psychological Roller Coaster of Abrupt Climate Change featuring Peter Miller

Nature Bats Last co-hosts Kevin Hester and Guy McPherson were joined on this months show by Canadian psychologist Peter Miller. The discussion included our individual psychological responses to abrupt climate change and its outcome. Peter is a parent and combines his professional experience with the emotional, to try and navigate our predicament. As we ride this roller coaster Guy and I want to explore the psychological dichotomy, in this episode we continue that journey;
The latest episode of NBL is embedded here;

During the interview I asked Peter what role his music played in managing his grief. His music, available on Soundcloud is embedded here

Peter has conducted a series of interviews with people navigating this, the perfect storm based on us all being in hospice. They can be found at the Peter Miller You Tube Channel

Jem Bendell the author of the “Deep Adaption” paper that has recently become the most downloaded science paper ever, spoke on the issue of ‘Hope in a time of climate crisis’. Interestingly he hasn’t accepted our imminent extinction and declined an offer to be a guest on Nature Bats Last on The Progressive Radio Network, A commonality is that many people like to say that Professor Guy McPherson and I are alarmists but won’t debate in public with us.
On the subject of ‘Hope’ I’ll quote Chris Hedges from his great documentary American Psychosis; “If hope becomes something you express through illusion then it’s not hope, it’s fantasy.”

Additional material on this aspect of the predicament below;

Grief Ritual with Sobonfu Somé

Navigating Hospice at the edge of extinction

The coming Tsunami of Grief

NBL

Posted in Abrupt Climate Change, Climate Grief, Peter Miller, Uncategorized

Action is the Antidote to Despair – Acceptance Will Set You Free

As the climate and extinction crises accelerates our descent into the abyss, many of us are seeking a meaningful existence as we manage our own grief and more importantly that of our youth, which will very soon become our greatest pre-collapse challenge.Don’t get caught lying to them.
My co-host on Nature Bats Last and I are regularly accused of ‘Giving Up’ because we have synthesized and accepted the science that we are now in the non-linear stage of the Sixth Great Extinction. “Giving up” for me equates to co-hosting NBL with Guy, volunteering at the Rakino Island Nursery on a rewilding project for our “Little Slice of Paradise” Rakino Island and working with a group to create a “Marine Protection Area” in the Hauraki Gulf adjacent to my home. It’s important to carry on doing the right thing without being attached to the outcome.
Any cursory, unbiased glance at my and Guy’s actions will immediately dispell the accusation that we have ‘Given Up’.
Why do Guy and I do what we do? We believe that the youth deserve the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth. There will be no ‘sugar coating’ of the sixth great extinction on our watch. The youth’s futures have been stolen from them,surely they deserve the truth at least? The cold hard truth is that the real ‘safe’ level of anthropogenic warming was probably only 0.5C, not 1, not 1.5, not 2C.
The recent discovery of enormous methane ‘Pingo’s’ in the Arctic being yet another example of the rapidity the biosphere is unraveling at. The cognitive dissonance being shown by our so called leaders, who within a capitalist paradigm have no clue what to say or do is plain to see. Effectively they are literally behaving like stunned deer in the head lights of a runaway train. Our one and only space ship is about to crash and burn and there is no pilot in the cockpit. Brace for impact.
Here’s an example from the New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern. Watch her squirm whilst criticising XR activists for holding up the traffic. So much for her grandiose declaration that climate change is our ‘Nuclear Free’ moment.   Dear Jacinda, this is a Climate Emergency
Because no one in power is prepared to accept the true severity of the unfolding collapse, and the large NGO’s are lying by omission, we are as a society and culture living a lie. Sending young people off to school or university to train as cogs in the wheel of capitalism which is just about to collapse is a dereliction of duty and in my mind equates to child abuse. Check out the work of my friends Oksana and Joey at The Deep Green Bush School for a rare dose of reality in the education sphere. Personally I would scrap the entire school curriculum and teach first aid and survival skills.
The “Extinction Rebellion” movement has successfully motivated many people onto the streets but they are simply begging those same delusional politicians to ‘Act Now on Climate Change’ and do what pray tell ?
The entire paradigm is being controlled and steered to make it look like something is happening when in reality it is deflecting the youth away from the true severity of the predicament we are confronted with. Guilt tripping the youth about their carbon footprints and pretending that activism will right this sinking ship is intellectually and morally bankrupt, much like the culture itself.
Their time would be better spent developing survival skills than painting banners. I’ll quote Jem Bendell of “Deep Adaptation” fame who interestingly turned down our invitation for him to be our guest on NBL: “Getting busy with action can be a distraction from full acceptance of our predicament”.
Guy and I have toured Aotearoa New Zealand twice discussing the severity of the crisis as we see it. Below is a discussion we had at the end of the 2016 tour;

My recent interview on Waiheke Radio discussing my activism and actions as we face collapse is embedded here
Rakino

The photo above is of Rakino Island taken from the North. Photo credit Scott Peters.
Additional reading on this theme;

We’re About to Become People Fighting Desperately Fighting For Survival on a Dying Planet, and It’s Not Going to Be Pretty
Co-extinctions annihilate planetary life during extreme environmental change

 Extinction Foretold, Extinction Ignored

If you want to go down fighting as I do, tell the truth, surely the youth deserve that and the right to decide what to do with the little time that is left for them.

Posted in Climate Grief, Extinction Rebellion, Methane, Nature Bats Last, The Sixth Great Extinction
Kevin Hester

Kevin Hester is currently living on Rakino Island, a small island in the Hauraki Gulf near Auckland, New Zealand, monitoring the unravelling of the biosphere and volunteering at the Rakino Island Nursery is currently developing a proposal to create a marine reserve near by. The Island has no grid tied electricity or reticulated water.  I catch my own water from the roof and generate my electricity from the ample solar radiation on the island.

My Submission to the Ministry of the Environment
Kevin Hester, Dropping Anchor in an Exponential World
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